The dynamics of nematode infections of farmed ruminants

In this paper the dynamics and control of nematode parasites of farmed ruminants are discussed via a qualitative analysis of a differential equation model. To achieve this a quantity, 'the basic reproduction quotient' (Q0), whose definition coincides with previous definitions of R0 for macroparasites, but extends to models with periodic time-varying transition rates between parasite stages or management interventions, is introduced. This quantity has the usual threshold property: if Q0 is less than one the parasite population cannot maintain itself in the host population, and in the long term becomes extinct; but if Q0 is greater than one the parasite can invade the host population. An alternative quantity, R(E), that is often easier to calculate is also introduced, and shown to have the same threshold property. The use of these two quantities in analysing models for the dynamics of nematodes in complex situations is then demonstrated, with reference to the dynamics of mixed parasite species in one host; the effects of breeding host animals for resistance to parasitism; and the development of parasite strains that are resistant to chemotherapy. Five examples are discussed using parameters for the dynamics of nematode infections in sheep, and some statements on control policies are derived.

[1]  B T Grenfell,et al.  The population dynamics of nematode infections of ruminants: the effect of seasonality in the free-living stages. , 1992, IMA journal of mathematics applied in medicine and biology.

[2]  Roy M. Anderson,et al.  The Population Dynamics of Infectious Diseases: Theory and Applications , 1982, Population and Community Biology.

[3]  R. Dobson,et al.  Population dynamics of Trichostrongylus colubriformis in sheep: computer model to simulate grazing systems and the evolution of anthelmintic resistance. , 1990, International journal for parasitology.

[4]  W. O. Kermack,et al.  A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics , 1927 .

[5]  N. Barlow,et al.  A model for nematodiasis in New Zealand lambs. , 1992, International journal for parasitology.

[6]  D. Mollison Epidemic models : their structure and relation to data , 1996 .

[7]  Andrew P. Dobson,et al.  Ecology of Infectious Diseases in Natural Populations: Frontmatter , 1995 .

[8]  B. Grenfell,et al.  A mathematical model of the population biology of Ostertagia ostertagi in calves and yearlings , 1987, Parasitology.

[9]  A. Dobson The population dynamics of competition between parasites , 1985, Parasitology.

[10]  D Mollison,et al.  Epidemics: models and data. , 1994, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A,.

[11]  R. May,et al.  Population Biology of Infectious Diseases , 1982, Dahlem Workshop Reports.

[12]  R. May,et al.  Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control , 1991, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[13]  A. Dobson,et al.  The population dynamics of communities of parasitic helminths. , 1995, Mathematical biosciences.

[14]  J. Heesterbeek,et al.  Threshold quantities for helminth infections , 1995, Journal of mathematical biology.

[15]  R. Dobson,et al.  Population dynamics of Trichostrongylus colubriformis and Ostertagia circumcincta in single and concurrent infections. , 1992, International journal for parasitology.

[16]  B. Grenfell,et al.  Modelling of parasite populations: gastrointestinal nematode models. , 1994, Veterinary parasitology.

[17]  R M May,et al.  Non-linear phenomena in host—parasite interactions , 1989, Parasitology.

[18]  O. Diekmann,et al.  On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations , 1990, Journal of mathematical biology.

[19]  M. Scott,et al.  Parasitic and infectious diseases: epidemiology and ecology. , 1995 .

[20]  R. May,et al.  Population biology of infectious diseases: Part II , 1979, Nature.

[21]  B. Grenfell,et al.  Ecology of Infectious Diseases in Natural Populations: Mathematical Models for Macroparasites of Wildlife , 1995 .

[22]  B T Grenfell,et al.  The population dynamics of nematode infections of ruminants: periodic perturbations as a model for management. , 1991, IMA journal of mathematics applied in medicine and biology.

[23]  Odo Diekmann,et al.  The legacy of Kermack and McKendrick , 1995 .

[24]  M. Roberts,et al.  Population dynamics in echinococcosis and cysticercosis: mathematical model of the life-cycles of Taenia hydatigena and T. ovis , 1987, Parasitology.