Stochastic analysis of transport in hillslopes: Travel time distribution and source zone dispersion

[1] A stochastic model is developed for the analysis of the traveltime distribution fτ in a hillslope. The latter is described as made up from a surficial soil underlain by a less permeable subsoil or bedrock. The heterogeneous hydraulic conductivity K is described as a stationary random space function, and the model is based on the Lagrangian representation of transport. A first-order approach in the log conductivity variance is adopted in order to get closed form solutions for the principal statistical moments of the traveltime. Our analysis indicates that the soil is mainly responsible for the early branch of fτ, i.e., the rapid release of solute which preferentially moves through the upper soil. The early branch of fτ is a power law, with exponent variable between −1 and −0.5; the behavior is mainly determined by unsaturated transport. The subsoil response is slower than that of the soil. The subsoil is mainly responsible for the tail of fτ, which in many cases resembles the classic linear reservoir model. The resulting shape for fτ is similar to the Gamma distribution. Analysis of the fτ moments indicates that the mean traveltime is weakly dependent on the hillslope size. The traveltime variance is ruled by the distribution of distances of the injected solute from the river; the effect is coined as source zone dispersion. The spreading due to the K heterogeneity is less important and obscured by source zone dispersion. The model is tested against the numerical simulation of Fiori and Russo (2008) with reasonably good agreement, with no fitting procedure.

[1]  A. Rinaldo,et al.  Observation and modeling of catchment‐scale solute transport in the hydrologic response: A tracer study , 2008 .

[2]  J. Kirchner,et al.  Catchment-scale advection and dispersion as a mechanism for fractal scaling in stream tracer concentrations , 2001 .

[3]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Numerical analyses of subsurface flow in a steep hillslope under rainfall: The role of the spatial heterogeneity of the formation hydraulic properties , 2007 .

[4]  E. Youngs AN INFILTRATION METHOD OF MEASURING THE HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY OF UNSATURATED POROUS MATERIALS , 1964 .

[5]  G. Destouni,et al.  Water and solute residence times in a catchment: Stochastic‐mechanistic model interpretation of 18O transport , 1999 .

[6]  J. McDonnell,et al.  Factors influencing the residence time of catchment waters: A virtual experiment approach , 2007 .

[7]  G. Destouni,et al.  Solute Transport Through an Integrated Heterogeneous Soil‐Groundwater System , 1995 .

[8]  J. McDonnell,et al.  A review and evaluation of catchment transit time modeling , 2006 .

[9]  L. Stroosnijder,et al.  Nomographic Interpretation of Water Absorption Data in Terms of a Two-Parametric Diffusivity-Water Content Function 1 , 1974 .

[10]  Y. Mualem A New Model for Predicting the Hydraulic Conductivity , 1976 .

[11]  Gedeon Dagan,et al.  A solute flux approach to transport in heterogeneous formations: 2. Uncertainty analysis , 1992 .

[12]  G. Dagan,et al.  Spatial moments of a kinetically sorbing solute plume in a heterogeneous aquifer , 1993 .

[13]  The Tracer Transit-Time Tail in Multipole Reservoir Flows , 2001 .

[14]  Daniel J. Goode,et al.  Direct Simulation of Groundwater Age , 1996 .

[15]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Stochastic analysis of transport in a combined heterogeneous vadose zone–groundwater flow system , 2009 .

[16]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Travel time distribution in a hillslope: Insight from numerical simulations , 2008 .

[17]  Vladimir Cvetkovic,et al.  Stochastic analysis of solute arrival time in heterogeneous porous media , 1988 .

[18]  Yoram Rubin,et al.  The effects of recharge on flow nonuniformity and macrodispersion , 1994 .

[19]  R. D. Miller,et al.  Rapid Estimate of Unsaturated Hydraulic Conductivity Function , 1978 .

[20]  J. Bear Dynamics of Fluids in Porous Media , 1975 .

[21]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Flow and transport in highly heterogeneous formations: 2. Semianalytical results for isotropic media , 2003 .

[22]  David Russo,et al.  Soil Hydraulic Properties as Stochastic Processes: I. An Analysis of Field Spatial Variability , 1981 .

[23]  D. Russo,et al.  Equivalent vadose zone steady state flow: An assessment of its capability to predict transport in a realistic combined vadose zone–groundwater flow system , 2008 .

[24]  Allan L. Gutjahr,et al.  Stochastic Analysis of Unsaturated Flow in Heterogeneous Soils: 1. Statistically Isotropic Media , 1985 .

[25]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Modeling flow and transport in highly heterogeneous three‐dimensional aquifers: Ergodicity, Gaussianity, and anomalous behavior—2. Approximate semianalytical solution , 2006 .

[26]  A. J. Niemi,et al.  Residence time distributions of variable flow processes , 1977 .

[27]  D. Russo Subsurface Flow and Transport: Stochastic analysis of solute transport in partially saturated heterogeneous soils , 1997 .

[28]  D. Russo,et al.  Field Determinations of Soil Hydraulic Properties for Statistical Analyses1 , 1980 .

[29]  Jeffrey J. McDonnell,et al.  Integrating tracer experiments with modeling to assess runoff processes and water transit times , 2007 .

[30]  John I. Gates,et al.  Relative Permeabilities of California Cores by the Capillary - Pressure Method , 1950 .

[31]  You‐Kuan Zhang Stochastic Methods for Flow in Porous Media: Coping with Uncertainties , 2001 .

[32]  D. Russo,et al.  Stochastic analysis of solute transport in partially saturated heterogeneous soil: 1. Numerical experiments , 1994 .

[33]  J. Welker,et al.  The role of topography on catchment‐scale water residence time , 2005 .

[34]  Wilfried Brutsaert,et al.  Some Methods of Calculating Unsaturated Permeability , 1967 .

[35]  David Russo,et al.  Stochastic analysis of flow and transport in unsaturated heterogeneous porous formation: Effects of variability in water saturation , 1998 .

[36]  Henk M. Haitjema,et al.  On the residence time distribution in idealized groundwatersheds , 1995 .

[37]  G. Dagan,et al.  Conditional estimation of solute travel time in heterogeneous formations: Impact of transmissivity measurements , 1992 .

[38]  Georgia Destouni,et al.  Solute transport through the integrated groundwater‐stream system of a catchment , 2004 .

[39]  Aldo Fiori,et al.  Effective Conductivity of an Isotropic Heterogeneous Medium of Lognormal Conductivity Distribution , 2003, Multiscale Model. Simul..

[40]  G. Dagan,et al.  A first‐order analysis of solute flux statistics in aquifers: The combined effect of pore‐scale dispersion, sampling, and linear sorption kinetics , 2002 .

[41]  Kevin Bishop,et al.  Transit Times for Water in a Small Till Catchment from a Step Shift in the Oxygen 18 Content of the Water Input , 1996 .

[42]  Gedeon Dagan,et al.  Transport of kinetically sorbing solute by steady random velocity in heterogeneous porous formations , 1994, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.

[43]  G. Destouni,et al.  Solute transport through a heterogeneous coupled vadose‐saturated zone system with temporally random rainfall , 2001 .

[44]  M. E. Campana,et al.  A general lumped parameter model for the interpretation of tracer data and transit time calculation in hydrologic systems , 1998 .

[45]  E. C. Childs,et al.  The permeability of porous materials , 1950, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences.

[46]  Kellie B. Vaché,et al.  A process‐based rejectionist framework for evaluating catchment runoff model structure , 2006 .

[47]  G. Dagan Flow and transport in porous formations , 1989 .

[48]  Y. Rubin Applied Stochastic Hydrogeology , 2003 .

[49]  David Russo,et al.  Numerical analysis of flow and transport in a combined heterogeneous vadose zone–groundwater system , 2000 .

[50]  A. Rinaldo,et al.  Scale effect on geomorphologic and kinematic dispersion , 2003 .

[51]  A. Fiori,et al.  Influence of transverse mixing on the breakthrough of sorbing solute in a heterogeneous aquifer , 1997 .

[52]  C. S. Simmons A stochastic‐convective transport representation of dispersion in one‐dimensional porous media systems , 1982 .

[53]  R. H. Brooks,et al.  Hydraulic properties of porous media , 1963 .

[54]  A. Rinaldo,et al.  Simulation of dispersion in heterogeneous porous formations: Statistics, first‐order theories, convergence of computations , 1992 .

[55]  Gedeon Dagan,et al.  Solute transport in divergent radial flow through heterogeneous porous media , 1999, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.

[56]  D. Russo Stochastic modeling of solute flux in a heterogeneous partially saturated porous formation , 1993 .