Long term satellite hourly, daily and monthly global, beam and diffuse irradiance validation. Interannual variability analysis

Satellite derived solar radiation is nowadays a good alternative to ground measurements for renewable energy applications. It has the advantage to provide data with a good accuracy, the best time and space granularity, in term of real time series and average year such as TMY. This report presents results of a long term validation in the European and Mediteranean region of six nowcast satellite products in hourly, daily and monthly values, and six average products on an annual basis. The performance of all the products is put forward with the natural interannual variability; for comparison purpose, the SatelLight model is also included in the results. The main results are: - the accuracy of the derived global irradiance reaches 17% with no bias, and 34% for the beam component with a negligible bias, - even with some high discrepancies for specific sites and models, on the average, all the products provide the annual global irradiation within one standard deviation of the interannual variability, with a bias standard deviation from 2% to 5%. - eight of the nine models provide beam irradiance within one standard deviation, the best bias standard deviation is 6%.

[1]  F. Massey The Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test for Goodness of Fit , 1951 .

[2]  Benjamin Y. H. Liu,et al.  The interrelationship and characteristic distribution of direct, diffuse and total solar radiation , 1960 .

[3]  M. A. Atwater,et al.  Comparison of Radiation Computations Using Observed and Estimated Precipitable Water , 1976 .

[4]  E. Raschke,et al.  Incident Solar Radiation over Europe Estimated from METEOSAT Data. , 1984 .

[5]  H. Guillard,et al.  A method for the determination of the global solar radiation from meteorological satellite data , 1986 .

[6]  J. Olseth,et al.  A model for the diffuse fraction of hourly global radiation , 1987 .

[7]  P. Ineichen,et al.  A new simplified version of the perez diffuse irradiance model for tilted surfaces , 1987 .

[8]  Christian A. Gueymard,et al.  A two-band model for the calculation of clear sky solar irradiance, illuminance, and photosynthetically active radiation at the earth's surface , 1989 .

[9]  Richard Perez,et al.  Making full use of the clearness index for parameterizing hourly insolation conditions , 1990 .

[10]  P. Poggi,et al.  Correlations for direct normal and global horizontal irradiation on a French Mediterranean site , 1991 .

[11]  P. Ineichen,et al.  Dynamic global-to-direct irradiance conversion models , 1992 .

[12]  H. Beyer,et al.  Modifications of the Heliosat procedure for irradiance estimates from satellite images , 1996 .

[13]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[14]  P. Ineichen,et al.  Equivalence of pyrheliometric and monochromatic aerosol optical depths at a single key wavelength. , 1998, Applied optics.

[15]  J. Olseth,et al.  An hourly diffuse fraction model with correction for variability and surface albedo , 1998 .

[16]  Christian Reise,et al.  Derivation of Daylight and Solar Irradiance Data from Satellite Observations , 1998 .

[17]  Christian Reise,et al.  SatelLight: A WWW server which provides high quality daylight and solar radiation data for Western and Central Europe , 1998 .

[18]  L. Wald,et al.  On the clear sky model of the ESRA — European Solar Radiation Atlas — with respect to the heliosat method , 2000 .

[19]  A. Hammer,et al.  Anwendungsspezifische Solarstrahlungsinformationen aus Meteosat-Daten , 2001 .

[20]  H. Beyer,et al.  Solar energy assessment using remote sensing technologies , 2003 .

[21]  L. Wald,et al.  The method Heliosat-2 for deriving shortwave solar radiation from satellite images , 2004 .

[22]  R. Kuhlemann,et al.  Rethinking satellite-based solar irradiance modelling: The SOLIS clear-sky module , 2004 .

[23]  B. Mayer,et al.  Long-Term Variability of Solar Radiation Derived from Satellite Data , 2004 .

[24]  M. Derrien,et al.  MSG/SEVIRI cloud mask and type from SAFNWC , 2005 .

[25]  Bernhard Mayer,et al.  Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Technical Note: the Libradtran Software Package for Radiative Transfer Calculations – Description and Examples of Use , 2022 .

[26]  W. Collins,et al.  An AeroCom Initial Assessment - Optical Properties in Aerosol Component Modules of Global Models , 2005 .

[27]  A. Gruen,et al.  Operational snow mapping using multitemporal Meteosat SEVIRI imagery , 2007 .

[28]  Knut-Frode Dagestad,et al.  A modified algorithm for calculating the cloud index , 2007 .

[29]  Bernhard Geiger,et al.  Satellite Application Facilities irradiance products: hourly time step comparison and validation over Europe , 2009 .

[30]  Pierre Ineichen,et al.  Comparison and validation of three global-to-beam irradiance models against ground measurements , 2008 .

[31]  P. Ineichen A broadband simplified version of the Solis clear sky model , 2008 .

[32]  R. Hollmann,et al.  The CM-SAF operational scheme for the satellite based retrieval of solar surface irradiance - a LUT based eigenvector hybrid approach. , 2009 .

[33]  Jesús Polo,et al.  A new statistical approach for deriving global solar radiation from satellite images , 2009 .

[34]  D. Heinemann,et al.  DIRECT NORMAL IRRADIANCE FOR CSP BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGES OF METEOSAT SECOND GENERATION , 2009 .

[35]  L. Ramírez,et al.  Analysis of different comparison parameters applied to solar radiation data from satellite and German radiometric stations , 2009 .

[36]  L. Zarzalejo,et al.  Estimation of daily Linke turbidity factor by using global irradiance measurements at solar noon , 2009 .

[37]  L. Ramírez,et al.  Angstrom turbidity and ozone column estimations from spectral solar irradiance in a semi-desertic environment in Spain , 2009 .

[38]  Richard Perez,et al.  Aerosol quantification based on global irradiance , 2010 .

[39]  Tomas Cebecauer,et al.  Spatial disaggregation of satellite-derived irradiance using a high-resolution digital elevation model , 2010 .

[40]  A. Slingo,et al.  Clouds in the Perturbed Climate System , 2010 .

[41]  P. Ineichen Five satellite products deriving beam and global irradiance validation on data from 23 ground stations , 2011 .