A human-neutral large carnivore? No patterns in the body mass of gray wolves across a gradient of anthropization

The gray wolf (Canis lupus) expanded its distribution in Europe over the last few decades. To better understand the extent to which wolves could re-occupy their historical range, it is important to test if anthropization can affect their fitness-related traits. After having accounted for ecologically relevant confounders, we assessed how anthropization influenced i) the growth of wolves during their first year of age (n = 53), ii) sexual dimorphism between male and female adult wolves (n = 121), in a sample of individuals that had been found dead in Italy between 1999 and 2021. Wolves in anthropized areas have a smaller overall variation in their body mass, during their first year of age. Because they already have slightly higher body weight at 3–5 months, possibly due to the availability of human-derived food sources. The difference in the body weight of adult females and males slightly increases with anthropization. However, this happens because of an increase in the body mass of males only, possibly due to sex-specific differences in dispersal and/or to “dispersal phenotypes”. Anthropization in Italy does not seem to have any clear, nor large, effect on the body mass of wolves. As body mass is in turn linked to important processes, like survival and reproduction, our findings indicates that wolves could potentially re-occupy most of their historical range in Europe, as anthropized landscapes do not seem to constrain such of an important life-history trait. Wolf management could therefore be needed across vast spatial scales and in anthropized areas prone to social conflicts.

[1]  S. Ciuti,et al.  Artificial selection in human‐wildlife feeding interactions , 2022, The Journal of animal ecology.

[2]  M. Heurich,et al.  Human disturbance is the most limiting factor driving habitat selection of a large carnivore throughout Continental Europe , 2022, Biological Conservation.

[3]  M. C. Fontana,et al.  Men and wolves: Anthropogenic causes are an important driver of wolf mortality in human-dominated landscapes in Italy , 2021, Global Ecology and Conservation.

[4]  D. Ausband Inherit the kingdom or storm the castle? Breeding strategies in a social carnivore , 2021, Ethology.

[5]  J. Theuerkauf,et al.  Wolves under cover: The importance of human-related factors in resting site selection in a commercial forest , 2021 .

[6]  M. Ferretti,et al.  A Step Change in Wild Boar Management in Tuscany Region, Central Italy , 2021, Managing Wildlife in a Changing World [Working Title].

[7]  Bryan S. McLean,et al.  Mammalian body size is determined by interactions between climate, urbanization, and ecological traits , 2021, Communications biology.

[8]  C. Wilmers,et al.  COVID-19 suppression of human mobility releases mountain lions from a landscape of fear , 2021, Current Biology.

[9]  P. Sunde,et al.  Where have all the young wolves gone? Traffic and cryptic mortality create a wolf population sink in Denmark and northernmost Germany , 2021, Conservation Letters.

[10]  R. Godinho,et al.  Source-sink dynamics promote wolf persistence in human-modified landscapes: Insights from long-term monitoring , 2021 .

[11]  M. Litvaitis,et al.  Bobcat Hair Cortisol Correlates with Land Use and Climate , 2021 .

[12]  C. Wilmers,et al.  Energetics and fear of humans constrain the spatial ecology of pumas , 2021, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[13]  M. Huijbregts,et al.  Large carnivore expansion in Europe is associated with human population density and land cover changes , 2021, Diversity and Distributions.

[14]  Jan Herr,et al.  First wolves in Luxembourg since 1893, originating from the Alpine and Central European populations , 2021 .

[15]  J. F. Benson,et al.  Resource selection at homesites by wolves and eastern coyotes in a Canis hybrid zone , 2020, Ecosphere.

[16]  Daniel D. Olson,et al.  Artificial nightlight alters the predator–prey dynamics of an apex carnivore , 2020 .

[17]  N. Macleod,et al.  Machine-learning strategies for testing patterns of morphological variation in small samples: sexual dimorphism in gray wolf (Canis lupus) crania , 2020, BMC Biology.

[18]  J. Gryz,et al.  Disease-Induced Mortality Outweighs Hunting in Causing Wild Boar Population Crash After African Swine Fever Outbreak , 2020, Frontiers in Veterinary Science.

[19]  A. Ford,et al.  The ecology of human–carnivore coexistence , 2020, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[20]  M. Apollonio,et al.  Relative impact of human harvest and wolf predation on two ungulate species in Central Italy , 2020 .

[21]  M. Krofel,et al.  Citizen science contribution to national wolf population monitoring: what have we learned? , 2020, European Journal of Wildlife Research.

[22]  V. Penteriani,et al.  Large carnivores living alongside humans: Brown bears in human-modified landscapes , 2020, Global Ecology and Conservation.

[23]  Petter Wabakken,et al.  Wolves at the door? Factors influencing the individual behavior of wolves in relation to anthropogenic features , 2020 .

[24]  Tara L. Teel,et al.  The changing sociocultural context of wildlife conservation , 2020, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[25]  L. Boitani,et al.  Anthropogenic food subsidies hinder the ecological role of wolves: Insights for conservation of apex predators in human-modified landscapes , 2020, Global Ecology and Conservation.

[26]  E. Fabbri,et al.  A standardized approach to empirically define reliable assignment thresholds and appropriate management categories in deeply introgressed populations , 2020, Scientific Reports.

[27]  O. Gimenez,et al.  A mechanistic–statistical species distribution model to explain and forecast wolf (Canis lupus) colonization in South-Eastern France , 2019, 1912.09676.

[28]  D. Stoner,et al.  Effects of land-use change and prey abundance on the body condition of an obligate carnivore at the wildland-urban interface , 2019, Landscape and Urban Planning.

[29]  Megan K. Jennings,et al.  Urbanization reduces genetic connectivity in bobcats (Lynx rufus) at both intra– and interpopulation spatial scales , 2019, Molecular ecology.

[30]  F. Ferretti,et al.  Food habits of wolves and selection of wild ungulates in a prey-rich Mediterranean coastal area , 2019, Mammalian Biology.

[31]  J. Belant,et al.  Subsidies from anthropogenic resources alter diet, activity, and ranging behavior of an apex predator (Canis lupus) , 2019, Scientific Reports.

[32]  Eli D. Strauss,et al.  Can hyena behaviour provide information on population trends of sympatric carnivores? , 2019, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B.

[33]  Nathan P. Lemoine,et al.  Moving beyond noninformative priors: why and how to choose weakly informative priors in Bayesian analyses , 2019, Oikos.

[34]  D. Passilongo,et al.  Estimation of pack density in grey wolf (Canis lupus) by applying spatially explicit capture-recapture models to camera trap data supported by genetic monitoring , 2018, Frontiers in Zoology.

[35]  C. Urbinati,et al.  70 Years of Land Use/Land Cover Changes in the Apennines (Italy): A Meta-Analysis , 2018, Forests.

[36]  Huanxin Zhang,et al.  Changes in feeding habits promoted the differentiation of the composition and function of gut microbiotas between domestic dogs (Canis lupus familiaris) and gray wolves (Canis lupus) , 2018, AMB Express.

[37]  Nikolaus Umlauf,et al.  A primer on Bayesian distributional regression , 2018 .

[38]  K. Holekamp,et al.  Anthropogenic disturbance induces opposing population trends in spotted hyenas and African lions , 2018, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[39]  L. Boitani,et al.  Determinants of home range size and space use patterns in a protected wolf (Canis lupus) population in the central Apennines, Italy , 2018, Canadian Journal of Zoology.

[40]  R. Wayne,et al.  Urbanization and anticoagulant poisons promote immune dysfunction in bobcats , 2018, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[41]  Paul-Christian Bürkner,et al.  brms: An R Package for Bayesian Multilevel Models Using Stan , 2017 .

[42]  J. Leonard,et al.  Wolf population genetics in Europe: a systematic review, meta‐analysis and suggestions for conservation and management , 2017, Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society.

[43]  L. Mech Where can wolves live and how can we live with them , 2017 .

[44]  Torrin M. Liddell,et al.  The Bayesian New Statistics: Hypothesis testing, estimation, meta-analysis, and power analysis from a Bayesian perspective , 2017, Psychonomic Bulletin & Review.

[45]  E. Mori,et al.  What does the wild boar mean to the wolf? , 2017, European Journal of Wildlife Research.

[46]  E. Dubovi,et al.  Patterns of Exposure of Iberian Wolves (Canis lupus) to Canine Viruses in Human-Dominated Landscapes , 2016, EcoHealth.

[47]  W. Ripple,et al.  Food habits of the world's grey wolves , 2016 .

[48]  Kendall R. Jones,et al.  Global terrestrial Human Footprint maps for 1993 and 2009 , 2016, Scientific Data.

[49]  W. Ripple,et al.  Prey depletion as a threat to the world's large carnivores , 2016, Royal Society Open Science.

[50]  N. Leader‐Williams,et al.  Global priorities for national carnivore conservation under land use change , 2016, Scientific Reports.

[51]  Matteo Serafini,et al.  Why do wolves eat livestock?: Factors influencing wolf diet in northern Italy , 2016 .

[52]  Aki Vehtari,et al.  Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC , 2015, Statistics and Computing.

[53]  C. Isaksson Urbanization, oxidative stress and inflammation: a question of evolving, acclimatizing or coping with urban environmental stress , 2015 .

[54]  D. Passilongo,et al.  Predicting the Spatial Distribution of Wolf (Canis lupus) Breeding Areas in a Mountainous Region of Central Italy , 2015, PloS one.

[55]  O. Liberg,et al.  Recovery of large carnivores in Europe’s modern human-dominated landscapes , 2014, Science.

[56]  Carmen Priefer,et al.  The extent of food waste generation across EU-27: Different calculation methods and the reliability of their results , 2014, Waste management & research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA.

[57]  Jeremy S. Morris,et al.  Specialization for aggression in sexually dimorphic skeletal morphology in grey wolves (Canis lupus) , 2014, Journal of anatomy.

[58]  K. Lindblad-Toh,et al.  Amylase activity is associated with AMY2B copy numbers in dog: implications for dog domestication, diet and diabetes , 2014, Animal genetics.

[59]  E. Randi,et al.  Noninvasive sampling and genetic variability, pack structure, and dynamics in an expanding wolf population , 2014 .

[60]  J. Kusak,et al.  Multilocus Detection of Wolf x Dog Hybridization in Italy, and Guidelines for Marker Selection , 2014, PloS one.

[61]  A. Derocher,et al.  Conservation and management of large carnivores in North America , 2013 .

[62]  S. Morgan Handbook of Causal Analysis for Social Research , 2013 .

[63]  K. Lindblad-Toh,et al.  The genomic signature of dog domestication reveals adaptation to a starch-rich diet , 2013, Nature.

[64]  Pieter Johannes Verkerk,et al.  Reconstructed forest age structure in Europe 1950–2010 , 2012 .

[65]  Mark S. Boyce,et al.  Human selection of elk behavioural traits in a landscape of fear , 2012, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[66]  M. Apollonio,et al.  Prey selection and dietary response by wolves in a high-density multi-species ungulate community , 2011, European Journal of Wildlife Research.

[67]  Lynn E Eberly,et al.  Body size and predatory performance in wolves: is bigger better? , 2009, The Journal of animal ecology.

[68]  J. Speakman,et al.  Body Composition Analysis of Animals: A Handbook of Non-Destructive Methods , 2008 .

[69]  A. Sforzi,et al.  Mortality parameters of the wolf in Italy: does the wolf keep himself from the door? , 2007 .

[70]  O. Liberg,et al.  Effects of hunting group size, snow depth and age on the success of wolves hunting moose , 2006, Animal Behaviour.

[71]  L. Mech AGE-RELATED BODY MASS AND REPRODUCTIVE MEASUREMENTS OF GRAY WOLVES IN MINNESOTA , 2006 .

[72]  D. Gavier-Widén,et al.  DISEASES AND MORTALITY IN FREE-RANGING BROWN BEAR (URSUS ARCTOS), GRAY WOLF (CANIS LUPUS), AND WOLVERINE (GULO GULO) IN SWEDEN , 2005, Journal of wildlife diseases.

[73]  Y. Yom-Tov Body sizes of carnivores commensal with humans have increased over the past 50 years , 2003 .

[74]  N. Selva,et al.  KILL RATES AND PREDATION BY WOLVES ON UNGULATE POPULATIONS IN BIAŁOWIEŻA PRIMEVAL FOREST (POLAND) , 2002 .

[75]  M. Festa‐Bianchet,et al.  Sexual size dimorphism in bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis): effects of population density , 2001 .

[76]  Inge Gade-Jørgensen,et al.  Diet composition of wolves Canis lupus in east-central Finland , 2000 .

[77]  M. Musiani,et al.  PREY SELECTION AND PREDATION BY WOLVES IN BIAŁOWIEŻA PRIMEVAL FOREST, POLAND , 2000 .

[78]  L. Mech,et al.  Regurgitative food transfer among wild wolves , 1999 .

[79]  J. Lindström,et al.  Early development and fitness in birds and mammals. , 1999, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[80]  O. Olsson,et al.  Wolf Canis lupus predation on moose Alces alces and roe deer Capreolus capreolus in south-central Scandinavia , 1997, Wildlife Biology.

[81]  T. L. Hillis,et al.  Sexual dimorphism in wolves (Canis lupus) of the Keewatin District, Northwest Territories, Canada , 1996 .

[82]  M. Apollonio,et al.  Wolf food habits and wild ungulate availability in the Foreste Casentinesi National Park, Italy , 1995 .

[83]  I. Stirling,et al.  The significance of supplemental food to polar bears during the ice-free period of Hudson Bay , 1985 .

[84]  F. Bronson Mammalian reproduction: an ecological perspective. , 1985, Biology of reproduction.

[85]  M. Apollonio,et al.  Trophic overlap between wolves and free-ranging wolf × dog hybrids in the Apennine Mountains, Italy , 2017 .

[86]  Olof Liberg,et al.  Predator-dependent functional response in wolves: from food limitation to surplus killing. , 2015, The Journal of animal ecology.

[87]  W. Ripple,et al.  The ecological effects of providing resource subsidies to predators , 2015 .

[88]  J. P. Hayes,et al.  Which body condition index is best , 2014 .

[89]  Maur Fabrizio,et al.  Il monitoraggio della presenza del lupo nel Parco Nazionale del Gran Sasso e Monti della Laga , 2014 .

[90]  R. Wayne,et al.  The adaptive value of morphological, behavioural and life-history traits in reproductive female wolves. , 2013, The Journal of animal ecology.

[91]  H. Golden,et al.  Body composition of free-ranging wolves (Canis lupus) , 2013 .

[92]  O'IT Diet and prey selectivity of wolf Canis lupus in middle-and south-eastern Estonia , 2012 .

[93]  H. Bauer,et al.  Peri-urban spotted hyena (Crocuta crocuta) in Northern Ethiopia: diet, economic impact, and abundance , 2010, European Journal of Wildlife Research.

[94]  R. Andersen,et al.  European ungulates and their management in the 21st century , 2010 .

[95]  M. Apollonio,et al.  A comparative analysis of wolf (Canis lupus) diet in three different Italian ecosystems , 2004 .

[96]  H. Valdmann,et al.  Diet and prey selectivity of wolf Canis lupus in middle- and south-eastern Estonia , 1998 .

[97]  L. Boitani Wolf research and conservation in Italy , 1992 .