Special Theme : proTecTion and reSToraTion — are We having an effecT ? A Levels-of-Evidence Approach for Assessing Cumulative Ecosystem Response to Estuary and River Restoration Programs

Large-scale ecological restoration programs are beginning to supplement isolated projects implemented on rivers and tidal waterways. Nevertheless, the effects of estuary and river restoration often continue to be evaluated at local project scales or by integration in an additive manner. Today, we have sufficient scientific understanding to apply knowledge gained from measuring cumulative impacts of anthropogenic stressors on ecosystems to assessment of ecological restoration. Integration of this knowledge has potential to increase the efficacy of restoration projects that are conducted at several locations but comanaged within the confines of a larger integrative program. We introduce a framework based on a levels-of-evidence approach that facilitates assessment of the cumulative landscape effects of individual restoration actions taken at many different locations. It incorporates data collection at restoration and reference sites, hydrodynamic modeling, geographic information systems, and meta-analyses in a five-stage process: design, data development, analysis, synthesis and evaluation, and application. This framework evolved from the need to evaluate the efficacy of restoration projects that are being implemented in numerous wetlands on the 235 km tidal portion of the Columbia River, USA, which are intended to increase rearing habitat for out-migrating juvenile salmonid fishes.

[1]  H. S. Nielsen,et al.  Weighing the evidence , 2012, Acta obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica.

[2]  A. Baptista,et al.  Estuarine Habitat and Juvenile Salmon: Current and Historical Linkages in the Lower Columbia River and Estuary , 2011 .

[3]  Shon A. Zimmerman,et al.  Lower Columbia River and Estuary Restoration Reference Site Study , 2011 .

[4]  Gregory D. Williams,et al.  Lower Columbia River and Estuary Habitat Restoration Prioritization Framework , 2011, Ecological Restoration.

[5]  Earl M. Dawley,et al.  Juvenile Salmonid Use of Reconnected Tidal Freshwater Wetlands in Grays River, Lower Columbia River Basin , 2010 .

[6]  J. Stichler Weighing the Evidence , 2010, HERD.

[7]  Nichole K. Sather,et al.  Multiscale Analysis of Restoration Priorities for Marine Shoreline Planning , 2009, Environmental management.

[8]  P. Keddy,et al.  The World's Largest Wetlands: Ecology and Conservation , 2009 .

[9]  D. Montgomery,et al.  Pool Spacing, Channel Morphology, and the Restoration of Tidal Forested Wetlands of the Columbia River, U.S.A. , 2009 .

[10]  I. Côté,et al.  Quantifying the evidence for ecological synergies. , 2008, Ecology letters.

[11]  Benjamin S Halpern,et al.  Interactive and cumulative effects of multiple human stressors in marine systems. , 2008, Ecology letters.

[12]  Shon A. Zimmerman,et al.  Protocols for Monitoring Habitat Restoration Projects in the Lower Columbia River and Estuary , 2008 .

[13]  Carrie V. Kappel,et al.  A Global Map of Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems , 2008, Science.

[14]  A. Coleman,et al.  Hydraulic geometry and microtopography of tidal freshwater forested wetlands and implications for restoration, Columbia River, U.S.A. , 2008 .

[15]  Karen L. McLeod,et al.  Managing for cumulative impacts in ecosystem-based management through ocean zoning , 2008 .

[16]  Earl M. Dawley,et al.  Evaluating Cumulative Ecosystem Response to Restoration Projects in the Columbia River Estuary, Annual Report 2006 , 2007 .

[17]  Julian D. Olden,et al.  Incorporating positive interactions in aquatic restoration and conservation , 2007 .

[18]  Wayne G. Landisa,et al.  Ten Years of the Relative Risk Model and Regional Scale Ecological Risk Assessment , 2007 .

[19]  W. Landis,et al.  REFLECTION Ten Years of the Relative Risk Model and Regional Scale Ecological Risk Assessment , 2007 .

[20]  M. Jean The World's Largest Wetlands: Ecology and Conservation , 2006 .

[21]  David B. Lindenmayer,et al.  Stretch Goals and Backcasting: Approaches for Overcoming Barriers to Large‐Scale Ecological Restoration , 2006 .

[22]  H. Lenihan,et al.  Depletion, Degradation, and Recovery Potential of Estuaries and Coastal Seas , 2006, Science.

[23]  S. Rood,et al.  Riparia: Ecology, Conservation, and Management of Streamside Communities , 2006 .

[24]  Michael R. Roman,et al.  Eutrophication of Chesapeake Bay: historical trends and ecological interactions , 2005 .

[25]  R. Naiman,et al.  Riparia: Ecology, Conservation, and Management of Streamside Communities , 2005 .

[26]  C. Revenga,et al.  Fragmentation and Flow Regulation of the World's Large River Systems , 2005, Science.

[27]  R. Thom,et al.  Balancing the Need to Develop Coastal Areas with the Desire for an Ecologically Functioning Coastal Environment: Is Net Ecosystem Improvement Possible? , 2005 .

[28]  W. Junk,et al.  The Amazon River basin , 2005 .

[29]  James R. Simpson,et al.  USDA FOREST SERVICE, PACIFIC SOUTHWEST RESEARCH STATION , 2005 .

[30]  António M. Baptista,et al.  Salmon at River's End: The Role of the Estuary in the Decline and Recovery of Columbia River salmon , 2005 .

[31]  Matthew T. Heberling,et al.  Introduction to Ecological Risk Assessment in Watersheds , 2004 .

[32]  Matthew T. Heberling,et al.  Economics and Ecological Risk Assessment : Applications to Watershed Management , 2004 .

[33]  C. Staples,et al.  A Weight of Evidence Analysis of the Chronic Ecotoxicity of Nonylphenol Ethoxylates, Nonylphenol Ether Carboxylates, and Nonylphenol , 2004 .

[34]  J. Allan Landscapes and Riverscapes: The Influence of Land Use on Stream Ecosystems , 2004 .

[35]  Earl M. Dawley,et al.  A Surface Trawl to Detect Migrating Juvenile Salmonids Tagged with Passive Integrated Transponder Tags , 2004 .

[36]  S. Hacker,et al.  Factors contributing to the removal of a marine grass invader (Spartina anglica) and subsequent potential for habitat restoration , 2004 .

[37]  Garry R. Russ,et al.  Marine reserve benefits local fisheries , 2004 .

[38]  G. Likens,et al.  Nor Gloom of Night: A New Conceptual Model for the Hubbard Brook Ecosystem Study , 2004 .

[39]  Paul Glasziou,et al.  Assessing the quality of research , 2004, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[40]  D. E. Busch,et al.  Effectiveness Monitoring for the Aquatic and Riparian Component of the Northwest Forest Plan : Conceptual Framework and Options , 2004 .

[41]  Leslie M. Reid Turning stumbling blocks into stepping stones in the analysis of cumulative impacts , 2004 .

[42]  D. Faith,et al.  Monitoring Ecological Impacts: Concepts and Practice in Flowing Waters , 2002 .

[43]  A. Fairbrother Lines of Evidence in Wildlife Risk Assessments , 2003 .

[44]  C. D. De Rosa,et al.  The Impact of 20 Years of Risk Assessment on Public Health , 2003 .

[45]  David A. Jay,et al.  Impacts of Columbia River discharge on salmonid habitat: 1. A nonstationary fluvial tide model , 2003 .

[46]  D. Jay,et al.  Impacts of Columbia River discharge on salmonid habitat: 2. Changes in shallow-water habitat , 2003 .

[47]  R. Hilborn,et al.  Estuarine influence on survival rates of coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) and chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) released from hatcheries on the U.S. Pacific coast , 2003 .

[48]  John A Nyman,et al.  A Proposed Coast-Wide Reference Monitoring System for Evaluating Wetland Restoration Trajectories in Louisiana , 2003, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[49]  K. Raposa Early Responses of Fishes and Crustaceans to Restoration of a Tidally Restricted New England Salt Marsh , 2002 .

[50]  J. Boyd Compensating for Wetland Losses under the Clean Water Act , 2002 .

[51]  Amit Mitra,et al.  Statistical Quality Control , 2002, Technometrics.

[52]  D. Burdick,et al.  A Monitoring Protocol to Assess Tidal Restoration of Salt Marshes on Local and Regional Scales , 2002 .

[53]  R. Thom,et al.  Floristic Development Patterns in a Restored Elk River Estuarine Marsh, Grays Harbor, Washington , 2002 .

[54]  Philip B. Williams,et al.  Hydraulic Geometry: A Geomorphic Design Tool for Tidal Marsh Channel Evolution in Wetland Restoration Projects , 2002 .

[55]  F. Short,et al.  Using Functional Trajectories to Track Constructed Salt Marsh Development in the Great Bay Estuary, Maine/New Hampshire, U.S.A. , 2002 .

[56]  Philip B. Williams,et al.  Physical Evolution of Restored Breached Levee Salt Marshes in the San Francisco Bay Estuary , 2002 .

[57]  W. Niering,et al.  Salt Marsh Restoration in Connecticut: 20 Years of Science and Management , 2002 .

[58]  Monica G. Turner,et al.  Landscape indicators of human impacts to riverine systems , 2002, Aquatic Sciences.

[59]  Application of Landscape Allometry to Restoration of Tidal Channels , 2002 .

[60]  C. Craft,et al.  Fifteen Years of Vegetation and Soil Development after Brackish‐Water Marsh Creation , 2002 .

[61]  Glenn W Suter,et al.  A methodology for inferring the causes of observed impairments in aquatic ecosystems , 2002, Environmental toxicology and chemistry.

[62]  A. Brown Learning from the past: palaeohydrology and palaeoecology , 2002 .

[63]  Varun Swamy,et al.  Macroinvertebrate and Fish Populations in a Restored Impounded Salt Marsh 21 Years After the Reestablishment of Tidal Flooding , 2002, Environmental management.

[64]  G. Pess,et al.  A Review of Stream Restoration Techniques and a Hierarchical Strategy for Prioritizing Restoration in Pacific Northwest Watersheds , 2002 .

[65]  Kenneth Finkelstein,et al.  Weighing the evidence of ecological risk from chemical contamination in the estuarine environment adjacent to the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard, Kittery, Maine, USA , 2002, Environmental toxicology and chemistry.

[66]  T. Reynoldson,et al.  Stressor Interactions in Ecological Systems , 2001 .

[67]  K. Bjorndal,et al.  Historical Overfishing and the Recent Collapse of Coastal Ecosystems , 2001, Science.

[68]  J. Skalski,et al.  Criteria for Oil Spill Recovery: A Case Study of the Intertidal Community of Prince William Sound, Alaska, Following the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill , 2001, Environmental management.

[69]  T. Reynoldson,et al.  Separating stressor influences from environmental variability: Eight case studies from aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems , 2001 .

[70]  Bill Shipley,et al.  Cause and Correlation in Biology: A User''s Guide to Path Analysis , 2016 .

[71]  P. Kareiva,et al.  Recovery and management options for spring/summer chinook salmon in the Columbia River basin. , 2000, Science.

[72]  John Callaway,et al.  Hydrology and substrate , 2000 .

[73]  Gregory D. Williams,et al.  Restoring assemblages of invertebrates and fishes , 2000 .

[74]  Joy B. Zedler,et al.  Handbook for Restoring Tidal Wetlands , 2000 .

[75]  Charles A. Simenstad,et al.  Ecological assessment criteria for restoring anadromous salmonid habitat in Pacific Northwest estuaries , 2000 .

[76]  Ronald M. Thom,et al.  Adaptive management of coastal ecosystem restoration projects , 2000 .

[77]  L. Gunderson Ecological Resilience—In Theory and Application , 2000 .

[78]  J. Hobbie,et al.  Estuarine science: a synthetic approach to research and practice , 2000 .

[79]  B. Shipley Cause and correlation in biology , 2000 .

[80]  Gregory D. Williams,et al.  Fish assemblage composition in constructed and natural tidal marshes of San Diego Bay: Relative influence of channel morphology and restoration history , 1999 .

[81]  J. Portnoy Salt Marsh Diking and Restoration: Biogeochemical Implications of Altered Wetland Hydrology , 1999, Environmental management.

[82]  Malcolm L. Hunter,et al.  Maintaining Biodiversity in Forest Ecosystems , 2000 .

[83]  Robert E. Ficken Beach of Heaven: A History of Wahkiakum County Irene Martin , 1999 .

[84]  Susan Bolton,et al.  An Approach to Restoring Salmonid Habitat‐forming Processes in Pacific Northwest Watersheds , 1999 .

[85]  British Ornithologists,et al.  Bulletin of the , 1999 .

[86]  Judith E. Innes,et al.  San Francisco Estuary Project , 1999 .

[87]  Monica G. Turner,et al.  Maintaining Biodiversity in Forest Ecosystems: Dynamic forest mosaics , 1999 .

[88]  Wayne G. Landis,et al.  Introduction to Environmental Toxicology: Impacts of Chemicals Upon Ecological Systems , 1998 .

[89]  Melvin J. Dubnick Army Corps of Engineers , 1998 .

[90]  T. Spies,et al.  Late-successional and old-growth forest effectiveness monitoring plan for the Northwest Forest Plan. , 1998 .

[91]  L. Reid Cumulative Watershed Effects : Caspar Creek and Beyond 1 , 1998 .

[92]  Jessica A. Miller,et al.  A comparative assessment of a natural and created estuarine slough as rearing habitat for juvenile chinook and coho salmon , 1997 .

[93]  R. Naiman,et al.  The Ecology of Interfaces: Riparian Zones , 1997 .

[94]  Ronald M. Thom,et al.  System-development matrix for adaptive management of coastal ecosystem restoration projects , 1997 .

[95]  D. Mitchell,et al.  Special report of the Massachusetts weight‐of‐evidence workgroup A weight‐of‐evidence approach for evaluating ecological risks , 1996 .

[96]  Charles A. Simenstad,et al.  Functional Equivalency Trajectories of the Restored Gog‐Le‐Hi‐Te Estuarine Wetland , 1996 .

[97]  D. Sackett,et al.  Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't , 1996, BMJ.

[98]  B. McArdle LEVELS OF EVIDENCE IN STUDIES OF COMPETITION, PREDATION, AND DISEASE , 1996 .

[99]  B. E. Feist,et al.  Ecological status of a created estuarine slough in the Chehalis river estuary: assessment of created and natural estuarine sloughs, January-December 1995 , 1996 .

[100]  John R. Skalski,et al.  Statistical considerations in the design and analysis of environmental damage assessment studies , 1995 .

[101]  Benjamin M. Adams,et al.  Advanced Topics in Statistical Process Control : The Power of Shewhart's Charts , 1995 .

[102]  James R. Sedell,et al.  A Disturbance-Based Ecosystem Approach to Maintaining and Restoring Freshwater Habitats of Evolutionarily Significant Units of Anadromous Salmonids in the Pacific Northwest , 1995 .

[103]  Robert J. Naiman,et al.  Watershed Management: Balancing Sustainability And Environmental Change , 1994 .

[104]  C. Levings Feeding behaviour of juvenile salmon and significance of habitat during estuary and early sea phase , 1994 .

[105]  Robert J. Orth,et al.  Changes in fluxes in estuaries : implications from science to management , 1994 .

[106]  D. Robson,et al.  Techniques for Wildlife Investigations, Design and Analysis of Capture Data , 1994 .

[107]  William H. van der Schalie,et al.  A framework for ecological risk assessment at the EPA , 1992 .

[108]  P. R. Adamus,et al.  Synoptic approach to cumulative impact assessment. A proposed methodology , 1992 .

[109]  Mary E. Kentula,et al.  An Approach to Improving Decision-Making in Wetland Restoration and Creation , 1992 .

[110]  Lee H. MacDonald,et al.  Fundamental Elements of Ecologically Healthy Watersheds in the Pacific Northwest Coastal Ecoregion , 1992 .

[111]  G A Fox,et al.  Practical causal inference for ecoepidemiologists. , 1991, Journal of toxicology and environmental health.

[112]  C. Levings,et al.  Intertidal habitats used by juvenile chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) rearing in the North Arm of the Fraser River estuary , 1991 .

[113]  Carl J. Walters,et al.  Large‐Scale Management Experiments and Learning by Doing , 1990 .

[114]  S. C. Hamilton,et al.  Landscape Conservation in a Forested Wetland Watershed , 1990 .

[115]  Charles A. Simenstad,et al.  Historical changes in the Columbia River Estuary , 1990 .

[116]  B. Frey,et al.  Primary production, plant and detrital biomass, and particle transport in the Columbia River Estuary , 1990 .

[117]  L. Small Columbia river : estuarine system , 1990 .

[118]  Michael E. Gilpin,et al.  Restoration Ecology: A Synthetic Approach to Ecological Research , 1989 .

[119]  B. D. Chang,et al.  Differential use of the Campbell River estuary, British Columbia, by wild and hatchery-reared juvenile chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) , 1986 .

[120]  Earl M. Dawley Migrational Characteristics, Biological Observations, and Relative Survival of Juvenile Salmonids Entering the Columbia River Estuary, 1966-1983, 1985 Final Report of Research. , 1986 .

[121]  Mary Ann Moran,et al.  Synthesis and Evaluation , 1986 .

[122]  D. Sackett,et al.  The Ends of Human Life: Medical Ethics in a Liberal Polity , 1992, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[123]  S. Bell,et al.  Changes in Columbia River Estuary habitat types over the past century: Map 1 , 1983 .

[124]  D. Levy,et al.  Juvenile Salmon Residency in a Marsh Area of the Fraser River Estuary , 1982 .

[125]  M. Healey JUVENILE PACIFIC SALMON IN ESTUARIES: THE LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM , 1982 .

[126]  H. Charles Romesburg,et al.  WILDLIFE SCIENCE: GAINING RELIABLE KNOWLEDGE , 1981 .

[127]  David H. Kent,et al.  The Columbia River Estuary Data Development Program , 1980 .

[128]  M. Healey UTILIZATION OF THE NANAIMO RIVER ESTUARY BY JUVENILE CHINOOK SALMON, ONCORHYNCHUS TSHAWYTSCHA , 1980 .

[129]  E. Odum THE STATUS OF THREE ECOSYSTEM-LEVEL HYPOTHESES REGARDING SALT MARSH ESTUARIES: TIDAL SUBSIDY, OUTWELLING, AND DETRITUS-BASED FOOD CHAINS , 1980 .

[130]  R. Green Sampling design and statistical methods for environmental biologists. , 1979 .

[131]  Irving Wingate Burr Statistical quality control methods , 1976 .

[132]  A Wolman,et al.  The environment and disease. , 1976, Bulletin of the Pan American Health Organization.

[133]  D. L. Alverson,et al.  The Columbia River estuary and adjacent ocean waters : bioenvironmental studies , 1972 .

[134]  Paul E. Reimers The length of residence of juvenile Fall Chinook salmon in Sixes River, Oregon , 1971 .

[135]  C. Fletcher,et al.  SMOKING AND HEALTH , 1972 .

[136]  David Harvey,et al.  Explanation in Geography , 1969 .

[137]  A. B. Hill The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation? , 1965, Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine.

[138]  Education Welfare.,et al.  Smoking and Health. Report of the Advisory Committee to the Surgeon General of the Public Health Service. , 1964 .

[139]  K F WELLMANN,et al.  [SMOKING AND HEALTH. ON THE REPORT OF THE ADVISORY COMMITTEE TO THE SURGEON GENERAL OF THE PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE]. , 1964, Deutsche medizinische Wochenschrift.

[140]  K. Popper,et al.  Conjectures and refutations;: The growth of scientific knowledge , 1972 .

[141]  J. T. Curtis,et al.  An Ordination of the Upland Forest Communities of Southern Wisconsin , 1957 .

[142]  G. Wetherill,et al.  Quality Control and Industrial Statistics , 1975 .

[143]  William G. Cochran,et al.  Experimental Designs, 2nd Edition , 1950 .

[144]  Eugene L. Grant,et al.  Statistical Quality Control , 1947 .