T.A.I.D.A 시나리오 플래닝 방법과 교차영향분석을 이용한 U-Eco City 개발과 미래유망기술의 R&D 전략 수립에 관한 연구

A pan-government research and development plan is being prepared to establish the so-called U-Eco City as the national growth- driving industry. This plan will be made possible along with an increasing predictability in the image of future society, survey and prediction in technology demand, and the composition of technology road-map, and the distribution of resources. U-Eco City technologies are a human-centered, creative concept of city through which all the modern technologies such as city design, information-communication technology, ubiquitus technology, environment technology are fused or compounded to construct a new urban space. Thus it is demanded that limited resources in research development fund, research personnel and facilities be efficiently and tactically invested in the technology development in accordance with the principle of choice and concentration. I conducted the research in two stages. In the first step, with using the scenario planning method as the technology forecasting method, bright prospect technology field in the future society and the next prospect technology of future U-Eco City through technology prediction research are chosen. In the second step, results of chosen next prospect technology analyze into setting the priority of future technology in U-Eco City with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), method of multi-standards decision making, which is using extensively in public area.