Variations in Trading Volume, Return Volatility, and Trading Costs: Evidence on Recent Price Formation Models

Patterns in stock market trading volume, trading costs, and return volatility are examined using New York Stock Excha nge data from 1988. Intraday test results indicate that, for actively traded firms trading volume, adverse selection costs, and return volatility are higher in the first half-hour of the day. This eviden ce is inconsistent with the Admati and Pfleiderer (1988) model which predicts that trading costs are low when volume and return volatilit y are high. Interday test results show that, for actively traded firms , trading volume is low and adverse selection costs are high on Monday , which is consistent with the predictions of the Foster and Viswanath an (1990) model. Copyright 1993 by American Finance Association.

[1]  N. E. Savin,et al.  The Bonferroni and the Scheffé multiple comparison procedures , 1980 .

[2]  H. Stoll,et al.  Stock Market Structure and Volatility , 1990 .

[3]  Anat R. Admati,et al.  A Theory of Intraday Patterns: Volume and Price Variability , 1988 .

[4]  L. Hansen Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators , 1982 .

[5]  Hans R. Stoll,et al.  Inferring the Components of the Bid‐Ask Spread: Theory and Empirical Tests , 1989 .

[6]  H. White Asymptotic theory for econometricians , 1985 .

[7]  William A. Brock,et al.  Periodic market closure and trading volume: A model of intraday bids and asks☆ , 1992 .

[8]  George S. Oldfield,et al.  A Theory of Common Stock Returns over Trading and Non-Trading Periods , 1980 .

[9]  J. Ord,et al.  An Investigation of Transactions Data for NYSE Stocks , 1985 .

[10]  W. Newey,et al.  A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelationconsistent Covariance Matrix , 1986 .

[11]  Prem C. Jain,et al.  The Dependence between Hourly Prices and Trading Volume , 1988, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[12]  Joel Hasbrouck,et al.  Trades, quotes, inventories, and information , 1988 .

[13]  H. Scheffé A Note on a Reformulation of the S-Method of Multiple Comparison , 1977 .

[14]  Joel Hasbrouck The Summary Informativeness of Stock Trades: An Econometric Analysis , 1991 .

[15]  S. Viswanathan,et al.  A theory of the interday variations in volume , 1990 .

[16]  K. French,et al.  Stock return variances: The arrival of information and the reaction of traders , 1986 .

[17]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  Estimating the components of the bid/ask spread , 1988 .

[18]  Charles M. C. Lee,et al.  Inferring Trade Direction from Intraday Data , 1991 .

[19]  Joel Hasbrouck,et al.  Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades , 1991 .

[20]  Thomas H. McInish,et al.  An Analysis of Intraday Patterns in Bid/Ask Spreads for NYSE Stocks , 1992 .

[21]  Campbell R. Harvey,et al.  Volatility in the Foreign Currency Futures Market , 1991 .

[22]  Frank A. Wolak,et al.  The Local Nature of Hypothesis Tests Involving Inequality Constraints in Nonlinear Models , 1991 .

[23]  A. Kyle Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading , 1985 .

[24]  Michael R. Gibbons,et al.  Subperiod aggregation and the power of multivariate tests of portfolio efficiency , 1987 .

[25]  L. Harris A transaction data study of weekly and intradaily patterns in stock returns , 1986 .