Supplementary material to "Sensitivity of precipitation in the highlands and lowlands of Peru to physics parameterization options in WRFV3.8.1"

Abstract. The performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 3.8.1 at convection-permitting scale is evaluated by means of several sensitivity simulations over southern Peru down to a grid resolution of 1 km, whereby the main focus is on the domain with 5 km horizontal resolution. Different configurations of microphysics, cumulus, longwave radiation and planetary boundary layer schemes are tested. For the year 2008, the simulated precipitation amounts and patterns are compared to gridded observational data sets and weather station data gathered from Peru, Bolivia and Brazil. The temporal correlation of simulated monthly precipitation sums against in-situ and gridded observational data show that the most challenging regions for WRF are the slopes along both sides of the Andes, i.e., elevations between 1000 and 3000 m above sea level. The pattern correlation analysis between simulated precipitation and station data suggests that all tested WRF setups perform rather poorly along the northeastern slopes of the Andes during the entire year. In the southwestern region of the domain the performance of all setups is better except for the driest period (May–September). The results of the pattern correlation to the gridded observational data sets show that all setups perform reasonably well except along both slopes during the dry season. The precipitation patterns reveal that the typical setup used over Europe is too dry throughout the entire year, and that the experiment with the combination of the single-moment 6-class microphysics scheme and the Grell–Freitas cumulus parameterization in the domains with resolutions larger than 5 km, suitable for East Africa, does not perfectly apply to other equatorial regions such as the Amazon basin in southeastern Peru. The experiment with the Stony–Brook University microphysics scheme and the Grell-Freitas cumulus parameterization tends to overestimate precipitation over the northeastern slopes of the Andes, but allows to enforce a positive feedback between the soil moisture, air temperature, relative humidity, mid-level cloud cover and finally, also precipitation. Hence, this setup is the one providing the most accurate results over the Peruvian Amazon, and particularly over the department of Madre de Dios, which is a region of interest because it is considered the biodiversity hotspot of Peru. The robustness of this particular parameterization option is backed up by similar results obtained during wet climate conditions observed in 2012.

[1]  A. Lauer,et al.  Comparison of Reanalysis and Observational Precipitation Datasets Including ERA5 and WFDE5 , 2021, Atmosphere.

[2]  M. Bettolli,et al.  Evaluation of multiple reanalyses in reproducing the spatio‐temporal variability of temperature and precipitation indices over southern South America , 2021, International Journal of Climatology.

[3]  O. Martius,et al.  A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets , 2021, Earth and Space Science.

[4]  U. Cubasch,et al.  Exploring the parameter space of the COSMO-CLM v5.0 regional climate model for the Central Asia CORDEX domain , 2020, Geoscientific Model Development.

[5]  Santos J. González-Rojí,et al.  Sensitivity of precipitation and temperature over the Mount Kenya area to physics parameterization options in a high-resolution model simulation performed with WRFV3.8.1 , 2020, Geoscientific Model Development.

[6]  C. Raible,et al.  A new bias-correction method for precipitation over complex terrain suitable for different climate states: a case study using WRF (version 3.8.1) , 2020, Geoscientific Model Development.

[7]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA5 global reanalysis , 2020, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.

[8]  M. Mcphaden,et al.  Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on South America , 2020, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment.

[9]  M. Turco,et al.  On the Spin‐Up Period in WRF Simulations Over Europe: Trade‐Offs Between Length and Seasonality , 2020, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

[10]  P. Friederichs,et al.  Observations and high‐resolution simulations of convective precipitation organization over the tropical Atlantic , 2020, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.

[11]  F. Dallmeier,et al.  Twenty years of land cover change in the southeastern Peruvian Amazon: implications for biodiversity conservation , 2020, Regional Environmental Change.

[12]  C. Schär,et al.  Climate Models Permit Convection at Much Coarser Resolutions Than Previously Considered , 2020, Journal of Climate.

[13]  W. Lavado,et al.  Construction of a high-resolution gridded rainfall dataset for Peru from 1981 to the present day , 2020, Hydrological Sciences Journal.

[14]  S. Brönnimann,et al.  Synoptic and Mesoscale atmospheric features associated with an extreme Snowstorm over the Central Andes in August 2013 , 2019 .

[15]  S. Brönnimann,et al.  Summertime precipitation deficits in the southern Peruvian highlands since 1964 , 2019, International Journal of Climatology.

[16]  Shailendra Kumar,et al.  Response of the WRF model to different resolutions in the rainfall forecast over the complex Peruvian orography , 2019, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[17]  C. Castro,et al.  Sea surface temperature‐related response of precipitation in northern South America according to a WRF multi‐decadal simulation , 2018, International Journal of Climatology.

[18]  A. Berg,et al.  Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution , 2018, Scientific Data.

[19]  J. Ballesteros-Cánovas,et al.  The anomalous 2017 coastal El Niño event in Peru , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[20]  J. Marengo,et al.  Contrasting North–South changes in Amazon wet-day and dry-day frequency and related atmospheric features (1981–2017) , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[21]  P. Arora,et al.  Conserving Tropical Forests: Can Sustainable Livelihoods Outperform Artisanal or Informal Mining? , 2018, Sustainability.

[22]  Arun Kumar,et al.  On the variety of coastal El Niño events , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[23]  J. Quispe Interannual variability of the rainfall regime and strong ENSO events along the Peruvian Pacific Basin: large-scale control mechanisms , 2018 .

[24]  Ken Takahashi,et al.  The very strong coastal El Niño in 1925 in the far-eastern Pacific , 2019, Climate Dynamics.

[25]  C. Raible,et al.  Sensitivity experiments on the response of Vb cyclones to sea surface temperature and soil moisture changes , 2017 .

[26]  Philippe Vauchel,et al.  Hydroclimatology of the Upper Madeira River basin: spatio-temporal variability and trends , 2017 .

[27]  D. Labat,et al.  Regionalization of rainfall over the Peruvian Pacific slope and coast , 2017 .

[28]  E. Berbery,et al.  Evaluation of WRF Model Forecasts and Their Use for Hydroclimate Monitoring over Southern South America , 2016 .

[29]  J. Michaelsen,et al.  The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations—a new environmental record for monitoring extremes , 2015, Scientific Data.

[30]  Thierry Lebel,et al.  Spatio-temporal assessment of WRF, TRMM and in situ precipitation data in a tropical mountain environment (Cordillera Blanca, Peru) , 2015 .

[31]  Zhong Liu,et al.  Comparison of precipitation estimates between Version 7 3-hourly TRMM Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) near-real-time and research products , 2015 .

[32]  E. Bazile,et al.  Land surface spinup for episodic modeling , 2014 .

[33]  Y. Masumoto,et al.  The influence of ENSO on the equatorial Atlantic precipitation through the Walker circulation in a CGCM , 2014, Climate Dynamics.

[34]  M. Ek,et al.  Calibration and validation of lake surface temperature simulations with the coupled WRF-lake model , 2015, Climatic Change.

[35]  S. Freitas,et al.  A scale and aerosol aware stochastic convective parameterization for weather and air quality modeling , 2013 .

[36]  Fahad Saeed,et al.  Assessing the Transferability of the Regional Climate Model REMO to Different COordinated Regional Climate Downscaling EXperiment (CORDEX) Regions , 2012 .

[37]  Edward J. Zipser,et al.  Recent developments on the South American monsoon system , 2012 .

[38]  Dmitrii Mironov,et al.  An improved lake model for climate simulations: Model structure, evaluation, and sensitivity analyses in CESM1 , 2012 .

[39]  J. Espinoza,et al.  Climate variability and extreme drought in the upper Solimões River (western Amazon Basin): Understanding the exceptional 2010 drought , 2011 .

[40]  Kevin W. Manning,et al.  The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP): 1. Model description and evaluation with local-scale measurements , 2011 .

[41]  Kevin W. Manning,et al.  The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP): 2. Evaluation over global river basins , 2011 .

[42]  Brian A. Colle,et al.  A New Bulk Microphysical Scheme That Includes Riming Intensity and Temperature-Dependent Ice Characteristics , 2011 .

[43]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Resolution effects on regional climate model simulations of seasonal precipitation over Europe , 2010 .

[44]  C. Ropelewski,et al.  Shifts in the Statistics of Daily Rainfall in South America Conditional on ENSO Phase , 2008 .

[45]  G. Powers,et al.  A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3 , 2008 .

[46]  J. Pleim A Combined Local and Nonlocal Closure Model for the Atmospheric Boundary Layer. Part I: Model Description and Testing , 2007 .

[47]  J. Rutllant,et al.  Synoptic aspects of the central chile rainfall variability associated with the southern oscillation , 2007 .

[48]  Edward J. Zipser,et al.  Mesoscale Convective Systems over Southeastern South America and Their Relationship with the South American Low-Level Jet , 2007 .

[49]  A. Zadra,et al.  Transferability Intercomparison: An Opportunity for New Insight on the Global Water Cycle and Energy Budget , 2007 .

[50]  Timothy J. Killeen,et al.  Advances in Applied Biodiversity Science: A Perfect Storm in the Amazon Wilderness: Development and Conservation in the Context of the Initiative for the Integration of the Regional Infrastructure of South America (IIRSA) , 2007 .

[51]  J. Dudhia,et al.  A New Vertical Diffusion Package with an Explicit Treatment of Entrainment Processes , 2006 .

[52]  Song‐You Hong,et al.  The WRF Single-Moment 6-Class Microphysics Scheme (WSM6) , 2006 .

[53]  Taylor H. Ricketts,et al.  Global tests of biodiversity concordance and the importance of endemism , 2006, Nature.

[54]  Edward J. Zipser,et al.  THE SOUTH AMERICAN LOW-LEVEL JET EXPERIMENT , 2006 .

[55]  J. Ronchail,et al.  Inundations in the Mamoré basin (south-western Amazon—Bolivia) and sea-surface temperature in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans , 2005 .

[56]  Celeste Saulo,et al.  Climatology of the Low-Level Jet East of the Andes as Derived from the NCEP–NCAR Reanalyses: Characteristics and Temporal Variability , 2004 .

[57]  John S. Kain,et al.  The Kain–Fritsch Convective Parameterization: An Update , 2004 .

[58]  C. Jones,et al.  The South Atlantic Convergence Zone: Intensity, Form, Persistence, and Relationships with Intraseasonal to Interannual Activity and Extreme Rainfall , 2004 .

[59]  W. Collins,et al.  Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 3.0) , 2004 .

[60]  A. Grimm The El Nino Impact on the Summer Monsoon in Brazil: Regional Processes versus Remote Influences , 2003 .

[61]  G. Poveda,et al.  Coupling between Annual and ENSO Timescales in the Malaria – Climate Association in Colombia , 2001 .

[62]  E. Mlawer,et al.  Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave , 1997 .

[63]  J. Lenters,et al.  On the Origin of the Bolivian High and Related Circulation Features of the South American Climate , 1997 .

[64]  J. Dudhia Numerical Study of Convection Observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment Using a Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Model , 1989 .

[65]  W. Bonner CLIMATOLOGY OF THE LOW LEVEL JET , 1968 .