Logistic Regression Setup for RTB CTR Estimation

In this paper we investigate one of the most interesting problems of Big Data user feedback prediction which is the Real-Time Bidding Click-Through Rate estimation. We evaluate experimentally the impact of the widely-referenced methods for optimization of the logistic regression - the state-of-the art Real-Time Bidding optimization method - on the quality of CTR estimation. From the perspective of this impact, we evaluate different configurations of widely-referenced regularization techniques and compare them with a simple technique of the feature generalization. On the basis of the results of the extensive experimentation, we show that in the context of the application scenario investigated herein, an optimization of the stochastic gradient descent algorithm configuration may be successfully accompanied, or even replaced, by a simple feature generalization.

[1]  Jun Wang,et al.  User Response Learning for Directly Optimizing Campaign Performance in Display Advertising , 2016, CIKM.

[2]  Guy Shani,et al.  Evaluating Recommendation Systems , 2011, Recommender Systems Handbook.

[3]  Joaquin Quiñonero Candela,et al.  Practical Lessons from Predicting Clicks on Ads at Facebook , 2014, ADKDD'14.

[4]  Mark Goadrich,et al.  The relationship between Precision-Recall and ROC curves , 2006, ICML.

[5]  Xuehua Shen,et al.  iPinYou Global RTB Bidding Algorithm Competition Dataset , 2014, ADKDD'14.

[6]  Tom Fawcett,et al.  Data Science and its Relationship to Big Data and Data-Driven Decision Making , 2013, Big Data.

[7]  Ming-Syan Chen,et al.  Predicting Winning Price in Real Time Bidding with Censored Data , 2015, KDD.

[8]  Rómer Rosales,et al.  Simple and Scalable Response Prediction for Display Advertising , 2014, ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol..

[9]  Jun Wang,et al.  Deep Learning over Multi-field Categorical Data - - A Case Study on User Response Prediction , 2016, ECIR.

[10]  Matthew Richardson,et al.  Predicting clicks: estimating the click-through rate for new ads , 2007, WWW '07.

[11]  Weinan Zhang,et al.  Optimal real-time bidding for display advertising , 2014, KDD.

[12]  Tom Fawcett,et al.  An introduction to ROC analysis , 2006, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[13]  Wentong Li,et al.  Estimating conversion rate in display advertising from past erformance data , 2012, KDD.

[14]  Jun Wang,et al.  Real-Time Bidding: A New Frontier of Computational Advertising Research , 2015, WSDM.

[15]  Chengjie Sun,et al.  Predicting ad click-through rates via feature-based fully coupled interaction tensor factorization , 2016, Electron. Commer. Res. Appl..

[16]  Jun Wang,et al.  Real-Time Bidding Benchmarking with iPinYou Dataset , 2014, ArXiv.