Identifying Emerging Trends and Temporal Patterns About Self-driving Cars in Scientific Literature

Self-driving is an emerging technology which has several benefits such as improved quality of life, crash reductions, and fuel efficiency. There are however concerns regarding the utilization of self-driving technology such as affordability, safety, control, and liabilities. There is an increased effort in research centers, academia, and the industry to advance every sphere of science and technology yet it is getting harder to find innovative ideas. However, there is untapped potential to analyze the increasing research results using visual analytics, scientometrics, and machine learning. In this paper, we used scientific literature database, Scopus to collect relevant dataset and applied a visual analytics tool, CiteSpace, to conduct co-citation clustering, term burst detection, time series analysis to identify emerging trends, and analysis of global impacts and collaboration. Also, we applied unsupervised topic modeling, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) to identify hidden topics for gaining more insight about topics regarding self-driving technology. The results show emerging trends relevant to self-driving technology and global and regional collaboration between countries. Moreover, the result form the LDA shows that standard topic modeling reveals hidden topics without trend information. We believe that the result of this study indicates key technological areas and research domains which are the hot spots of the technology. For the future, we plan to include dynamic topic modeling to identify trends.

[1]  Tiago P. Peixoto,et al.  A network approach to topic models , 2017, Science Advances.

[2]  Markus Gmür,et al.  Co-citation analysis and the search for invisible colleges: A methodological evaluation , 2004, Scientometrics.

[3]  Ludo Waltman,et al.  Text mining and visualization using VOSviewer , 2011, ArXiv.

[4]  Charles I. Jones,et al.  Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find? , 2020 .

[5]  Hermann Hellwagner,et al.  Automatic sub-event detection in emergency management using social media , 2012, WWW.

[6]  K. Brijs Collaboration between Academia and Industry: KU Leuven , 2017 .

[7]  Stefan Wrobel,et al.  Visual analytics tools for analysis of movement data , 2007, SKDD.

[8]  Jon M. Kleinberg,et al.  Bursty and Hierarchical Structure in Streams , 2002, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery.

[9]  Henry Small Visualizing science by citation mapping , 1999 .

[10]  William M. Pottenger,et al.  A Survey of Emerging Trend Detection in Textual Data Mining , 2004 .

[11]  Danilo Alves de Lima,et al.  AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: Scientometric and bibliometric studies , 2017 .

[12]  Ivica Crnkovic,et al.  Meeting Industry-Academia Research Collaboration Challenges with Agile Methodologies , 2017, 2017 IEEE/ACM 39th International Conference on Software Engineering: Software Engineering in Practice Track (ICSE-SEIP).

[13]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  A review of theory and practice in scientometrics , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[14]  Francisco Herrera,et al.  Science mapping software tools: Review, analysis, and cooperative study among tools , 2011, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[15]  Yuen-Hsien Tseng,et al.  A comparison of methods for detecting hot topics , 2009, Scientometrics.

[16]  Adèle Paul-Hus,et al.  The journal coverage of Web of Science and Scopus: a comparative analysis , 2015, Scientometrics.

[17]  Lisa Maher,et al.  The Development of an early Warning System to Detect Trends in Illicit Drug use in Australia: The Illicit Drug Reporting System , 1998 .

[18]  Ahmed Youssef,et al.  Exploring trends and themes in bioinformatics literature using topic modeling and temporal analysis , 2018, 2018 IEEE Long Island Systems, Applications and Technology Conference (LISAT).

[19]  Danielle Dai,et al.  Public Perceptions of Self-Driving Cars: The Case of Berkeley, California , 2014 .

[20]  Jianhua Hou,et al.  The structure and dynamics of cocitation clusters: A multiple-perspective cocitation analysis , 2010 .

[21]  David M. Blei,et al.  Probabilistic topic models , 2012, Commun. ACM.

[22]  Michael I. Jordan,et al.  Latent Dirichlet Allocation , 2001, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[23]  Gustaf Juell-Skielse,et al.  Unveiling Topics from Scientific Literature on the Subject of Self-driving Cars using Latent Dirichlet Allocation , 2018, 2018 IEEE 9th Annual Information Technology, Electronics and Mobile Communication Conference (IEMCON).

[24]  Michael Sivak,et al.  A Survey of Public Opinion about Autonomous and Self-Driving Vehicles in the U.S., the U.K., and Australia , 2014 .

[25]  Efstathios Stamatatos,et al.  Syntactic N-grams as machine learning features for natural language processing , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[26]  Yue Chen,et al.  Towards an explanatory and computational theory of scientific discovery , 2009, J. Informetrics.

[27]  Bernardo A. Huberman,et al.  Predicting the Future with Social Media , 2010, Web Intelligence.

[28]  Wendy W. Moe,et al.  Measuring the Value of Social Dynamics in Online Product Ratings Forums , 2010 .

[29]  Peter Davidson,et al.  AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES - WHAT COULD THIS MEAN FOR THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORT? , 2015 .

[30]  Michel Zitt,et al.  Development of a method for detection and trend analysis of research fronts built by lexical or cocitation analysis , 1994, Scientometrics.

[31]  Daniel A. Keim,et al.  Visual Analytics: Definition, Process, and Challenges , 2008, Information Visualization.

[32]  Patrick Lin Why Ethics Matters for Autonomous Cars , 2016 .

[33]  Daniel Barbará,et al.  On-line LDA: Adaptive Topic Models for Mining Text Streams with Applications to Topic Detection and Tracking , 2008, 2008 Eighth IEEE International Conference on Data Mining.

[34]  Gustaf Juell-Skielse,et al.  Social media analytics and internet of things: survey , 2017, IML.

[35]  Michael Sivak,et al.  A survey of public opinion about connected vehicles in the U.S., the U.K., and Australia , 2014, 2014 International Conference on Connected Vehicles and Expo (ICCVE).

[36]  Chaomei Chen,et al.  Emerging trends in regenerative medicine: a scientometric analysis in CiteSpace , 2012, Expert opinion on biological therapy.

[37]  Huan Liu,et al.  Text Analytics in Social Media , 2012, Mining Text Data.

[38]  Ronen Feldman,et al.  Book Reviews: The Text Mining Handbook: Advanced Approaches to Analyzing Unstructured Data by Ronen Feldman and James Sanger , 2008, CL.

[39]  Jie Yin,et al.  Using Social Media to Enhance Emergency Situation Awareness , 2012, IEEE Intelligent Systems.

[40]  Wu He,et al.  International Journal of Information Management Social Media Competitive Analysis and Text Mining: a Case Study in the Pizza Industry , 2022 .

[41]  K. Kockelman,et al.  Are we ready to embrace connected and self-driving vehicles? A case study of Texans , 2016, Transportation.

[42]  Diane J. Cook,et al.  Monitoring Influenza Trends through Mining Social Media , 2009, BIOCOMP.

[43]  Bingfeng Ge,et al.  Development trend forecasting for coherent light generator technology based on patent citation network analysis , 2017, Scientometrics.

[44]  Enrico Motta,et al.  AUGUR: Forecasting the Emergence of New Research Topics , 2018, JCDL.

[45]  Rosa Grimaldi,et al.  How intermediary organizations facilitate university–industry technology transfer: A proximity approach , 2017 .

[46]  Keshav Bimbraw,et al.  Autonomous cars: Past, present and future a review of the developments in the last century, the present scenario and the expected future of autonomous vehicle technology , 2015, 2015 12th International Conference on Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics (ICINCO).

[47]  Chaomei Chen,et al.  Web site design with the patron in mind: A step-by-step guide for libraries , 2006 .

[48]  Masood Fooladi,et al.  A Comparison between Two Main Academic Literature Collections: Web of Science and Scopus Databases , 2013, ArXiv.

[49]  Daniel J. Fagnant,et al.  Preparing a Nation for Autonomous Vehicles: Opportunities, Barriers and Policy Recommendations , 2015 .

[50]  H. Small,et al.  Identifying emerging topics in science and technology , 2014 .