Global long-term observations of coastal erosion and accretion

Changes in coastal morphology have broad consequences for the sustainability of coastal communities, structures and ecosystems. Although coasts are monitored locally in many places, understanding long-term changes at a global scale remains a challenge. Here we present a global and consistent evaluation of coastal morphodynamics over 32 years (1984–2015) based on satellite observations. Land losses and gains were estimated from the changes in water presence along more than 2 million virtual transects. We find that the overall surface of eroded land is about 28,000 km2, twice the surface of gained land, and that often the extent of erosion and accretion is in the order of km. Anthropogenic factors clearly emerge as the dominant driver of change, both as planned exploitation of coastal resources, such as building coastal structures, and as unforeseen side effects of human activities, for example the installment of dams, irrigation systems and structures that modify the flux of sediments, or the clearing of coastal ecosystems, such as mangrove forests. Another important driver is the occurrence of natural disasters such as tsunamis and extreme storms. The observed global trend in coastal erosion could be enhanced by Sea Level Rise and more frequent extreme events under a changing climate.

[1]  O. Pilkey,et al.  Society and Sea Level Rise , 2004, Science.

[2]  Michael W. Beck,et al.  The role of ecosystems in coastal protection: Adapting to climate change and coastal hazards , 2014 .

[3]  Mariele Evers,et al.  A review of current and possible future human–water dynamics in Myanmar's river basins , 2016 .

[4]  Kristen D. Splinter,et al.  A multi-decade dataset of monthly beach profile surveys and inshore wave forcing at Narrabeen, Australia , 2016, Scientific Data.

[5]  Matt A. King,et al.  Unabated global mean sea-level rise over the satellite altimeter era , 2015 .

[6]  Md. Humayun Kabir,et al.  Coastline Change and Erosion-Accretion Evolution of the Sandwip Island, Bangladesh , 2017, Int. J. Appl. Geospat. Res..

[7]  Adam Lewis,et al.  Coastal dynamics of Northern Australia – Insights from the Landsat Data Cube , 2017 .

[8]  P. Kareiva,et al.  Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms , 2013 .

[9]  A. Murray,et al.  Formation of coastline features by large-scale instabilities induced by high-angle waves , 2001, Nature.

[10]  Stephen H. Hallett,et al.  Coastal risk adaptation: the potential role of accessible geospatial Big Data , 2017 .

[11]  R. Stouffer,et al.  Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States , 2009 .

[12]  Gennadii Donchyts,et al.  Earth's surface water change over the past 30 years , 2016 .

[13]  J. Leon,et al.  Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands , 2016 .

[14]  R. Magris,et al.  Mapping and assessment of protection of mangrove habitats in Brazil , 2010 .

[15]  A. Cazenave,et al.  Sea-Level Rise and Its Impact on Coastal Zones , 2010, Science.

[16]  R. Horton,et al.  Evaluation of Dynamic Coastal Response to Sea-level Rise Modifies Inundation Likelihood , 2016 .

[17]  Edward N. Rappaport,et al.  THE DEADLIEST, COSTLIEST, AND MOST INTENSE UNITED STATES TROPICAL CYCLONES FROM 1851 TO 2004 (AND OTHER FREQUENTLY REQUESTED HURRICANE FACTS) , 2005 .

[18]  B. Pelletier,et al.  Comparing the role of absolute sea-level rise and vertical tectonic motions in coastal flooding, Torres Islands (Vanuatu) , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[19]  Edward J. Anthony,et al.  Linking rapid erosion of the Mekong River delta to human activities , 2015, Scientific Reports.

[20]  Yoshiki Saito,et al.  Man's Influence on the Erosion and Transport of Sediment by Asian Rivers: The Yellow River (Huanghe) Example , 1987, The Journal of Geology.

[21]  R. H. Meade,et al.  World-Wide Delivery of River Sediment to the Oceans , 1983, The Journal of Geology.

[22]  M. Vousdoukas,et al.  Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe , 2018, Nature Climate Change.

[23]  Martin Verlaan,et al.  Extreme sea levels on the rise along Europe's coasts , 2017 .

[24]  J. Alder,et al.  Coastal Planning and Management , 2009 .

[25]  Paula Camus,et al.  A multiscale climate emulator for long-term morphodynamics (MUSCLE-morpho) , 2016 .

[26]  Anny Cazenave,et al.  Caspian sea level from Topex‐Poseidon altimetry: Level now falling , 1997 .

[27]  Kristen D. Splinter,et al.  Coastal vulnerability across the Pacific dominated by El Niño-Southern Oscillation , 2015 .

[28]  J. Borrero,et al.  Field Data and Satellite Imagery of Tsunami Effects in Banda Aceh , 2005, Science.

[29]  Muh Aris Marfai,et al.  Monitoring land subsidence in Semarang, Indonesia , 2007 .

[30]  L. Lymburner,et al.  Extracting the intertidal extent and topography of the Australian coastline from a 28 year time series of Landsat observations , 2017 .

[31]  J. Irish,et al.  Physical Characteristics of Coastal Hazards , 2016 .

[32]  Luis Pedro Almeida,et al.  Coastal vulnerability assessment based on video wave run-up observations at a mesotidal, steep-sloped beach , 2011, Ocean Dynamics.

[33]  M. Allison,et al.  Large-river delta-front estuaries as natural “recorders” of global environmental change , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[34]  Tiago Garcia,et al.  An integrated method for the determination of set-back lines for coastal erosion hazards on sandy shores , 2006 .

[35]  M. Vousdoukas,et al.  Beach erosion and recovery during consecutive storms at a steep‐sloping, meso‐tidal beach , 2012 .

[36]  D. Petley,et al.  Terrestrial laser scanning for monitoring the process of hard rock coastal cliff erosion , 2005, Quarterly Journal of Engineering Geology and Hydrogeology.

[37]  Shikui Zhai,et al.  Changing pattern of accretion/erosion of the modern Yellow River (Huanghe) subaerial delta, China : Based on remote sensing images , 2006 .

[38]  John Travis,et al.  Scientists' Fears Come True as Hurricane Floods New Orleans , 2005, Science.

[39]  R. Feagin,et al.  Does vegetation prevent wave erosion of salt marsh edges? , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[40]  M. Vousdoukas,et al.  Global probabilistic projections of extreme sea levels show intensification of coastal flood hazard , 2018, Nature Communications.

[41]  Michael Dixon,et al.  Google Earth Engine: Planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone , 2017 .

[42]  Ben Evans,et al.  The Australian Geoscience Data Cube - foundations and lessons learned , 2017 .

[43]  J. Pekel,et al.  High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes , 2016, Nature.

[44]  C. Crain,et al.  The Protective Role of Coastal Marshes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis , 2011, PloS one.

[45]  Patrick Weber,et al.  OpenStreetMap: User-Generated Street Maps , 2008, IEEE Pervasive Computing.

[46]  M. Martineza,et al.  The coasts of our world : Ecological , economic and social importance , 2007 .

[47]  K. Arpe,et al.  The Caspian Sea Level forced by the atmospheric circulation, as observed and modelled , 2007 .

[48]  J. Milliman Blessed dams or damned dams? , 1997, Nature.

[49]  M. Vousdoukas,et al.  Global changes of extreme coastal wave energy fluxes triggered by intensified teleconnection patterns , 2017 .

[50]  M. Delgado-Rodríguez,et al.  Systematic review and meta-analysis. , 2017, Medicina intensiva.

[51]  G. Akbar,et al.  In the Indus Delta it is No More the Mighty Indus , 2012 .

[52]  Carrie V. Kappel,et al.  Coastal Ecosystem-Based Management with Nonlinear Ecological Functions and Values , 2008, Science.

[53]  Bradford H. Hager,et al.  Localization of the gravity field and the signature of glacial rebound , 1997, Nature.

[54]  G. Zolezzi,et al.  Coastal vulnerability assessment: through regional to local downscaling of wave characteristics along the Bay of Lalzit (Albania) , 2019, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences.

[55]  J. Syvitski,et al.  Impact of Humans on the Flux of Terrestrial Sediment to the Global Coastal Ocean , 2005, Science.

[56]  R. Ranasinghe,et al.  The State of the World’s Beaches , 2018, Scientific Reports.

[57]  P. Ciavola,et al.  Coastal Storms: Processes and Impacts , 2017 .

[58]  Christopher B. Field,et al.  Managed retreat as a response to natural hazard risk , 2017 .

[59]  Y. Saito,et al.  The Huanghe (Yellow River) and Changjiang (Yangtze River) deltas: a review on their characteristics, evolution and sediment discharge during the Holocene , 2001 .

[60]  I. Young,et al.  Global Trends in Wind Speed and Wave Height , 2011, Science.

[61]  S. Carpenter,et al.  Social-Ecological Resilience to Coastal Disasters , 2005, Science.

[62]  Sergio Fagherazzi,et al.  Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise , 2016 .

[63]  George L. Smith,et al.  Calculating Long-Term Shoreline Recession Rates Using Aerial Photographic and Beach Profiling Techniques , 1990 .

[64]  Kristen D. Splinter,et al.  Extreme coastal erosion enhanced by anomalous extratropical storm wave direction , 2017, Scientific Reports.

[65]  Peter J. Gleckler,et al.  Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise , 2008, Nature.

[66]  Keqi Zhang,et al.  Global Warming and Coastal Erosion , 2004 .