HETEROSKEDASTICITY-AUTOCORRELATION ROBUST TESTING USING BANDWIDTH EQUAL TO SAMPLE SIZE

Asymptotic theory for heteroskedasticity autocorrelation consistent (HAC) covariance matrix estimators requires the truncation lag, or bandwidth, to increase more slowly than the sample size. This paper considers an alternative approach covering the case with the asymptotic covariance matrix estimated by kernel methods with truncation lag equal to sample size. Although such estimators are inconsistent, valid tests (asymptotically pivotal) for regression parameters can be constructed. The limiting distributions explicitly capture the truncation lag and choice of kernel. A local asymptotic power analysis shows that the Bartlett kernel delivers the highest power within a group of popular kernels. Finite sample simulations suggest that, regardless of the kernel chosen, the null asymptotic approximation of the new tests is often more accurate than that for conventional HAC estimators and asymptotics. Finite sample results on power show that the new approach is competitive.

[1]  Donald W. K. Andrews,et al.  An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator , 1992 .

[2]  P. Burridge,et al.  A Very Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix , 1991 .

[3]  P. Phillips,et al.  Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? , 1992 .

[4]  D. Andrews Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation , 1991 .

[5]  P. Robinson Inference-without-Smoothing in the Presence of Nonparametric Autocorrelation - (Now published in 'Econometrica', 66 (1998), pp.1163-1182.) , 1997 .

[6]  Serena Ng,et al.  The Exact Error In Estimating The Spectral Density At The Origin , 1996 .

[7]  T. Vogelsang TESTING IN GMM MODELS WITHOUT TRUNCATION , 2003 .

[8]  K. Abadir,et al.  Two Mixed Normal Densities from Cointegration Analysis , 1997 .

[9]  Victor Solo,et al.  Asymptotics for Linear Processes , 1992 .

[10]  Andrew T. Levin,et al.  A Practitioner's Guide to Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation , 1996 .

[11]  Nicholas M. Kiefer,et al.  HETEROSKEDASTICITY-AUTOCORRELATION ROBUST STANDARD ERRORS USING THE BARTLETT KERNEL WITHOUT TRUNCATION , 2002 .

[12]  Paolo Paruolo,et al.  Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses: A Comment , 2001 .

[13]  H. White,et al.  A Unified Theory of Estimation and Inference for Nonlinear Dynamic Models , 1988 .

[14]  H. White Asymptotic theory for econometricians , 1985 .

[15]  C. R. Rao,et al.  Handbook of Statistics 15: Robust Inference , 2000, Technometrics.

[16]  W. Newey,et al.  A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelationconsistent Covariance Matrix , 1986 .

[17]  Nicholas M. Kiefer,et al.  Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses , 2000 .

[18]  K. Hadri Testing The Null Hypothesis Of Stationarity Against The Alternative Of A Unit Root In Panel Data With Serially Correlated Errors , 1999 .

[19]  N. Kiefer,et al.  Local Cuts and Separate Inference , 1994 .

[20]  P. Hall,et al.  Martingale Limit Theory and Its Application , 1980 .

[21]  J. Davidson,et al.  Consistency of Kernel Estimators of Heteroscedastic and Autocorrelated Covariance Matrices , 2000 .