Research on the Spatial Spillover Effect of Industrial Agglomeration on the Economic Growth in the Yellow River Basin

The proposal of the high-quality development strategy of the Yellow River Basin is of great significance for accelerating industrial agglomeration. This study takes 49 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin as the research object. Based on the panel data from 2006 to 2018, we used the location quotient to calculate the manufacturing agglomeration, the producer service industry agglomeration and the synergistic agglomeration in the basin. The spatial Dubin model of the impact of the three types of agglomeration on the economic growth in the basin was constructed. The Yellow River basin was divided into upstream, midstream and downstream to explore the regional heterogeneity of the impact of the industrial agglomeration on the economic growth. The result showed that (1) the economic development of the Yellow River Basin has a spatial overflow. The economic improvement of the surrounding cities promotes local economic growth—the manufacturing agglomeration, producer service industry agglomeration and synergistic agglomeration all promote economic growth. The effect of the manufacturing agglomeration is more significant than the others. (2) The impact of the industrial agglomeration on the economic growth in the Yellow River Basin presents an evident regional heterogeneity, and the magnitude and direction of the action vary in the different regions.

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