Consumption and bubbles

We show that an unbounded number of consumption dates is necessary to support an asset pricing bubble. We work in a continuous-time model where the number of trade dates is infinite but the number of consumption dates is flexible and can be chosen to be uniformly bounded, finite almost surely, or infinite. Market clearing, together with monotone preferences for consumption, limits the properties of bubbles and provides restrictions on wealth constraints. In the special case of a uniformly bounded number of consumption dates, assets in positive net supply cannot have asset pricing bubbles and wealth constraints cannot allow limited arbitrage.

[1]  Mark Loewenstein,et al.  Rational Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Bubbles in Continuous Trading Models , 2000, J. Econ. Theory.

[2]  A. Roy SAFETY-FIRST AND HOLDING OF ASSETS , 1952 .

[3]  M. Yor,et al.  Continuous martingales and Brownian motion , 1990 .

[4]  Xiongzhi Chen Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus , 2008 .

[5]  Walter Schachermayer,et al.  The Existence of Absolutely Continuous Local Martingale Measures (1995) , 1995 .

[6]  Julien Hugonnier,et al.  Financial Valuation and Risk Management Working Paper No . 501 Bubbles and multiplicity of equilibria under portfolio constraints , 2008 .

[7]  Non-Arbitrage and the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing: Summary of Main Results , 1997 .

[8]  A. Roy Safety first and the holding of assetts , 1952 .

[9]  Hayne E. Leland,et al.  Who Should Buy Portfolio Insurance , 1980 .

[10]  S. Shreve,et al.  Methods of Mathematical Finance , 2010 .

[11]  P. Protter Stochastic integration and differential equations , 1990 .

[12]  P. Samuelson An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest with or without the Social Contrivance of Money , 1958, Journal of Political Economy.

[13]  Philip H. Dybvig Using Asset Allocation to Protect Spending , 1998 .

[14]  P. Protter,et al.  ASSET PRICE BUBBLES IN INCOMPLETE MARKETS * , 2008 .

[15]  David Hobson,et al.  Local martingales, bubbles and option prices , 2005, Finance Stochastics.

[16]  Philip H. Dybvig,et al.  Nonnegative Wealth, Absence of Arbitrage, and Feasible Consumption Plans , 2015 .

[17]  W Schachermeyer The Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for Unbounded Stochastic Processes , 1997 .

[18]  F. Delbaen,et al.  A general version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing , 1994 .

[19]  Manuel S. Santos,et al.  Rational asset pricing bubbles , 1997 .

[20]  Sanford J. Grossman,et al.  Equilibrium Analysis of Portfolio Insurance , 1996 .

[21]  M. Quinzii,et al.  Infinite Horizon Incomplete Markets , 1994 .

[22]  J. Harrison,et al.  Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading , 1981 .

[23]  Gregory A. Willard,et al.  Local martingales, arbitrage, and viability Free snacks and cheap thrills , 2000 .

[24]  Michel Loève,et al.  Probability Theory I , 1977 .

[25]  T. Bewley,et al.  The Optimum Quantity of Money , 1979 .

[26]  Luis M. Viceira,et al.  Spreading the Wealth Around: Reflections Inspired by Joe the Plumber , 1998 .

[27]  Randall P. Mariger A Life-cycle Consumption Model with Liquidity Contraints: Theory and Empirical Results , 1987 .

[28]  Philip H. Dybvig Dusenberry's Ratcheting of Consumption: Optimal Dynamic Consumption and Investment Given Intolerance for any Decline in Standard of Living , 1995 .

[29]  J. Tirole On the Possibility of Speculation under Rational Expectations , 1982 .

[30]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets , 1979 .

[31]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Speculative Investor Behavior in a Stock Market with Heterogeneous Expectations , 1978 .

[32]  Walter Schachermayer,et al.  A Simple Counterexample to Several Problems in the Theory of Asset Pricing , 1993 .

[33]  H. DybvigPhilip Using Asset Allocation to Protect Spending , 1999 .

[34]  F. Delbaen,et al.  The fundamental theorem of asset pricing for unbounded stochastic processes , 1998 .

[35]  M. Loewenstein,et al.  Options and Bubbles , 2007 .