Land use change in New England: a reversal of the forest transition

New England has been a prime example of the idea of forest transition. Deforestation commenced in the early seventeenth century and intensified up until the late 1800s. Following abandonment of farmland, forest cover increased until recent years. In this article, we examine recent trends of forest change in New England. What does the continuation of forest transition look like? What are the drivers and characteristics of land change beyond the initial transition? Land use change, not including areas of forest harvest, was mapped across New England (Maine excluded) between 1990 and 2005 using satellite data. A total of 133,000 ha were deforested for use as residential or commercial development. The net forest loss was 129,000 ha (2.8% of the forest present in 1990). If the observed pattern is present elsewhere, we could be witnessing a secondary phase of forest transition that involves a loss of forest driven by urban growth rather than agricultural expansion. The accuracy of the forest change map was assessed and the area estimates of forest change are based on both the map and the accuracy assessment results.

[1]  C. Woodcock,et al.  Making better use of accuracy data in land change studies: Estimating accuracy and area and quantifying uncertainty using stratified estimation , 2013 .

[2]  W. Keeton,et al.  Wildlands and Woodlands: A Vision for the New England Landscape , 2010 .

[3]  Thomas R. Loveland,et al.  Land-use Pressure and a Transition to Forest-cover Loss in the Eastern United States , 2010 .

[4]  M. Uriarte,et al.  Forest transitions: An introduction , 2010 .

[5]  E. Barbier,et al.  The forest transition: Towards a more comprehensive theoretical framework☆ , 2010 .

[6]  Robert Walker,et al.  Regional interdependence and forest "transitions": Substitute deforestation limits the relevance of local reversals , 2010 .

[7]  C. Perry,et al.  Forest Resources of the United States, 2007 , 2009 .

[8]  Curtis E. Woodcock,et al.  Patterns in Forest Clearing Along the Appalachian Trail Corridor , 2007 .

[9]  Charles H. W. Foster Forests in Time: The Environmental Consequences of 1,000 Years of Change in New England (review) , 2005, Journal of Interdisciplinary History.

[10]  Eric F. Lambin,et al.  Forest transitions: towards a global understanding of land use change , 2005 .

[11]  Graeme Wynn,et al.  Forests in time. The environmental consequences of 1000 years of change in New England , 2005 .

[12]  Eric M. White,et al.  A sensitivity analysis of "Forests on the edge: housing development on America's private forests". , 2005 .

[13]  C. Tucker,et al.  NASA’s Global Orthorectified Landsat Data Set , 2004 .

[14]  E. H. Wharton,et al.  The forests of the Green Mountain State , 2003 .

[15]  TEMPORAL CHARACTERIZATION OF CONNECTICUT'S LANDSCAPE: METHODS, RESULTS, AND APPLICATIONS , 2003 .

[16]  G. Motzkin,et al.  The forests of presettlement New England, USA: spatial and compositional patterns based on town proprietor surveys , 2002 .

[17]  D. Foster Thoreau's country: a historical–ecological perspective on conservation in the New England landscape , 2002 .

[18]  Gerald A. Meehl,et al.  Preparing for a changing climate : the potential consequences of climate variability and change , 2001 .

[19]  Curtis E. Woodcock,et al.  Monitoring large areas for forest change using Landsat: Generalization across space, time and Landsat sensors , 2001 .

[20]  J. O'keefe,et al.  New England Forests Through Time : Insights from the Harvard Forest Dioramas , 2000 .

[21]  Navin Ramankutty,et al.  Estimating historical changes in land cover:North American croplands from 1850 to 1992 , 1999 .

[22]  A. Mather,et al.  The forest transition: a theoretical basis , 1998 .

[23]  David R. Foster,et al.  Land-Use History as Long-Term Broad-Scale Disturbance: Regional Forest Dynamics in Central New England , 1998, Ecosystems.

[24]  D. Foster,et al.  History and Importance of Land Use and Protection in the North Quabbin Region of Massachusetts (USA) , 1997 .

[25]  Gail A. Carpenter,et al.  ART neural networks for remote sensing: vegetation classification from Landsat TM and terrain data , 1996, IGARSS '96. 1996 International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium.

[26]  C. Woodcock,et al.  An assessment of several linear change detection techniques for mapping forest mortality using multitemporal landsat TM data , 1996 .

[27]  S. Gopal,et al.  Remote sensing of forest change using artificial neural networks , 1996, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[28]  Curtis E. Woodcock,et al.  Nested-hierarchical scene models and image segmentation , 1992 .

[29]  Christopher Justice,et al.  The impact of misregistration on change detection , 1992, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[30]  William Cronon,et al.  Changes in the land : Indians, colonists, and the ecology of New England , 1984 .

[31]  D. H. Card Using known map category marginal frequencies to improve estimates of thematic map accuracy , 1982 .

[32]  THE FOREST RESOURCES OF THE UNITED STATES. , 1896, Science.