Risk and type of crash among young drivers by rurality of residence: findings from the DRIVE Study.

BACKGROUND Most previous literature on urban/rural differences in road crashes has a primary focus on severe injuries or deaths, which may be largely explained by variations of medical resources. Little has been reported on police-reported crashes by geographical location, or crash type and severity, especially among young drivers. METHODS DRIVE is a prospective cohort study of 20,822 drivers aged 17-24 in NSW, Australia. Information on risk factors was collected via online questionnaire and subsequently linked to police-reported crashes. Poisson regression was used to analyse risk of various crash types by three levels of rurality of residence: urban, regional (country towns and surrounds) and rural. RESULTS Compared to urban drivers, risk of crash decreased with increasing rurality (regional adjusted RR: 0.7, 95% CI 0.6-0.9; rural adjusted RR: 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.7). Among those who crashed, risk of injurious crash did not differ by geographic location; however, regional and rural drivers had significantly higher risk of a single versus multiple vehicle crash (regional adjusted RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.3-2.5; rural adjusted RR: 2.0, 95% CI 1.1-3.6), which was explained by speeding involvement and road alignment at the time or site of crash. CONCLUSIONS Although young urban drivers have a higher crash risk overall, rural and regional residents have increased risk of a single vehicle crash. Interventions to reduce single vehicle crashes should aim to address key issues affecting such crashes, including speeding and specific aspects of road geometry.

[1]  A. Smiley,et al.  The role of exposure in comparisons of crash risk among different drivers and driving environments. , 1993, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[2]  Queensland,et al.  Australian Standard Geographical Classification , 2006 .

[3]  P Palamara,et al.  A cohort study of 20 822 young drivers: the DRIVE study methods and population , 2006, Injury Prevention.

[4]  M. Renwick,et al.  Road fatalities in rural New South Wales: Weighing the causes , 1982 .

[5]  Michael Marmor,et al.  Slippery road conditions and fatal motor vehicle crashes in the northeastern United States, 1998-2002. , 2006, American journal of public health.

[6]  T. Rothengatter,et al.  Traffic and Transport Psychology: Theory and Application , 1997 .

[7]  C. Zwerling,et al.  Fatal motor vehicle crashes in rural and urban areas: decomposing rates into contributing factors , 2005, Injury Prevention.

[8]  Charles M Farmer,et al.  Rollover risk of cars and light trucks after accounting for driver and environmental factors. , 2002, Accident Analysis and Prevention.

[9]  C. Mansfield,et al.  Flipped out of control: single‐vehicle rollover accidents in the Northern Territory , 2002, The Medical journal of Australia.

[10]  J Moller,et al.  The spatial distribution of injury deaths in Australia: urban, rural and remote areas , 1994 .

[11]  P Palamara,et al.  Behavioural factors as predictors of motor vehicle crashes: differentials between young urban and rural drivers , 2001, Australian and New Zealand journal of public health.

[12]  Dale A. Steinhardt,et al.  Nighttime seatbelt non-use in serious crashes: a comparison of contributing factors in rural and urban areas of the United States and Queensland , 2007 .

[13]  Colin Macarthur,et al.  Urban-rural differences in motor vehicle crash fatality and hospitalization rates among children and youth. , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[14]  Steven R Lowenstein,et al.  Student drivers: a study of fatal motor vehicle crashes involving 16-year-old drivers. , 2005, Annals of emergency medicine.

[15]  Andrew P. Jones,et al.  District Variations in Road Curvature in England and Wales and their Association with Road-Traffic Crashes , 2007 .

[16]  James R. Anderson,et al.  Rural motor vehicle crash risk of death is higher after controlling for injury severity. , 2007, The Journal of trauma.

[17]  J A Dunbar,et al.  Deaths from road traffic accidents in Scotland: 1979-1988. Does it matter where you live? , 1991, Public health.

[18]  Narelle L. Haworth,et al.  RURAL ROAD SAFETY: OVERVIEW OF CRASH STATISTICS , 2004 .

[19]  David Bowers,et al.  Understanding Clinical Papers , 2001 .

[20]  Emmanuelle Amoros,et al.  Under-reporting of road crash casualties in France. , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[21]  S Greenland,et al.  Interpretation and choice of effect measures in epidemiologic analyses. , 1987, American journal of epidemiology.

[22]  Alan C Elliott,et al.  Effect of trauma systems on motor vehicle occupant mortality: A comparison between states with and without a formal system. , 2006, The Journal of trauma.

[23]  James W Davis,et al.  Aggressive traffic enforcement: a simple and effective injury prevention program. , 2005, The Journal of trauma.

[24]  E. Keskinen,et al.  SELF-REPORTED DRIVING HABITS ARE VALID PREDICTORS OF VIOLATIONS AND ACCIDENTS , 1997 .

[25]  Madhuri Mulekar,et al.  Increased rural vehicular mortality rates: roadways with higher speed limits or excessive vehicular speed? , 2007, The Journal of trauma.

[26]  Andrew Jones,et al.  Geographical distribution of road traffic deaths in England and Wales: place of accident compared with place of residence. , 2005, Journal of public health.

[27]  Colin Macarthur,et al.  A small area study of motor vehicle crash fatalities in Alberta, Canada. , 2003, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[28]  Jay S. Kaufman,et al.  Defining Urban and Rural Areas in U.S. Epidemiologic Studies , 2006, Journal of Urban Health.

[29]  Jean-Louis Martin,et al.  Road crash casualties: characteristics of police injury severity misclassification. , 2007, The Journal of trauma.

[30]  Simon Kingham,et al.  The influence of road curvature on fatal crashes in New Zealand. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[31]  Marilouise Burgess Contrasting Rural and Urban Fatal Crashes 1994-2003 , 2005 .

[32]  J. Blatt,et al.  Residence location of drivers involved in fatal crashes. , 1998, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[33]  Per Gårder,et al.  Segment characteristics and severity of head-on crashes on two-lane rural highways in Maine. , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[34]  F T McDermott,et al.  Compulsory blood alcohol testing of road crash casualties in Victoria: the second three years (1978-1980). , 1982, The Medical journal of Australia.

[35]  Dominique Lord,et al.  Modeling crash-flow-density and crash-flow-V/C ratio relationships for rural and urban freeway segments. , 2005, Accident; analysis and prevention.