APPLICATION OF STATEWIDE FREIGHT DEMAND FORECASTING TECHNIQUES

The objective of the research project was to first assemble a freight demand forecasting technique for immediate application by state DOTs, and then to demonstrate the applicability of the technique through case examples. Attributes sought in the technique included (1) the ability to forecast short-term freight flows and modal shifts between modes, (2) utilization of available data and freight planning methodologies, where applicable and (3) flexibility and adaptability to a wide range of potential issues and problems. The Research Report provides the user with insight into the design and structure of the developed technique, including its strengths and limitations. It demonstrates the relevancy of the technique to the changing character of freight planning needs today brought about in part by changing economic conditions and deregulation. The User's Manual presents an overall process or methodology to be followed by state DOTs in conducting studies involving or requiring freight demand forecasts. The manual shows users how to apply the component sub-techniques to quickly examine problems at the systems, network, and corridor levels for multi-state, state, and sub-state areas. It also demonstrates the usefulness of the technique through three case study examples.