Conceptualising a resilient cooling system: A socio-technical approach

Abstract Prolonged and/or extreme heat has become a natural hazard that presents a significant risk to humans and the buildings, technologies, and infrastructure on which they have previously relied on to provide cooling. This paper presents a conceptual model of a resilient cooling system centred on people, the socio-cultural-technical contexts they inhabit, and the risks posed by the temperature hazard. An integrative literature review process was used to undertake a critical and comprehensive evaluation of published research and grey literature with the objective of adding clarity and detail to the model. Two databases were used to identify risk management and natural hazard literature in multiple disciplines that represent subcomponents of community resilience (social, economic, institutional, infrastructure and environment systems). This review enabled us to characterise in more detail the nature of the temperature hazard, the functionality characteristics of a resilient cooling system, and key elements of the four subsystems: people, buildings, cooling technologies and energy infrastructure. Six key messages can be surmised from this review, providing a guide for future work in policy and practice.

[1]  Tony Capstick Key concepts in ELT: resilience , 2018 .

[2]  Usgcrp,et al.  The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment , 2016 .

[3]  Igor Linkov,et al.  Tiered Approach to Resilience Assessment , 2018, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[4]  Daniel Oudin Åström,et al.  Heat wave impact on morbidity and mortality in the elderly population: a review of recent studies. , 2011, Maturitas.

[5]  Glenn Fernandez,et al.  “Build back better” approach to disaster recovery: Research trends since 2006 , 2019, Progress in Disaster Science.

[6]  K. Strzepek,et al.  Resilience of the Eastern African electricity sector to climate driven changes in hydropower generation , 2019, Nature Communications.

[7]  S. Kegeles,et al.  What is community? An evidence-based definition for participatory public health. , 2001, American journal of public health.

[8]  Konstantin G Arbeev,et al.  Resilience Versus Robustness in Aging. , 2016, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[9]  William O'Brien,et al.  Simulation-based evaluation of high-rise residential building thermal resilience , 2016 .

[10]  M. Kruk,et al.  Building resilient health systems: a proposal for a resilience index , 2017, British Medical Journal.

[11]  R. Kovats,et al.  Climate change and human health: impacts, vulnerability, and mitigation , 2006, The Lancet.

[12]  Wendy Miller,et al.  Energy efficiency of housing for older citizens: Does it matter? , 2017 .

[13]  Qiang Feng,et al.  Availability-based engineering resilience metric and its corresponding evaluation methodology , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[14]  Rajat Gupta,et al.  Care provision fit for a warming climate , 2016 .

[15]  Jianhui Wang,et al.  Integration of Preventive and Emergency Responses for Power Grid Resilience Enhancement , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[16]  David Woods,et al.  Resilience Engineering: Concepts and Precepts , 2006 .

[17]  F. Ciasca,et al.  Italian national resilience plan 2017: For a more reliable grid , 2017, 2017 AEIT International Annual Conference.

[18]  David. Proverbs,et al.  Adaptation of the built environment towards achieving improved resilience to climate change , 2013 .

[19]  Manuel Herrera,et al.  A review of current and future weather data for building simulation , 2017 .

[20]  Ali Ardalan,et al.  Community Disaster Resilience: a Systematic Review on Assessment Models and Tools , 2015, PLoS currents.

[21]  Standard Ashrae Thermal Environmental Conditions for Human Occupancy , 1992 .

[22]  David Ormandy,et al.  Health and thermal comfort: From WHO guidance to housing strategies , 2012 .

[23]  A. Katal,et al.  Modeling building resilience against extreme weather by integrated CityFFD and CityBEM simulations , 2019, Applied Energy.

[24]  J. Nairn,et al.  The Excess Heat Factor: A Metric for Heatwave Intensity and Its Use in Classifying Heatwave Severity , 2014, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[25]  Social science approaches in disaster research: Selected research issues and findings on mitigating natural hazards in the urban environment , 1995 .

[26]  E. Ostrom,et al.  Aligning Key Concepts for Global Change Policy: Robustness, Resilience, and Sustainability , 2013 .

[27]  M. Davies,et al.  Urban social housing resilience to excess summer heat , 2015 .

[28]  Marta J.N. Oliveira Panão Revisiting cooling energy requirements of residential buildings in Portugal in light of climate change , 2014 .

[29]  U. Kulatunga Impact of culture towards disaster risk reduction , 2010 .

[30]  Ljubomir Jankovic Designing Resilience of the Built Environment to Extreme Weather Events , 2018 .

[31]  Steve Goodhew,et al.  Measured indoor temperatures, thermal comfort and overheating risk: Post-Occupancy evaluation of low energy houses in the UK , 2016 .

[32]  H. Canton United Nations Development Programme—UNDP , 2018, The Europa Directory of International Organizations 2021.

[33]  W. Travis Weather and climate extremes: Pacemakers of adaptation? , 2014 .

[34]  N. Brockdorff,et al.  Applying cultural values to encourage disaster preparedness: Lessons from a low-hazard country , 2018, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction.

[35]  Kevin J. Lomas,et al.  Overheating in buildings: lessons from research , 2017 .

[36]  Ashley Bateson Comparison of CIBSE thermal comfort assessments with SAP overheating assessments and implications for designers , 2016 .

[37]  F. K. Abagale,et al.  Developing a Community-Based Resilience Assessment Model with reference to Northern Ghana , 2014 .

[38]  T. Stocker,et al.  Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. , 2012 .

[39]  F. Bruno,et al.  A framework for adaptation of Australian households to heat waves , 2013 .

[40]  R. Kasperson,et al.  A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[41]  C. Field Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaption , 2012 .

[42]  S. Cutter Social Science Perspectives on Hazards and Vulnerability Science , 2009 .

[43]  Robert L. Wears,et al.  Resilience Engineering: Concepts and Precepts , 2006, Quality and Safety in Health Care.

[44]  P. Tait,et al.  Limitations to Thermoregulation and Acclimatization Challenge Human Adaptation to Global Warming , 2015, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[45]  Sherry Adomah Bempah,et al.  The role of social perception in disaster risk reduction: Beliefs, perception, and attitudes regarding flood disasters in communities along the Volta River, Ghana , 2017 .

[46]  Wendy Miller,et al.  Analysis of cool roof coatings for residential demand side management in tropical Australia , 2015 .

[47]  Mark Mulville,et al.  The impact of regulations on overheating risk in dwellings , 2016 .

[48]  I. Linkov,et al.  Defining resilience for the US building industry , 2019 .

[49]  Pierluigi Mancarella,et al.  The Grid: Stronger, Bigger, Smarter?: Presenting a Conceptual Framework of Power System Resilience , 2015, IEEE Power and Energy Magazine.

[50]  Fergus Nicol,et al.  Estimating overheating in European dwellings , 2017, Running Buildings on Natural Energy.

[51]  Lamine Mili,et al.  On the Definition of Cyber-Physical Resilience in Power Systems , 2015, ArXiv.

[52]  David Jenkins,et al.  Developing a probabilistic tool for assessing the risk of overheating in buildings for future climates , 2014 .

[53]  Pgs Paul Rutten,et al.  Thermal comfort and the integrated design of homes for older people with dementia , 2010 .

[54]  R. Kovats,et al.  Climate change and human health: impacts, vulnerability and public health. , 2006, Public health.

[55]  Andrew Peacock,et al.  Investigating the potential of overheating in UK dwellings as a consequence of extant climate change , 2010 .

[56]  David Coley,et al.  High resolution mapping of overheating and mortality risk , 2017 .

[57]  R. Stott,et al.  The World Bank , 2008, Annals of tropical medicine and parasitology.

[58]  Farrokh Aminifar,et al.  Toward a Consensus on the Definition and Taxonomy of Power System Resilience , 2018, IEEE Access.

[59]  Yoshiki Yamagata,et al.  Principles and criteria for assessing urban energy resilience: A literature review , 2016 .

[60]  Juozas Augutis,et al.  Methodology for energy security assessment considering energy system resilience to disruptions , 2018, Energy Strategy Reviews.

[61]  Sebastian Jülich,et al.  Towards a Local-Level Resilience Composite Index: Introducing Different Degrees of Indicator Quantification , 2017, International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.

[62]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Basic Power System Reliability Concepts , 1990 .

[63]  Christopher B. Barrett,et al.  Food security as resilience: reconciling definition and measurement , 2016 .

[64]  Lukas Kranzl,et al.  Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany , 2017 .

[65]  Sotiris Vardoulakis,et al.  Climate change effects on human health: projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s , 2014, Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health.

[66]  Lydia Cumiskey,et al.  Science and Technology Networks: A Helping Hand to Boost Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030? , 2017, International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.

[67]  Gail Brager,et al.  Ventilation, thermal and luminous autonomy metrics for an integrated design process , 2018, Building and Environment.

[68]  Eric Tate,et al.  Social vulnerability indices: a comparative assessment using uncertainty and sensitivity analysis , 2012, Natural Hazards.

[69]  Lindsey Jones,et al.  Whose resilience matters? Like-for-like comparison of objective and subjective evaluations of resilience , 2019 .

[70]  Sean E. DeRosa,et al.  Resilience management practices for electric utilities and extreme weather , 2019, The Electricity Journal.

[71]  Juan Du,et al.  Screening of social vulnerability to natural hazards in China , 2015, Natural Hazards.

[72]  Mikhail Chester,et al.  Building Thermal Performance, Extreme Heat, and Climate Change , 2017 .

[73]  J. Besancenot Vagues de chaleur et mortalité dans les grandes agglomérations urbaines , 2002 .

[74]  Dmitry Ivanov,et al.  Building resilience and managing post-disruption supply chain recovery: Lessons from the information and communication technology industry , 2019, Int. J. Inf. Manag..

[75]  姜哲,et al.  韧性(Resilience)的概念分析 , 2008 .

[76]  Almut G. Jones Chromosomal features as generic criteria in the Astereae , 1985 .

[77]  Hussam Mahmoud,et al.  Spatial and Temporal Quantification of Community Resilience: Gotham City under Attack , 2018, Comput. Aided Civ. Infrastructure Eng..

[78]  Lamine Mili Bradley Taxonomy of the Characteristics of Power System Operating States , 2011 .

[79]  P Pieter-Jan Hoes,et al.  The impact of climate change on the overheating risk in dwellings—A Dutch case study , 2017 .

[80]  James P. Kossin,et al.  The Impact of Climate Change on Natural Disasters , 2014 .

[81]  David Coley,et al.  Changes in internal temperatures within the built environment as a response to a changing climate , 2010 .

[82]  K. Dear,et al.  Climate Change and Rising Heat: Population Health Implications for Working People in Australia , 2011, Asia-Pacific journal of public health.

[83]  G. Gallopin Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity , 2006 .

[84]  S. Hajat,et al.  Association of mortality with high temperatures in a temperate climate: England and Wales , 2010, Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health.

[85]  K. Ebi,et al.  Heatwaves and health : guidance on warning-system development. , 2015 .

[86]  Zachary A. Collier,et al.  Metrics for energy resilience , 2014 .

[87]  Kevin J. Lomas,et al.  Resilience of naturally ventilated buildings to climate change: advanced natural ventilation and hospital wards , 2009 .

[88]  Seth H. Holmes,et al.  Overheating and passive habitability: indoor health and heat indices , 2016 .

[89]  Stéphane Kluser,et al.  Reducing Disaster Risk: a challenge for development , 2004 .

[90]  P. Roelofsen Healthy ageing: differences between elderly and non-elderly in temperature sensation and dissatisfied , 2017 .

[91]  Michel Bruneau,et al.  A Framework to Quantitatively Assess and Enhance the Seismic Resilience of Communities , 2003 .

[92]  R. Whittemore,et al.  The integrative review: updated methodology. , 2005, Journal of advanced nursing.

[93]  Furong Li,et al.  Battling the Extreme: A Study on the Power System Resilience , 2017, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[94]  K. Blanchet,et al.  Governance and Capacity to Manage Resilience of Health Systems: Towards a New Conceptual Framework , 2017, International journal of health policy and management.

[95]  Igor Linkov,et al.  The Science and Practice of Resilience , 2019, Risk, Systems and Decisions.

[96]  T. Agami Reddy,et al.  Sustainability of integrated energy systems: A performance-based resilience assessment methodology , 2018, Applied Energy.

[97]  Giovanni Sansavini,et al.  A quantitative method for assessing resilience of interdependent infrastructures , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[98]  Matthew Carroll,et al.  The relationship between housing and heat wave resilience in older people , 2015, International Journal of Biometeorology.

[99]  Jason K von Meding,et al.  A Dilemma of Language: “Natural Disasters” in Academic Literature , 2019, International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.

[100]  S. Cutter Building Disaster Resilience: Steps toward Sustainability , 2014 .

[101]  Alexandra von Meier,et al.  The Local Team: Leveraging Distributed Resources to Improve Resilience , 2014, IEEE Power and Energy Magazine.

[102]  Todd W. Miner,et al.  Building urban resilience : principles, tools, and practice , 2013 .

[103]  Adrian G. Barnett,et al.  The impact of temperature on years of life lost in Brisbane, Australia , 2012 .

[104]  C. Becker,et al.  Heat-related mortality in residents of nursing homes. , 2010, Age and ageing.

[105]  Udayangani Kulatunga,et al.  Understanding the terminologies : disaster, crisis and emergency , 2016 .

[106]  Will Steffen,et al.  Heatwaves: hotter, longer, more often , 2014 .

[107]  A. Thieken,et al.  Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction – Success or Warning Sign for Paris? , 2015 .

[108]  S. Healy,et al.  Air-conditioning and the ‘homogenization’ of people and built environments , 2008 .

[109]  Jian Kang,et al.  The natural ventilation performance of buildings under alternative future weather projections , 2012 .

[110]  I. Stewart,et al.  A systematic review and scientific critique of methodology in modern urban heat island literature , 2011 .

[111]  Anna Laura Pisello,et al.  The role of building occupants' education in their resilience to climate-change related events , 2017 .

[112]  S. Abe The role of classical group separation method in teaching of modern analytical chemistry , 1982 .

[113]  Niklaus Kohler,et al.  Resilience in the built environment , 2014 .

[114]  Michael Myers,et al.  What is a resilient health system? Lessons from Ebola , 2015, The Lancet.

[115]  Pierluigi Mancarella,et al.  Modeling and Evaluating the Resilience of Critical Electrical Power Infrastructure to Extreme Weather Events , 2017, IEEE Systems Journal.

[116]  Stephanie C. Herring,et al.  Ch. 9: Populations of Concern. The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment , 2016 .

[117]  Erik Hollnagel,et al.  Resilience engineering and the built environment , 2014 .

[118]  Annibale Biggeri,et al.  Vulnerability to Heat-Related Mortality: A Multicity, Population-Based, Case-Crossover Analysis , 2006, Epidemiology.

[119]  P. Mancarella,et al.  Integrated electricity-heat-gas modelling and assessment, with applications to the Great Britain system. Part II: Transmission network analysis and low carbon technology and resilience case studies , 2018, Energy.

[120]  S. Davoudi Applying the Resilience Perspective to Planning: Critical Thoughts from Theory and Practice Edited by Simin Davoudi and Libby Porter Resilience: A Bridging Concept or a Dead End? , 2012 .

[121]  Sara Meerow,et al.  Defining urban resilience: A review , 2016 .

[122]  C. Gardebroek,et al.  Resilience and household food security: a review of concepts, methodological approaches and empirical evidence , 2019, Food Security.

[123]  M. Zoback,et al.  Disaster Resilience: A National Imperative , 2013 .

[124]  Norio Okada,et al.  Making sense of natural hazard mitigation: Personal, social and cultural influences , 2010 .

[125]  Peng Wang,et al.  Transportable Energy Storage for More Resilient Distribution Systems With Multiple Microgrids , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[126]  A. Pullin,et al.  Urban greening to cool towns and cities: a systematic review of the empirical evidence. , 2010 .

[127]  Tijana Crnčević,et al.  Displacement and climate change: improving planning policy and increasing community resilience , 2017 .

[128]  Chao Zhang,et al.  Sequential Hazards Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure System: A Case Study of Greater Toronto Area Energy Infrastructure System , 2018, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[129]  Jurgen A.H.R. Claassen,et al.  Heat waves and dehydration in the elderly , 2009, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[130]  Stephanie E. Chang,et al.  Disasters as opportunity for change: Tsunami recovery and energy transition in Japan , 2017 .

[131]  M. Davies,et al.  Comparison of built environment adaptations to heat exposure and mortality during hot weather, West Midlands region, UK. , 2017, Environment international.

[132]  P. Hoeppe Trends in weather related disasters – Consequences for insurers and society , 2016 .

[133]  A. King,et al.  Evolution of mean, variance and extremes in 21st century temperatures , 2017 .

[134]  K. Dear,et al.  The Effects of Extreme Heat on Human Mortality and Morbidity in Australia: Implications for Public Health , 2011, Asia-Pacific journal of public health.

[135]  T. Weiland,et al.  Can the Elderly Handle the Heat? A Retrospective Case-Control Study of the Impact of Heat Waves on Older Patients Attending an Inner City Australian Emergency Department , 2015, Asia-Pacific journal of public health.

[136]  M. Noguer,et al.  Climate change 2001: The scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2002 .

[137]  Ambrose Dodoo,et al.  Energy use and overheating risk of Swedish multi-storey residential buildings under different climate scenarios , 2016 .

[138]  John Foster,et al.  Measuring resilience in energy systems: insights from a range of disciplines , 2016 .

[139]  Lindsey R. Barnes,et al.  A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters , 2008 .

[140]  Pierluigi Mancarella,et al.  Multi-phase assessment and adaptation of power systems resilience to natural hazards , 2016 .

[141]  A. Gatto,et al.  A taxonomy of energy resilience , 2020 .

[142]  Alison Kitson,et al.  Perceptions of Heat-Susceptibility in Older Persons: Barriers to Adaptation , 2011, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[143]  Yacine Rezgui,et al.  Critical review of existing built environment resilience frameworks: Directions for future research , 2017 .

[144]  G. Nalankilli Breathable Garments with Thermo - Physiological Wear Comfort - A Review , 2018 .

[145]  Patrick James,et al.  Climate change future proofing of buildings—Generation and assessment of building simulation weather files , 2008 .

[146]  Igor Linkov,et al.  The Need to Reconcile Concepts that Characterize Systems Facing Threats , 2020, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[147]  Paul English,et al.  An Approach to Developing Local Climate Change Environmental Public Health Indicators, Vulnerability Assessments, and Projections of Future Impacts , 2014, Journal of environmental and public health.

[148]  B. Dousset,et al.  The Impact of Heat Islands on Mortality in Paris during the August 2003 Heat Wave , 2011, Environmental health perspectives.

[149]  C. Burton A Validation of Metrics for Community Resilience to Natural Hazards and Disasters Using the Recovery from Hurricane Katrina as a Case Study , 2015 .

[150]  Royce A. Francis,et al.  A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[151]  Philippa Howden-Chapman,et al.  Housing and Health in Older People: Ageing in Place , 1999 .

[152]  Corrado Trombetta The Regenerative Design experience in the built environment and resilience discussion , 2018 .

[153]  Tadj Oreszczyn,et al.  Assessing impacts of summertime overheating: some adaptation strategies , 2013 .