Planning sustainable development through a scenario-based stochastic goal programming model

Most real-world optimization problems involve numerous conflicting criteria, imprecise information estimates and goals, thus the stochastic goal programming method offers an analytical framework to model and solve such problems. In this paper, we develop a stochastic goal programming model with satisfaction function that integrates optimal resource (labor) allocation to simultaneously satisfy conflicting criteria related to economic development, energy consumption, workforce allocation, and greenhouse gas emissions. We validate the model using sectorial data obtained from diverse sources on vital economic sectors for the United Arab Emirates. The results offer significant insights to decision makers for strategic planning decisions and investment allocations towards achieving long term sustainable development goals.

[1]  Muhammad A. Al-Zahrani,et al.  Stochastic Goal Programming Model for Optimal Blending of Desalinated Water with Groundwater , 2004 .

[2]  Taïcir Loukil,et al.  Production , Manufacturing and Logistics Solving multi-criteria scheduling flow shop problem through compromise programming and satisfaction functions , 2008 .

[3]  Davide La Torre,et al.  Optimal Work Force Allocation for Energy, Economic and Environmental Sustainability in the United Arab Emirates: A Goal Programming Approach , 2015 .

[4]  Davide La Torre,et al.  A generalized stochastic goal programming model , 2010, Appl. Math. Comput..

[5]  Abraham Charnes,et al.  Optimal Estimation of Executive Compensation by Linear Programming , 1955 .

[6]  S. Alam,et al.  Framework Convention on Climate Change , 1993 .

[7]  Athanasios Ragkos,et al.  Minimizing adverse environmental effects of agriculture: a multi-objective programming approach , 2009, Oper. Res..

[8]  Raja Jayaraman,et al.  A polynomial goal programming model with application to energy consumption and emissions in United Arab Emirates , 2015, 2015 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management (IEOM).

[9]  Ravi Shankar,et al.  A goal programming model for joint decision making of inventory lot-size, supplier selection and carrier selection , 2014, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[10]  Carlos Romero,et al.  GOAL PROGRAMMING AND MULTIPLE CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING IN FARM PLANNING: SOME EXTENSIONS , 1985 .

[11]  Alexander Schrijver,et al.  Handbook of Critical Issues in Goal Programming , 1992 .

[12]  Bruno Contini,et al.  A Stochastic Approach to Goal Programming , 1968, Oper. Res..

[13]  Davide La Torre,et al.  Multi-criteria model for sustainable development using goal programming applied to the United Arab Emirates , 2015 .

[14]  Enrique Ballestero,et al.  Using Stochastic Goal Programming: Some Applications to Management and a Case of Industrial Production , 2005 .

[15]  Cinzia Colapinto,et al.  A fuzzy goal programming model to analyze energy, environmental and sustainability goals of the United Arab Emirates , 2015, Annals of Operations Research.

[16]  Jean-Marc Martel,et al.  Incorporating the Decision-maker's Preferences in the Goal-programming Model , 1990 .

[17]  Belaïd Aouni,et al.  Goal programming model: A glorious history and a promising future , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[18]  Enrique Ballestero,et al.  Stochastic goal programming: A mean-variance approach , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[19]  H. Pastijn.  Handbook of critical issues in goal programming: Carlos Romero Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1990, xi + 124 pages, £25.00, ISBN 008 0406610 , 1992 .

[20]  Lixin Tang,et al.  A review of planning and scheduling systems and methods for integrated steel production , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[21]  Mila Bravo,et al.  Applying stochastic goal programming: A case study on water use planning , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[22]  Abraham Charnes,et al.  Chance Constraints and Normal Deviates , 1962 .

[23]  Usama Al-mulali,et al.  The impact of energy consumption and CO2 emission on the economic and financial development in 19 selected countries , 2012 .

[24]  Davide La Torre,et al.  The Stochastic Goal Programming Model: Theory and Applications , 2012 .

[25]  Cinzia Colapinto,et al.  Multi-criteria decision analysis with goal programming in engineering, management and social sciences: a state-of-the art review , 2015, Annals of Operations Research.

[26]  Mona Aal Ali,et al.  Solar energy in the United Arab Emirates: A review , 2013 .

[27]  Prasanta Kumar Dey,et al.  Optimal design of the renewable energy map of Greece using weighted goal-programming and data envelopment analysis , 2016, Comput. Oper. Res..

[28]  Fouad Ben Abdelaziz,et al.  Solution approaches for the multiobjective stochastic programming , 2012, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[29]  Dylan F. Jones,et al.  An extended goal programming model for site selection in the offshore wind farm sector , 2016, Ann. Oper. Res..

[30]  Stephen C. H. Leung,et al.  A goal programming model for aggregate production planning with resource utilization constraint , 2009, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[31]  A. Kazim.  Assessments of primary energy consumption and its environmental consequences in the United Arab Emirates , 2007 .

[32]  Shuwen Zhang,et al.  Multi-stage goal programming models for production optimization in the middle and later periods of oilfield development , 2017, Ann. Oper. Res..

[33]  Taher Niknam,et al.  An efficient scenario-based stochastic programming framework for multi-objective optimal micro-grid operation , 2012 .

[34]  Marcus Brandenburg,et al.  Low carbon supply chain configuration for a new product – a goal programming approach , 2015 .

[35]  Mehrdad Tamiz,et al.  Practical Goal Programming , 2010 .

[36]  Anis Omri.  Co2 Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in MENA Countries: Evidence from Simultaneous Equations Models , 2013 .

[37]  Constantin Zopounidis,et al.  Multiple criteria decision aiding for finance: An updated bibliographic survey , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[38]  Meryem Masmoudi,et al.  A multiobjective stochastic program for hospital bed planning , 2012, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[39]  Carlos Romero,et al.  A Goal Programming Approach for a Joint Design of Macroeconomic and Environmental Policies: A Methodological Proposal and an Application to the Spanish Economy , 2009, Environmental management.

[40]  Sang Moon Lee,et al.  GOAL PROGRAMMING FOR DECISION ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES , 1972 .

[41]  Andreja Borec,et al.  Advantages of combining linear programming and weighted goal programming for agriculture application , 2014, Oper. Res..

[42]  Li He,et al.  Stochastic goal programming based groundwater remediation management under human-health-risk uncertainty. , 2014, Journal of hazardous materials.

[43]  Fouad Ben Abdelaziz,et al.  Decision-maker's preferences modeling in the stochastic goal programming , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[44]  E. Werczberger.  Planning in an uncertain environment: Stochastic goal programming using the versatility criterion , 1984 .

[45]  Davide La Torre,et al.  A Goal Programming model with satisfaction function for long-run sustainability in the United Arab Emirates , 2015, 2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM).

[46]  Davide La Torre,et al.  Financial portfolio management through the goal programming model: Current state-of-the-art , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[47]  Jean-Marc Martel,et al.  Estimation Through the Imprecise Goal Programming Model , 1997 .

[48]  Judith Gurney.  BP Statistical Review of World Energy , 1985 .