CHALLENGES IN THE PRELIMINARY RESULTS DISPLAY FROM THE GIF PROLIFERATION RESISTANCE AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION EVALUATION METHODOLOGY

The Generation IV International Forum (GIF) Nuclear Energy System Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection Evaluation Methodology has been used in several proliferation resistance nuclear reactor system design case studies to evaluate the differences in proliferation resistance of these systems. These studies, performed by a team of multi-national laboratory proliferation resistance experts, used an expert elicitation pathway assessment tool developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. This paper will discuss a variety of approaches, including graphical approaches, for the display and analysis of preliminary proliferation resistance results and describe the technical difficulties associated with the analysis of the collected data. The paper concludes with recommendations for qualitative methods to display the results from the expert elicitation.