Modelling Spatial Structures in Local Housing Market Dynamics: A Multilevel Perspective

There has been a long history of research into the development and estimation of hedonic house price models. There is, however, a discrepancy between the empirical and theoretical approaches to this research. A major issue lies in the integration of the conceptual and theoretical models of local housing markets with the context-insensitive nature of the standard hedonic model specification. This paper explores this inconsistency by using multilevel modelling to move towards a more empirically and conceptually appealing specification of the hedonic house price model. It uses price data from Cardiff to investigate how a multilevel approach can explicitly incorporate the spatial structures of housing market dynamics and the ad hoc nature of the valuation process. The paper concludes that successful empirical analysis depends upon a clear theoretical understanding of the processes under investigation.

[1]  S. Rosen Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition , 1974, Journal of Political Economy.

[2]  Allen C. Goodman,et al.  HOUSING SUBMARKETS WITHIN URBAN AREAS: DEFINITIONS AND EVIDENCE* , 1981 .

[3]  Aysegul Can Specification and estimation of hedonic housing price models , 1992 .

[4]  Kelvyn Jones,et al.  A Multi-level Analysis of the Variations in Domestic Property Prices: Southern England, 1980-87 , 1993 .

[5]  J. Nellis,et al.  Research Policy and Review 2. House-Price Statistics for the United Kingdom: A Survey and Critical Review of Recent Developments , 1985 .

[6]  A. Witte,et al.  An Estimate of a Structural Hedonic Price Model of the Housing Market: An Application of Rosen's Theory of Implicit Markets , 1979 .

[7]  John M. Quigley,et al.  Non‐parametric hedonic housing prices , 1996 .

[8]  Jim Berry,et al.  Hedonic modelling, housing submarkets and residential valuation , 1996 .

[9]  S. Foster THE EXPANSION METHOD: IMPLICATIONS FOR GEOGRAPHIC RESEARCH∗ , 1991 .

[10]  K. Case,et al.  Housing Price Dynamics within a Metropolitan Area , 1995 .

[11]  Aysegul Can The Measurement of Neighborhood Dynamics in Urban House Prices , 1990 .

[12]  Yong Tu,et al.  Economic perspectives on the structure of local housing systems , 1996 .

[13]  Paul Cheshire,et al.  Estimating the Demand for Housing, Land, and Neighbourhood Characteristics , 1998 .

[14]  R. Wilkinson House Prices and the Measurement of Externalities , 1973 .

[15]  Ay se Can,et al.  Spatial Dependence and House Price Index Construction , 1997 .

[16]  T. Thibodeau,et al.  Housing Market Segmentation , 1998 .

[17]  L. Anselin Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models , 1988 .

[18]  R. Struyk,et al.  Segmentation in Urban Housing Markets. , 1976 .

[19]  Kelvyn Jones,et al.  Contextual Models of Urban House Prices: A Comparison of Fixed- and Random-Coefficient Models Developed by Expansion , 1994 .

[20]  J. Nellis,et al.  Development of standardized indices for measuring house price inflation incorporating physical and locational characteristics , 1992 .

[21]  D. Rubinfeld,et al.  Hedonic housing prices and the demand for clean air , 1978 .