Optimal Confidence Bands for Shape-Restricted Curves

Let Y be a stochastic process on [0,1] satisfying dY(t)=n 1/2 f(t)dt+dW(t) , where n≥1 is a given scale parameter (`sample size'), W is standard Brownian motion and f is an unknown function. Utilizing suitable multiscale tests, we construct confidence bands for f with guaranteed given coverage probability, assuming that f is isotonic or convex. These confidence bands are computationally feasible and shown to be asymptotically sharp optimal in an appropriate sense.

[1]  R. Khasminskii A Lower Bound on the Risks of Non-Parametric Estimates of Densities in the Uniform Metric , 1979 .

[2]  Jerome Sacks,et al.  Confidence Bands for Regression Functions , 1985 .

[3]  D. M. Titterington,et al.  On confidence bands in nonparametric density estimation and regression , 1988 .

[4]  D. Donoho One-sided inference about functionals of a density , 1988 .

[5]  F. T. Wright,et al.  Order restricted statistical inference , 1988 .

[6]  James Stephen Marron,et al.  BOOTSTRAP SIMULTANEOUS ERROR BARS FOR NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION , 1991 .

[7]  Paul L. Speckman,et al.  Confidence bands in nonparametric regression , 1993 .

[8]  Philip B. Stark,et al.  Finite-Sample Confidence Envelopes for Shape-Restricted Densities , 1995 .

[9]  L. Brown,et al.  Asymptotic equivalence of nonparametric regression and white noise , 1996 .

[10]  M. Nussbaum Asymptotic Equivalence of Density Estimation and Gaussian White Noise , 1996 .

[11]  Jeffrey D. Hart,et al.  Nonparametric Smoothing and Lack-Of-Fit Tests , 1997 .

[12]  Lutz Dümbgen,et al.  New goodness-of-fit tests and their application to nonparametric confidence sets , 1998 .

[13]  Ion Grama,et al.  Asymptotic equivalence for nonparametric generalized linear models , 1998 .

[14]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  Simultaneous Confidence Bands and Hypothesis Testing in Varying‐coefficient Models , 2000 .

[15]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  Generalized likelihood ratio statistics and Wilks phenomenon , 2001 .

[16]  V. Spokoiny,et al.  Multiscale testing of qualitative hypotheses , 2001 .

[17]  M. Nussbaum,et al.  Asymptotic equivalence for nonparametric regression , 2002 .

[18]  Lutz Dümbgen,et al.  Confidence Bands for Isotonic Median Curves Using Sign Tests , 2004 .