Winter survival of female American black ducks on the Atlantic coast

We used radio telemetry to monitor the winter survival and cause-specific mortality of 227 female American black ducks (Anas rubripes) captured in New Jersey and Virginia, 1983-85. Mean survival rate for 19 December-15 February was 0.65. Survival from hunting and nonhunting risk was 0.84 and 0.78, respectively. Causes of nonhunting mortality included predation and emaciation (winter stress). After-hatchyear (AHY) ducks had a higher probability of survival than hatch-year (HY) ducks (0.73 vs. 0.60); most of this difference was related to survival from nonhunting risk. After-hatch-year ducks with body masses > median had a higher survival probability (0.85) than AHY ducks with < median body masses (0.61) because of differential survival from hunting risk. Hatch-year ducks had lower body mass than AHY ducks, but among HY ducks body mass was not related to survival. There were no consistent patterns in survivorship in relation to mean daily temperature, although the timing of the onset of low temperatures and storms may have influenced movement patterns. Our estimated survival rates are consistent with estimates from other studies of seasonal and annual survival. It may be possible to manage habitats for population segments at high risk (HY and low body mass birds), and increase black duck survivorship. J. WILDL. MANAGE. 53(1):99-109 Populations of American black ducks have declined from the 1950's to present (Barske 1968, Grandy 1983, Feierabend 1984). Reasons for the decline are unknown but may be related to specific causes of mortality such as hunting (Blandin 1982, Krementz et al. 1988), predation (Ringelman and Longcore 1983), competition from and hybridization with mallards (Anas platyrhynchos) (Johnsgard 1961, 1967), and habitat losses (Barske 1968). Winter is a critical time for black ducks, because of high energetic demands (Albright 1981, Reinecke et al. 1982). Reinecke et al. (1982) demonstrated that immature females achieved adult structural size, but were lighter in weight and had smaller nutrient reserves than did adults during their first winter. Other studies have corroborated a link between age, body condition, and probability of survival. Hepp et al. (1986) reported that the probability of being shot by hunters for mallards in poor condition was higher than for those in better condition. Haramis et al. (1986) reported a direct relationship between the body mass of canvasbacks (Aythya valisineria) in early winter and probability of surviving the winter. Although immature black ducks are more vulnerable to hunting (Schierbaum and Foley 1957, Krementz et al. 1988), and have lower annual survival rates than do adults (Blandin 1982, Krementz et al. 1987), whether age-specific mortality persists through winter, or occurs primarily during the postfledging period and early hunting season is unknown. Managers need estimates of winter survival rates and identification of mortality sources to understand black duck population dynamics and assist in the management of black duck populations. Our objectives were to estimate survival rates of black ducks during winter, examine specific components of mortality, specifically hunting versus nonhunting mortality, and examine variation in survival rates during winter in relation to age, body condition, time, geographic location, and weather conditions. We appreciate the assistance of E. L. Derleth, N. Dietz, B. Dirks, B. L. Estel, S. Holzman, A. G. Larochelle, J. M. Morton, H. H. Obrecht III, S. R. Perin, N. Phelps, H. G. Russell, M. A. Spoden, J. M. Walsh, and G. Wright in the collection of field data. We also thank F. Ferrigno, New Jersey Fish and Game, G. L. Inman and D. L. Beall of Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, and D. Holland of Chincoteague National 'Present address: Georgia Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, School of Forest Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602.