A genetic Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system for fish habitat preference modelling

Genetic fuzzy systems have a potential to be applied to ecological studies as a tool for species distribution modelling and habitat evaluation. However, no study has focused on how different model formulations affect habitat preference evaluation and performance of the model. The present study therefore aims to assess the effect of model formulations on habitat preference evaluation through the optimization process. We employed a genetic algorithm (GA)-optimized Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model for evaluating habitat preference of topmouth gudgeon (Pseudorasbora parva), a freshwater fish in Japan. The model was trained based on the mean square error (MSE) between composite habitat preference and observed presence-absence, and evaluated using confusion matrix-derived performance measures such as kappa and correctly classified instances (CCI). The present results clearly illustrated the effect of model formulations on habitat preference evaluation, which appeared as different trends in habitat preference curves (HPCs) and the variance. The use of the product equation is recommended in view of model accuracy and consistency in HPCs. Further studies would be necessary for better understanding of model behaviour to different conditions of data such as sample size and prevalence.

[1]  Francisco Herrera,et al.  Genetic fuzzy systems: taxonomy, current research trends and prospects , 2008, Evol. Intell..

[2]  A. Peterson,et al.  Predicting Species Invasions Using Ecological Niche Modeling: New Approaches from Bioinformatics Attack a Pressing Problem , 2001 .

[3]  Ans Mouton,et al.  Ecological relevance of' performance criteria for species distribution models , 2010 .

[4]  R. Gozlan,et al.  Microhabitat use and interspecific associations of introduced topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva and native fishes in a small stream , 2007 .

[5]  J. Elith,et al.  Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models , 2009 .

[6]  Mathieu Marmion,et al.  Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling , 2009 .

[7]  Shinji Fukuda,et al.  Consideration of fuzziness: is it necessary in modelling fish habitat preference of Japanese medaka (Oryzias latipes)? , 2009 .

[8]  H. Ishibuchi Genetic fuzzy systems: evolutionary tuning and learning of fuzzy knowledge bases , 2004 .

[9]  Matthias Schneider,et al.  Optimisation of a fuzzy physical habitat model for spawning European grayling ( Thymallus thymallus L.) in the Aare river (Thun, Switzerland) , 2008 .

[10]  Francisco Herrera,et al.  Genetic Fuzzy Systems - Evolutionary Tuning and Learning of Fuzzy Knowledge Bases , 2002, Advances in Fuzzy Systems - Applications and Theory.

[11]  J. Lobo,et al.  Threshold criteria for conversion of probability of species presence to either–or presence–absence , 2007 .

[12]  Ken D. Bovee,et al.  A guide to stream habitat analysis using the Instream Flow Incremental Methodology. IFIP No. 12 , 1982 .

[13]  Rafael Pino-Mejías,et al.  Predicting the potential habitat of oaks with data mining models and the R system , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..

[14]  Yegang Wu,et al.  A risk-based decision model and risk assessment of invasive mussels , 2010 .

[15]  T. Dawson,et al.  Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions , 2005 .

[16]  Shinji Fukuda,et al.  Assessing Nonlinearity in Fish Habitat Preference of Japanese Medaka (Oryzias latipes) Using Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Habitat Prediction Models , 2008 .

[17]  Kazuaki Hiramatsu,et al.  GA-based model optimization for preference intensity of Japanese Medaka Fish (Oryzias latipes) to streamflow environments , 2004, Paddy and Water Environment.

[18]  Antoine Guisan,et al.  Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology , 2000 .

[19]  John Bell,et al.  A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models , 1997, Environmental Conservation.

[20]  Michio Sugeno,et al.  Fuzzy identification of systems and its applications to modeling and control , 1985, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[21]  Matthias Schneider,et al.  Fuzzy based Models for the Evaluation of Fish Habitat Quality and Instream Flow Assessment , 2001 .

[22]  Matthias Schneider,et al.  Fish habitat modelling as a tool for river management , 2007 .

[23]  Donald J. Orth,et al.  Formulation of Habitat Suitability Models for Stream Fish Guilds: Do the Standard Methods Work? , 2001 .

[24]  Peter Goethals,et al.  Fuzzy knowledge-based models for prediction of Asellus and Gammarus in watercourses in Flanders (Belgium) , 2006 .

[25]  W. Thuiller,et al.  Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. , 2005, Ecology letters.

[26]  B. Baets,et al.  Fuzzy rule-based macroinvertebrate habitat suitability models for running waters , 2006 .

[27]  M. Sykes,et al.  Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. , 2005, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[28]  B. L. Lamb,et al.  Stream habitat analysis using the instream flow incremental methodology , 1998 .

[29]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search Optimization and Machine Learning , 1988 .

[30]  Bernard De Baets,et al.  Interpretability-preserving genetic optimization of linguistic terms in fuzzy models for fuzzy ordered classification: An ecological case study , 2007, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[31]  A. Townsend Peterson,et al.  Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data , 2006 .

[32]  Jane Elith,et al.  The evaluation strip: A new and robust method for plotting predicted responses from species distribution models , 2005 .

[33]  Kazuaki Hiramatsu,et al.  Prediction ability and sensitivity of artificial intelligence-based habitat preference models for predicting spatial distribution of Japanese medaka (Oryzias latipes) , 2008 .

[34]  David R. B. Stockwell,et al.  Induction of sets of rules from animal distribution data: a robust and informative method of data analysis , 1992 .