Sample Size Considerations in Clinical Trials When Comparing Two Interventions Using Multiple Co-Primary Binary Relative Risk Contrasts

The effects of interventions are multidimensional. Use of more than one primary endpoint offers an attractive design feature in clinical trials as they capture more complete characterization of the effects of an intervention and provide more informative intervention comparisons. For these reasons, multiple primary endpoints have become a common design feature in many disease areas such as oncology, infectious disease, and cardiovascular disease. More specifically in medical product development, multiple endpoints are used as co-primary to evaluate the effect of the new interventions. Although methodologies to address continuous co-primary endpoints are well-developed, methodologies for binary endpoints are limited. In this article, we describe power and sample size determination for clinical trials with multiple correlated binary endpoints, when relative risks are evaluated as co-primary. We consider a scenario where the objective is to evaluate evidence for superiority of a test intervention compared with a control intervention, for all of the relative risks. We discuss the normal approximation methods for power and sample size calculations and evaluate how the required sample size, power, and Type I error vary as a function of the correlations among the endpoints. Also we discuss a simple, but conservative procedure for appropriate sample size calculation. We then extend the methods allowing for interim monitoring using group-sequential methods. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

[1]  Karl Pearson,et al.  Mathematical contributions to the theory of evolution. VIII. On the correlation of characters not quantitatively measurable , 1900, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London.

[2]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  Sample size determination in clinical trials with multiple co‐primary binary endpoints , 2010, Statistics in medicine.

[3]  R. Muirhead,et al.  Multiple Co-primary Endpoints: Medical and Statistical Solutions: A Report from the Multiple Endpoints Expert Team of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America , 2007 .

[4]  W. Grove Statistical Methods for Rates and Proportions, 2nd ed , 1981 .

[5]  M. Piedmonte,et al.  A Method for Generating High-Dimensional Multivariate Binary Variates , 1991 .

[6]  Feng Gao,et al.  Power and sample size for clinical trials when efficacy is required in multiple endpoints: application to an Alzheimer's treatment trial , 2005, Clinical trials.

[7]  Shein-Chung Chow,et al.  Sample Size Calculations in Clinical Research, Second Edition , 2003 .

[8]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  Sample size determination for clinical trials with co‐primary outcomes: exponential event times , 2013, Pharmaceutical statistics.

[9]  Isao Yoshimura,et al.  Power and Sample Size Calculations in Clinical Trials with Multiple Primary Variables , 2006 .

[10]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  A logrank test-based method for sizing clinical trials with two co-primary time-to-event endpoints. , 2013, Biostatistics.

[11]  J Gong,et al.  Estimating significance level and power comparisons for testing multiple endpoints in clinical trials. , 2000, Controlled clinical trials.

[12]  James X. Song Sample size for simultaneous testing of rate differences in non-inferiority trials with multiple endpoints , 2009, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[13]  Morris L. Eaton,et al.  On a multiple endpoints testing problem , 2007 .

[14]  Frank Bretz,et al.  Power and sample size when multiple endpoints are considered , 2007, Pharmaceutical statistics.

[15]  Kenichi Hayashi,et al.  Sample size determination in group‐sequential clinical trials with two co‐primary endpoints , 2014, Statistics in medicine.

[16]  Oliver Grundmann,et al.  Irritable bowel syndrome: Epidemiology, diagnosis and treatment: An update for health‐care practitioners , 2010, Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology.

[17]  Michael B Gravenor,et al.  Lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older inpatients (PLACIDE): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial , 2013, The Lancet.

[18]  Mohammad F Huque,et al.  Method of balanced adjustment in testing co‐primary endpoints , 2010, Statistics in medicine.

[19]  J. Dale Global cross-ratio models for bivariate, discrete, ordered responses. , 1986, Biometrics.

[20]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  Group-Sequential Designs When Considering Two Binary Outcomes as Co-Primary Endpoints , 2015 .

[21]  Rebecca Finch,et al.  Multiple testing problems in pharmaceutical statistics. , 2014, Pharmaceutical statistics.

[22]  Michael B Gravenor,et al.  A multicentre randomised controlled trial evaluating lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: the PLACIDE study protocol , 2012, BMC Infectious Diseases.

[23]  J. C. van Houwelingen,et al.  Logistic Regression for Correlated Binary Data , 1994 .

[24]  R. Prentice,et al.  Correlated binary regression with covariates specific to each binary observation. , 1988, Biometrics.

[25]  Christy Chuang-Stein,et al.  Challenge of multiple co‐primary endpoints: a new approach , 2007, Statistics in medicine.

[26]  Ralph B Dell,et al.  Sample size determination. , 2002, ILAR journal.

[27]  I. Dialsingh Multiple testing problems in pharmaceutical statistics , 2011 .

[28]  L. Duffy,et al.  Lactobacilli and Bifidobacteria , 2010 .

[29]  K. K. Lan,et al.  Discrete sequential boundaries for clinical trials , 1983 .

[30]  Steven A Julious,et al.  Sample sizes for trials involving multiple correlated must‐win comparisons , 2012, Pharmaceutical statistics.

[31]  P. O'Brien,et al.  A multiple testing procedure for clinical trials. , 1979, Biometrics.

[32]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  Group-Sequential Strategies in Clinical Trials with Multiple Co-Primary Outcomes , 2015, Statistics in biopharmaceutical research.

[33]  G. Young Understanding the irritable bowel syndrome. , 1987, Australian family physician.

[34]  Sue-Jane Wang,et al.  Some Controversial Multiple Testing Problems in Regulatory Applications , 2009, Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics.

[35]  J. Fleiss,et al.  Statistical methods for rates and proportions , 1973 .

[36]  Menggang Yu,et al.  Sample size determination and re-estimation for matched pair designs with multiple binary endpoints. , 2013, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

[37]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  Sample Size Determination in Superiority Clinical Trials with Multiple Co-Primary Correlated Endpoints , 2011, Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics.

[38]  Toshimitsu Hamasaki,et al.  A convenient formula for sample size calculations in clinical trials with multiple co‐primary continuous endpoints , 2012, Pharmaceutical statistics.