Prediction of Energy Consumption in Jiangsu Based on Combination Model

This paper first analyzes the construction and trend of the energy consumption in Jiangsu. And then a non-linear forecasting model and an ARMIMA model are established based on energy consumption data from 1985 to 2007. The two methods are connected to build a combination forecasting model. Finally the prediction results of the new model of future energy consumption are analyzed. The combination model shows a high credibility in prediction.