Endogenous current coupons

We consider the problem of identifying current coupons for agency-backed to-be-announced pools of residential mortgages. Such coupons, or mortgage origination rates, ensure par-valued pools. In a doubly stochastic reduced form model which allows prepayment intensities to depend upon both current and origination mortgage rates, as well as underlying investment factors, we identify the current coupon as a solution to a degenerate elliptic, nonlinear fixed point problem. Using Schaefer’s theorem, we prove existence of a current coupon. We also provide an explicit approximation to the fixed point, valid for compact perturbations off a baseline factor-based intensity model. A numerical example is provided which shows that the approximation performs well in estimating the current coupon.

[1]  Fan Yu,et al.  DEFAULT RISK AND DIVERSIFICATION: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS , 2003 .

[2]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities , 1989 .

[3]  John J. McConnell,et al.  A Comparison of Alternative Models for Pricing GNMA Mortgage-Backed Securities , 1981 .

[4]  V. Linetsky,et al.  INTENSITY‐BASED VALUATION OF RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGES: AN ANALYTICALLY TRACTABLE MODEL , 2007 .

[5]  G. M.,et al.  Partial Differential Equations I , 2023, Applied Mathematical Sciences.

[6]  Donald C. Keenan,et al.  The valuation at origination of fixed-rate mortgages with default and prepayment , 1995 .

[7]  A. Kalotay,et al.  AN OPTION-THEORETIC PREPAYMENT MODEL FOR MORTGAGES AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES , 2004 .

[8]  S. Shreve Stochastic Calculus for Finance II: Continuous-Time Models , 2010 .

[9]  X. Mao,et al.  Stochastic Differential Equations and Applications , 1998 .

[10]  G. M. Lieberman SECOND ORDER PARABOLIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS , 1996 .

[11]  A. Friedman Stochastic Differential Equations and Applications , 1975 .

[12]  S. Shreve Stochastic calculus for finance , 2004 .

[13]  Y. Goncharov Mathematical theory of mortgage modeling. , 2003 .

[14]  Y. Goncharov AN INTENSITY-BASED APPROACH TO THE VALUATION OF MORTGAGE CONTRACTS AND COMPUTATION OF THE ENDOGENOUS MORTGAGE RATE , 2006 .

[15]  M. Yor,et al.  Equivalent and absolutely continuous measure changes for jump-diffusion processes , 2005, math/0508450.

[16]  R. Jarrow,et al.  DEFAULT RISK AND DIVERSIFICATION: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS , 2005 .

[17]  D. Gilbarg,et al.  Elliptic Partial Differential Equa-tions of Second Order , 1977 .

[18]  Darrell Duffie,et al.  Risk and Valuation of Collateralized Debt Obligations , 2001 .

[19]  M. Schweizer On the Minimal Martingale Measure and the Foellmer- Schweizer Decomposition , 1995 .

[20]  A. Friedman Partial Differential Equations of Parabolic Type , 1983 .

[21]  Dirk Becherer,et al.  Rational hedging and valuation of integrated risks under constant absolute risk aversion , 2003 .

[22]  He Sheng Wu,et al.  The property of predictable representation of the sum of independent semimartingales , 1982 .

[23]  Y. Goncharov ON THE EXISTENCE OF THE ENDOGENOUS MORTGAGE RATE PROCESS , 2012 .

[24]  D. W. Stroock,et al.  Multidimensional Diffusion Processes , 1979 .

[25]  John M. Quigley,et al.  Mortgage Terminations, Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options , 1999 .

[26]  AN EXACT FORMULA FOR DEFAULT SWAPTIONS’ PRICING IN THE SSRJD STOCHASTIC INTENSITY MODEL , 2008, 0812.4199.

[27]  Damir Filipovic,et al.  A general characterization of one factor affine term structure models , 2001, Finance Stochastics.

[28]  Y. Goncharov Computing the endogenous mortgage rate without iterations , 2009 .

[29]  Richard Stanton Rational Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities , 1995 .

[30]  Stanley R. Pliska,et al.  Mortgage Valuation and Optimal Refinancing , 2006 .

[31]  R. Pinsky Positive Harmonic Functions and Diffusion: References , 1995 .

[32]  T. Zhou,et al.  INDIFFERENCE VALUATION OF MORTGAGE‐BACKED SECURITIES IN THE PRESENCE OF PREPAYMENT RISK , 2010 .

[33]  V. Linetsky,et al.  Time-Changed CIR Default Intensities with Two-Sided Mean-Reverting Jumps , 2014, 1403.5402.