Balance issues in input–output analysis: A comment on physical inhomogeneity, aggregation bias, and coproduction

Recently, Merciai and Heijungs (2014) demonstrated that monetary input–output (IO) analysis can lead to system descriptions that do not conserve mass when the assumption of homogeneous prices is violated. They warn that this violation of basic balance laws can lead to biased estimates of environmental impacts, and they therefore recommend performing IO analysis in a physically accounted framework. We take a broader scope on this issue and present price inhomogeneity as a special case of product mix inhomogeneity. We demonstrate that even a fully physically accounted IO analysis or lifecycle assessment will violate balance laws if it suffers from inhomogeneous aggregation. The core issue is not whether a system is described using monetary or physical units, but rather whether product groups are too aggregated to allow for the concurrent respect of energy, mass, financial and elemental balances. We further analyze the link between the violation of physical balances and the introduction of biases. We find that imbalances are neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for the presence of systematic errors in environmental pressure estimates. We suggest two ways to leverage the additional explanatory power of multi-unit inventory tables to reduce instances of imbalances and aggregation biases.

[1]  Gregory A Norris Life cycle emission distributions within the economy: implications for life cycle impact assessment. , 2002, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[2]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  CO2 Multipliers in Multi-region Input-Output Models , 2004 .

[3]  Kenichi Nakajima,et al.  UPIOM: a new tool of MFA and its application to the flow of iron and steel associated with car production. , 2011, Environmental science & technology.

[4]  Arnold Tukker,et al.  Global Sustainability Accounting—Developing EXIOBASE for Multi-Regional Footprint Analysis , 2014 .

[5]  Robert Ries,et al.  Characterizing, Propagating, and Analyzing Uncertainty in Life‐Cycle Assessment: A Survey of Quantitative Approaches , 2007 .

[6]  Reinout Heijungs,et al.  Allocation and 'what-if' scenarios in life cycle assessment of waste management systems. , 2007, Waste management.

[7]  S. Pauliuk,et al.  A General System Structure and Accounting Framework for Socioeconomic Metabolism , 2015 .

[8]  Stefan Pauliuk,et al.  Global carbon benefits of material substitution in passenger cars until 2050 and the impact on the steel and aluminum industries. , 2014, Environmental science & technology.

[9]  Not Indicated,et al.  International Reference Life Cycle Data System (ILCD) Handbook - General guide for Life Cycle Assessment - Detailed guidance , 2010 .

[10]  Edgar G. Hertwich,et al.  Evaluation of process- and input-output-based life cycle inventory data with regard to truncation and aggregation issues. , 2011, Environmental science & technology.

[11]  Vu Quang Viet Practices in input-output table compilation , 1994 .

[12]  H. Weisz,et al.  Methodology and Indicators of Economy‐wide Material Flow Accounting , 2011 .

[13]  W. Leontief Environmental Repercussions and the Economic Structure: An Input-Output Approach , 1970 .

[14]  Clopper Almon,et al.  Product-to-Product Tables via Product-Technology with No Negative Flows , 2000 .

[15]  M. Lahr,et al.  A Study of the Role of Regionalization in the Generation of Aggregation Error in Regional Input-Output Models , 2002 .

[16]  A. Tillman,et al.  Normative ethics and methodology for life cycle assessment , 2005 .

[17]  J. A. Olsen Aggregation in Input–Output Models: Prices and Quantities , 1993 .

[18]  J. Asger Olsen,et al.  Aggregation in macroeconomic models: an empirical input–output approach , 2000 .

[19]  Shinichiro Nakamura,et al.  Input‐Output Analysis of Waste Management , 2002 .

[20]  Troy R. Hawkins,et al.  Hybrid Framework for Managing Uncertainty in Life Cycle Inventories , 2009 .

[21]  Gjalt Huppes,et al.  Missing inventory estimation tool using extended input-output analysis , 2002 .

[22]  Sangwon Suh,et al.  Generalized Make and Use Framework for Allocation in Life Cycle Assessment , 2010 .

[23]  Sangwon Suh,et al.  A mixed-unit input-output model for environmental life-cycle assessment and material flow analysis. , 2007, Environmental science & technology.

[24]  Yoshinori Morimoto,et al.  On Aggregation Problems in Input-Output Analysis , 1970 .

[25]  Faye Duchin,et al.  Input-Output Economics and Material Flows , 2009 .

[26]  Thijs ten Raa,et al.  The Construction of Input–Output Coefficients Matrices in an Axiomatic Context: Some Further Considerations , 2003 .

[27]  Ardente Fulvio,et al.  Economic Allocation in Life Cycle Assessment: The State of the Art and Discussion of Examples , 2012 .

[28]  R. Heijungs,et al.  Guidelines for application of deepened and broadened LCA , 2009 .

[29]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  A Generalized Input-Output Multiplier Calculus for Australia , 2001 .

[30]  Mark A. J. Huijbregts,et al.  Application of uncertainty and variability in LCA , 1998 .

[31]  Albert E. Steenge,et al.  Compilation of Input-Output Data from the National Accounts , 1995 .

[32]  Helga Weisz,et al.  Physical and monetary input-output analysis: What makes the difference? , 2006 .

[33]  Helmut Schütz,et al.  CREEA Report and data Task 4.2: P-SUT , 2014 .

[34]  R. Frischknecht,et al.  A special view on the nature of the allocation problem , 1998 .

[35]  Sangwon Suh,et al.  A note on the calculus for physical input–output analysis and its application to land appropriation of international trade activities , 2004 .

[36]  Reinout Heijungs,et al.  Balance issues in monetary input-output tables , 2014 .

[37]  Arnold Tukker,et al.  A pseudo-statistical approach to treat choice uncertainty: the example of partitioning allocation methods , 2015, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[38]  A. Bardow,et al.  Sensitivity coefficient-based uncertainty analysis for multi-functionality in LCA , 2014, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[39]  Gjalt Huppes,et al.  System boundary selection in life-cycle inventories using hybrid approaches. , 2004, Environmental science & technology.

[40]  B. Weidema,et al.  Avoiding Allocation in Life Cycle Assessment Revisited , 2010 .

[41]  Anna Björklund,et al.  Survey of approaches to improve reliability in lca , 2002 .

[42]  Fulvio Ardente,et al.  Rationales for and limitations of preferred solutions for multi-functionality problems in LCA: is increased consistency possible? , 2014, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[43]  Peter D. Blair,et al.  Input-Output Analysis , 2021 .

[44]  Richard Wood,et al.  When Do Allocations and Constructs Respect Material, Energy, Financial, and Production Balances in LCA and EEIO? , 2016 .

[45]  Adisa Azapagic,et al.  Allocation of environmental burdens in co-product systems: Product-related burdens (Part 1) , 1999 .

[46]  W. Leontief Quantitative Input and Output Relations in the Economic Systems of the United States , 1936 .

[47]  R. Heijungs,et al.  Differences between LCA for analysis and LCA for policy: a case study on the consequences of allocation choices in bio-energy policies , 2012, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[48]  R. Heijungs,et al.  Economic allocation: Examples and derived decision tree , 2004 .

[49]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  BUILDING EORA: A GLOBAL MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT DATABASE AT HIGH COUNTRY AND SECTOR RESOLUTION , 2013 .

[50]  Stefan Pauliuk,et al.  Lifting Industrial Ecology Modeling to a New Level of Quality and Transparency: A Call for More Transparent Publications and a Collaborative Open Source Software Framework , 2015 .

[51]  Roland Clift,et al.  The application of Life Cycle Assessment to Integrated Solid Waste Management - Part 1 - Methodology , 2000 .

[52]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  Errors in Conventional and Input‐Output—based Life—Cycle Inventories , 2000 .

[53]  Jeroen B. Guinee,et al.  Handbook on life cycle assessment operational guide to the ISO standards , 2002 .

[54]  M. Brander,et al.  The use of substitution in attributional life cycle assessment , 2011 .

[55]  Richard Wood,et al.  Unified Theory of Allocations and Constructs in Life Cycle Assessment and Input‐Output Analysis , 2014 .

[56]  Walter D. Fisher Criteria for Aggregation in Input-Output Analysis , 1958 .

[57]  S. Pauliuk The Role of Stock Dynamics in Climate Change Mitigation , 2013 .

[58]  André Bardow,et al.  Comparative LCA of multi-product processes with non-common products: a systematic approach applied to chlorine electrolysis technologies , 2013, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[59]  M. Cellura,et al.  Economic Allocation in Life Cycle Assessment , 2012 .

[60]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  Differential Convergence of Life‐Cycle Inventories toward Upstream Production Layers , 2002 .

[61]  Jacopo Di Cocco System of National Accounts 2008 , 2010 .

[62]  Thijs ten Raa,et al.  The Choice Of Model In The Construction Of Input-Output Coefficients Matrices , 1990 .

[63]  Reinout Heijungs,et al.  The computational structure of life cycle assessment , 2002 .

[64]  Reinout Heijungs,et al.  Lights and shadows in consequential LCA , 2012, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.