Comparative Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of Conventional and Electric Vehicles

Electric vehicles (EVs) coupled with low‐carbon electricity sources offer the potential for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and exposure to tailpipe emissions from personal transportation. In considering these benefits, it is important to address concerns of problem‐shifting. In addition, while many studies have focused on the use phase in comparing transportation options, vehicle production is also significant when comparing conventional and EVs. We develop and provide a transparent life cycle inventory of conventional and electric vehicles and apply our inventory to assess conventional and EVs over a range of impact categories. We find that EVs powered by the present European electricity mix offer a 10% to 24% decrease in global warming potential (GWP) relative to conventional diesel or gasoline vehicles assuming lifetimes of 150,000 km. However, EVs exhibit the potential for significant increases in human toxicity, freshwater eco‐toxicity, freshwater eutrophication, and metal depletion impacts, largely emanating from the vehicle supply chain. Results are sensitive to assumptions regarding electricity source, use phase energy consumption, vehicle lifetime, and battery replacement schedules. Because production impacts are more significant for EVs than conventional vehicles, assuming a vehicle lifetime of 200,000 km exaggerates the GWP benefits of EVs to 27% to 29% relative to gasoline vehicles or 17% to 20% relative to diesel. An assumption of 100,000 km decreases the benefit of EVs to 9% to 14% with respect to gasoline vehicles and results in impacts indistinguishable from those of a diesel vehicle. Improving the environmental profile of EVs requires engagement around reducing vehicle production supply chain impacts and promoting clean electricity sources in decision making regarding electricity infrastructure.

[1]  Jacques Defourny,et al.  STRUCTURAL PATH ANALYSIS AND MULTIPLIER DECOMPOSITION WITHIN A SOCIAL ACCOUNTING MATRIX FRAMEWORK , 1984 .

[2]  Quanlu Wang,et al.  MAGNITUDE AND VALUE OF ELECTRIC VEHICLE EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS FOR SIX DRIVING CYCLES IN FOUR U.S. CITIES WITH VARYING AIR QUALITY PROBLEMS , 1992 .

[3]  Mary Ann Curran,et al.  Environmental life-cycle assessment , 1996 .

[4]  Michael Wang,et al.  Total energy-cycle energy and emissions impacts of hybrid electric vehicles , 1997 .

[5]  G. Treloar Extracting Embodied Energy Paths from Input–Output Tables: Towards an Input–Output-based Hybrid Energy Analysis Method , 1997 .

[6]  Steven Pomper,et al.  Life Cycle Inventory of a Generic U.S. Family Sedan Overview of Results USCAR AMP Project , 1998 .

[7]  Michail Rantik,et al.  LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT OF FIVE BATTERIES FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES UNDER DIFFERENT CHARGING REGIMES. , 1999 .

[8]  M. Huijbregts,et al.  Priority assessment of toxic substances in life cycle assessment. Part I: calculation of toxicity potentials for 181 substances with the nested multi-media fate, exposure and effects model USES-LCA. , 2000, Chemosphere.

[9]  Christopher A. Laroo,et al.  Brake Wear Particulate Matter Emissions , 2000 .

[10]  D van de Meent,et al.  Priority assessment of toxic substances in life cycle assessment. Part II: assessing parameter uncertainty and human variability in the calculation of toxicity potentials. , 2000, Chemosphere.

[11]  Kazuhiro Ohta,et al.  Year 2000 R&D status of large-scale lithium ion secondary batteries in the national project of Japan , 2001 .

[12]  Alexander Röder,et al.  Integration of life-cycle assessment and energy planning models for the evaluation of car powertrains and fuels , 2001 .

[13]  Jeroen B. Guinee,et al.  Handbook on life cycle assessment operational guide to the ISO standards , 2002 .

[14]  Max Åhman Primary energy efficiency of alternative powertrains in vehicles , 2002 .

[15]  David L. McCleese,et al.  Using monte carlo simulation in life cycle assessment for electric and internal combustion vehicles , 2002 .

[16]  Mark A. Delucchi,et al.  A Lifecycle Emissions Model (LEM): Lifecycle Emissions from Transportation Fuels, Motor Vehicles, Transportation Modes, Electricity Use, Heating and Cooking Fuels, and Materials , 2003 .

[17]  H Scott Matthews,et al.  Life cycle benefits of using nanotechnology to stabilize platinum-group metal particles in automotive catalysts. , 2005, Environmental science & technology.

[18]  M.S. Duvall Battery evaluation for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles , 2005, 2005 IEEE Vehicle Power and Propulsion Conference.

[19]  E. Hertwich Consumption and the Rebound Effect: An Industrial Ecology Perspective , 2005 .

[20]  Edgar G. Hertwich,et al.  Structural analysis of international trade: Environmental impacts of Norway , 2006 .

[21]  Joeri Van Mierlo,et al.  SUBAT: An assessment of sustainable battery technology , 2006 .

[22]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  Uncertainty in Impact and Externality Assessments - Implications for Decision-Making (13 pp) , 2006 .

[23]  Ye Wu,et al.  Development and applications of GREET 2.7 -- The Transportation Vehicle-CycleModel. , 2006 .

[24]  Yasushi Kondo,et al.  The Waste Input‐Output Approach to Materials Flow Analysis , 2007 .

[25]  Reid Lifset,et al.  Dining at the periodic table: metals concentrations as they relate to recycling. , 2007, Environmental science & technology.

[26]  Eckhard Karden,et al.  Energy storage devices for future hybrid electric vehicles , 2007 .

[27]  Rajendra Kumar Jenamani,et al.  Alarming rise in fog and pollution causing a fall in maximum temperature over Delhi , 2007 .

[28]  Daniel M. Kammen,et al.  Effects of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles in California Energy Markets , 2007 .

[29]  Tony Markel,et al.  Costs and Emissions Associated with Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Charging in the Xcel Energy Colorado Service Territory , 2007 .

[30]  T. Wilbanks,et al.  Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2007 .

[31]  M. Armand,et al.  Building better batteries , 2008, Nature.

[32]  Stefan Bringezu,et al.  Platinum Group Metal Flows of Europe, Part 1 , 2008 .

[33]  Daniel B Müller,et al.  Anthropogenic nickel cycle: insights into use, trade, and recycling. , 2008, Environmental science & technology.

[34]  Kyle W Meisterling,et al.  Life cycle assessment of greenhouse gas emissions from plug-in hybrid vehicles: implications for policy. , 2008, Environmental science & technology.

[35]  T. P. Kumar,et al.  Materials for next-generation lithium batteries , 2008 .

[36]  Joeri Van Mierlo,et al.  Life-cycle assessment of batteries in the context of the EU Directive on end-of-life vehicles , 2008 .

[37]  Amgad Elgowainy,et al.  Well-To-Wheels Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles , 2009 .

[38]  Jeremy J. Michalek,et al.  Impact of Battery Weight and Charging Patterns on the Economic and Environmental Benefits of Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles , 2009 .

[39]  S. Bringezu,et al.  Platinum Group Metal Flows of Europe, Part II , 2009 .

[40]  Aie Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles , 2009 .

[41]  Patrícia Baptista,et al.  Plug-in hybrid fuel cell vehicles market penetration scenarios , 2010 .

[42]  Kebin He,et al.  Environmental implication of electric vehicles in China. , 2010, Environmental science & technology.

[43]  M. Zackrisson,et al.  Life cycle assessment of lithium-ion batteries for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles – Critical issues , 2010 .

[44]  李君 NISSAN LEAF 或许,就在明天 , 2010 .

[45]  D. O M I N I,et al.  Contribution of Li-Ion Batteries to the Environmental Impact of Electric Vehicles , 2010 .

[46]  Jeremy J. Michalek,et al.  Optimal Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Design and Allocation for Minimum Life Cycle Cost, Petroleum Consumption, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions , 2010 .

[47]  Anders Hammer Strømman,et al.  Life cycle environmental assessment of lithium-ion and nickel metal hydride batteries for plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles. , 2011, Environmental science & technology.

[48]  Richard G. Moore,et al.  Supporting Information S1 , 2012 .

[49]  Paul R. Wyrwoll,et al.  World Business Council on Sustainable Development (WBCSD) , 2012 .

[50]  English Only Economic Commission for Europe , 2012 .

[51]  Anders Hammer Strømman,et al.  Environmental impacts of hybrid and electric vehicles—a review , 2012, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[52]  Supporting Information S2 , 2012 .