Using the Combination of GM(1,1) and Taylor Approximation Method to Predict the Academic Achievement of Student

The purpose of this study is to predict the academic achievement of student based on the combination of GM(1,1) and Taylor approximation method(abbreviated as T-GM(1,1)). The prediction model combined the first-order two variables grey differential equation model from grey system theory and Taylor approximation method from approximation optimization theory. This combined model can obtain the most optimal predicted value by multi-times approximate calculation. In addition, the researchers used MATLAB software to build a MATLAB toolbox for the prediction model based on GM(1,1) and T-GM(1,1). The experimental results showed that T-GM(1,1) can be adjusted repeatedly until reaches the optimal values and makes the predicted error reduce to the minimum. The comparison of the obtained results with the original GM(1,1) showed that T-GM(1,1) is a good alternative for parameters optimization of this prediction model.

[1]  GuoDong Li,et al.  New Proposal and Accuracy Evaluation of Grey Prediction GM , 2007, IEICE Trans. Fundam. Electron. Commun. Comput. Sci..

[2]  Yeqing Guan,et al.  Application of GM (1, 1) Model Group Based on Recursive Solution in China's Energy Demand Forecasting , 2012 .

[3]  Yong-Huang Lin,et al.  RAINFALL PREDICTION USING INNOVATIVE GREY MODEL WITH THE DYNAMIC INDEX , 2013 .

[4]  Wang Hongli Simulation and Control of System Dynamic of Water Pollutions based on Modeling of Differential Equations using Inverse GM , 2013 .

[5]  Phuoc-Hai Nguyen,et al.  A Matlab Toolbox for AHP and LGRA-AHP to Analyze and Evaluate Factors in Making the Decision , 2013 .

[6]  Tzu-Yi Pai,et al.  Using Seven Types of GM (1, 1) Model to Forecast Hourly Particulate Matter Concentration in Banciao City of Taiwan , 2011 .

[7]  Chun-I Chen,et al.  Application of the novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model for forecasting unemployment rate , 2008 .

[8]  Ruibiao Zou A Novel Non-Equidistant Grey GRM(1,1) Model Based on Reciprocal Accumulated Generating , 2012 .

[9]  Ching-Pin Tsai,et al.  The Proposal for Application of Several Grey Methods in Evaluating and Improving the Academic Achievement of Students , 2013 .

[10]  Chen Bing,et al.  An Optimized Unbiased GM (1, 1) Power Model for Forecasting MRO Spare Parts Inventory , 2012 .

[11]  Mehdi Askari,et al.  Time Series Grey System Prediction-based Models: Gold Price Forecasting , 2011 .

[12]  Fang Yang,et al.  APPLICATION OF GREY SYSTEM THEORY TO FORECAST THE GROWTH OF LARCH , 2009 .

[13]  Deqiang Zhou A New Hybrid Grey Neural Network Based on Grey Verhulst Model and BP Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting , 2013 .

[14]  Phuoc-Hai Nguyen,et al.  A Matlab Toolbox for Student-Problem Chart and Grey Student-Problem Chart and Its Application , 2013 .

[15]  Naiming Xie,et al.  Prediction Model of Interval Grey Number Based on DGM (1,1) , 2010 .

[16]  Qianqian Zhou,et al.  The Prediction of China CO2 Emission In 2015 , 2012 .