Segmented inner composition alignment to detect coupling of different subsystems

Inner composition alignment (IOTA) is a recently proposed, permutation-based asymmetric association measure to identify coupling (interrelations) between different subsystems, together with the associated directionality, which is especially designed for very short time series. In this paper, we extended IOTA to investigate the coupling between subsystems for long time series, which is called segmented IOTA (SIOTA). Both global and local degree of couplings can be detected by varying the segment length. SIOTA is then applied to investigate interactions between stock market indices of America and different countries, and obtain many interesting results. Compared to SIOTA, cross-sample entropy is introduced to obtain consistent results. Besides, time-delay SIOTA, modified from SIOTA, is employed to find the best delay time for two time series with missing values.

[1]  Luciano Telesca,et al.  Analysis of time dynamics in wind records by means of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis and Fisher-Shannon information plane , 2011 .

[2]  J. Bouchaud,et al.  Noise Dressing of Financial Correlation Matrices , 1998, cond-mat/9810255.

[3]  K Kaski,et al.  Time-dependent cross-correlations between different stock returns: a directed network of influence. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[4]  Boris Podobnik,et al.  Modeling long-range cross-correlations in two-component ARFIMA and FIARCH processes , 2007, 0709.0838.

[5]  Kathleen Marchal,et al.  SynTReN: a generator of synthetic gene expression data for design and analysis of structure learning algorithms , 2006, BMC Bioinformatics.

[6]  V. Plerou,et al.  Universal and Nonuniversal Properties of Cross Correlations in Financial Time Series , 1999, cond-mat/9902283.

[7]  Steven M. Pincus,et al.  Older males secrete luteinizing hormone and testosterone more irregularly, and jointly more asynchronously, than younger males. , 1996, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[8]  Ming-Chang Huang,et al.  Phase Distribution and Phase Correlation of Financial Time Series , 2006, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[9]  J. Richman,et al.  Physiological time-series analysis using approximate entropy and sample entropy. , 2000, American journal of physiology. Heart and circulatory physiology.

[10]  Ming-Chya Wu Phase correlation of foreign exchange time series , 2007 .

[11]  H. Kantz,et al.  Analysing the information flow between financial time series , 2002 .

[12]  Matthew O. Jackson,et al.  The Evolution of Social and Economic Networks , 2002, J. Econ. Theory.

[13]  E. Bacry,et al.  The Multifractal Formalism Revisited with Wavelets , 1994 .

[14]  H. Stanley,et al.  Quantifying cross-correlations using local and global detrending approaches , 2009 .

[15]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Statistical mechanics of complex networks , 2001, ArXiv.

[16]  S. Pincus,et al.  Randomness and degrees of irregularity. , 1996, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[17]  Takayuki Mizuno,et al.  Correlation networks among currencies , 2006 .

[18]  Okyu Kwon,et al.  Information flow between composite stock index and individual stocks , 2007, 0708.0063.

[19]  Roberto Carniel,et al.  Time-dependent Fisher Information Measure of volcanic tremor before the 5 April 2003 paroxysm at Stromboli volcano, Italy , 2010 .

[20]  Kyoko Ohashi,et al.  Asymmetrical singularities in real-world signals. , 2003, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[21]  Jürgen Kurths,et al.  Recurrence networks—a novel paradigm for nonlinear time series analysis , 2009, 0908.3447.

[22]  Heather J. Ruskin,et al.  Cross-Correlation Dynamics in Financial Time Series , 2009, 1002.0321.

[23]  Li-Zhi Liu,et al.  Cross-sample entropy of foreign exchange time series , 2010 .

[24]  Okyu Kwon,et al.  Information flow between stock indices , 2008, 0802.1747.

[25]  Jing Wang,et al.  MULTIFRACTAL CROSS-CORRELATION ANALYSIS BASED ON STATISTICAL MOMENTS , 2012 .

[26]  Schreiber,et al.  Measuring information transfer , 2000, Physical review letters.

[27]  Luciano Telesca,et al.  Analysis of dynamics in magnetotelluric data by using the Fisher–Shannon method , 2011 .

[28]  J Kurths,et al.  Inner composition alignment for inferring directed networks from short time series. , 2011, Physical review letters.

[29]  H. Stanley,et al.  Power-law autocorrelated stochastic processes with long-range cross-correlations , 2007 .