Modeling Users' Activity on Twitter Networks: Validation of Dunbar's Number

Microblogging and mobile devices appear to augment human social capabilities, which raises the question whether they remove cognitive or biological constraints on human communication. In this paper we analyze a dataset of Twitter conversations collected across six months involving 1.7 million individuals and test the theoretical cognitive limit on the number of stable social relationships known as Dunbar's number. We find that the data are in agreement with Dunbar's result; users can entertain a maximum of 100–200 stable relationships. Thus, the ‘economy of attention’ is limited in the online world by cognitive and biological constraints as predicted by Dunbar's theory. We propose a simple model for users' behavior that includes finite priority queuing and time resources that reproduces the observed social behavior.

[1]  Robin I. M. Dunbar Neocortex size as a constraint on group size in primates , 1992 .

[2]  Bruce A. Reed,et al.  A Critical Point for Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence , 1995, Random Struct. Algorithms.

[3]  Robin I. M. Dunbar Social Brain Hypothesis , 1998, Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Psychological Science.

[4]  Eileen A. Hogan The Attention Economy: Understanding the New Currency of Business , 2001 .

[5]  C. McCarty,et al.  Comparing Two Methods for Estimating Network Size , 2001 .

[6]  D. Watts The “New” Science of Networks , 2004 .

[7]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics , 2005, Nature.

[8]  Fang Wu,et al.  The economics of attention: maximizing user value in information-rich environments , 2007, ADKDD '07.

[9]  Timothy W. Finin,et al.  Why we twitter: understanding microblogging usage and communities , 2007, WebKDD/SNA-KDD '07.

[10]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks , 2008 .

[11]  A. Bernardo,et al.  Huberman, Romero, and Wu, Fang. . Social Networks that Matter: Twitter Under the Microscope. , 2008 .

[12]  Michele Catanzaro,et al.  Dynamical processes in complex networks , 2008 .

[13]  Balachander Krishnamurthy,et al.  A few chirps about twitter , 2008, WOSN '08.

[14]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Understanding individual human mobility patterns , 2008, Nature.

[15]  Mary Anne Kennan,et al.  The State of the Nation: A Snapshot of Australian Institutional Repositories , 2009, First Monday.

[16]  Fang Wu,et al.  Social Networks that Matter: Twitter Under the Microscope , 2008, First Monday.

[17]  S. Herring,et al.  Beyond Microblogging: Conversation and Collaboration via Twitter , 2009, 2009 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[18]  A. Cho,et al.  Ourselves and our interactions: the ultimate physics problem? , 2009, Science.

[19]  S. Fortunato,et al.  Statistical physics of social dynamics , 2007, 0710.3256.

[20]  Krishna P. Gummadi,et al.  Measuring User Influence in Twitter: The Million Follower Fallacy , 2010, ICWSM.

[21]  Danah Boyd,et al.  Tweet, Tweet, Retweet: Conversational Aspects of Retweeting on Twitter , 2010, 2010 43rd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[22]  Hosung Park,et al.  What is Twitter, a social network or a news media? , 2010, WWW '10.

[23]  Mark Newman,et al.  Networks: An Introduction , 2010 .