Satellite observation of tropical forest seasonality: spatial patterns of carbon exchange in Amazonia

Determining the seasonality of terrestrial carbon exchange with the atmosphere remains a challenge in tropical forests because of the heterogeneity of ecosystem and climate. The magnitude and spatial variability of this flux are unknown, particularly in Amazonia where empirical upscaling approaches from spatially sparse in situ measurements and simulations from process-based models have been challenged in recent scientific literature. Here, we use satellite proxy observations of canopy structure, skin temperature, water content, and optical properties over a period of 10 years (2000–2009) to constrain and quantify the spatial pattern and seasonality of carbon exchange of Amazonian forests. We identify nine regions through an optimized cluster approach with distinct leaf phenology synchronized with either water or light availability and corresponding seasonal cycles of gross primary production (GPP), covering more than 600 million ha of remaining old growth forests of Amazonia. We find South and Southwestern regions show strong seasonality of GPP with a peak in the wet season; while from Central Western to Northeastern Amazonia cover three regions with rising GPP in the dry season. The remaining four regions have significant but weak seasonality. These patterns agree with satellite florescence observations, a better proxy for photosynthetic activity. Our results suggest that only one-third of the patterns can be explained by the spatial autocorrelation caused by intra-annual variability of climate over Amazonia. The remaining two-thirds of variations are due to biogeography of the Amazon basin driven by forest composition, structure, and nutrients. These patterns, for the first time, provide a complex picture of seasonal changes of tropical forests related to photosynthesis and influenced by water, light, and stomatal responses of trees that can improve modeling of regional carbon cycle and future prediction of impacts of climate change.

[1]  P. J. Clark,et al.  Distance to Nearest Neighbor as a Measure of Spatial Relationships in Populations , 1954 .

[2]  H. Lilliefors On the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test for the Exponential Distribution with Mean Unknown , 1969 .

[3]  J. Monteith SOLAR RADIATION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN TROPICAL ECOSYSTEMS , 1972 .

[4]  T. Caliński,et al.  A dendrite method for cluster analysis , 1974 .

[5]  Jacob Cohen,et al.  Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences , 1979 .

[6]  Owen B. Toon,et al.  A global average model of atmospheric aerosols for radiative transfer calculations , 1976 .

[7]  Donald W. Bouldin,et al.  A Cluster Separation Measure , 1979, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence.

[8]  J. Berry,et al.  Photosynthetic Response and Adaptation to Temperature in Higher Plants , 1980 .

[9]  Anil K. Bera,et al.  A test for normality of observations and regression residuals , 1987 .

[10]  André Hardy,et al.  An examination of procedures for determining the number of clusters in a data set , 1994 .

[11]  N. U. Ahmed,et al.  Relations between evaporation coefficients and vegetation indices studied by model simulations , 1994 .

[12]  Sassan Saatchi,et al.  Coherent effects in microwave backscattering models for forest canopies , 1997, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[13]  D. Roberts,et al.  Spectral changes with leaf aging in Amazon caatinga , 1998, Trees.

[14]  Alan H. Strahler,et al.  A conceptual model for effective directional emissivity from nonisothermal surfaces , 1999, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[15]  David G. Long,et al.  Standard BYU QuikSCAT/SeaWinds Land/Ice Image Products , 2000 .

[16]  Robert Tibshirani,et al.  Estimating the number of clusters in a data set via the gap statistic , 2000 .

[17]  Per Jönsson,et al.  Seasonality extraction by function fitting to time-series of satellite sensor data , 2002, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[18]  N. C. Strugnell,et al.  First operational BRDF, albedo nadir reflectance products from MODIS , 2002 .

[19]  A. Huete,et al.  Overview of the radiometric and biophysical performance of the MODIS vegetation indices , 2002 .

[20]  M. Keller,et al.  Carbon in Amazon Forests: Unexpected Seasonal Fluxes and Disturbance-Induced Losses , 2003, Science.

[21]  Leo Breiman,et al.  Random Forests , 2001, Machine Learning.

[22]  Per Jönsson,et al.  TIMESAT - a program for analyzing time-series of satellite sensor data , 2004, Comput. Geosci..

[23]  Ranga B. Myneni,et al.  Lidar remote sensing for modeling gross primary production of deciduous forests , 2004 .

[24]  Stefano Tarantola,et al.  Methods Based on Decomposing the Variance of the Output , 2004 .

[25]  D. Clark Sources or sinks? The responses of tropical forests to current and future climate and atmospheric composition. , 2004, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[26]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  A Continuous Satellite-Derived Measure of Global Terrestrial Primary Production , 2004 .

[27]  Robert Tibshirani,et al.  Cluster Validation by Prediction Strength , 2005 .

[28]  Ramakrishna R. Nemani,et al.  A global framework for monitoring phenological responses to climate change , 2005 .

[29]  Hideki Kobayashi,et al.  Atmospheric conditions for monitoring the long-term vegetation dynamics in the Amazon using normalized difference vegetation index , 2005 .

[30]  Akihiko Kuze,et al.  Fourier transform spectrometer for Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) , 2005, SPIE Asia-Pacific Remote Sensing.

[31]  G. Vourlitis,et al.  The Sensitivity of Diel CO2 and H2O Vapor Exchange of a Tropical Transitional Forest to Seasonal Variation in Meteorology and Water Availability , 2005 .

[32]  Edwin W. Pak,et al.  An extended AVHRR 8‐km NDVI dataset compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data , 2005 .

[33]  A. Huete,et al.  Amazon rainforests green‐up with sunlight in dry season , 2006 .

[34]  Slobodan Petrovic,et al.  A Comparison Between the Silhouette Index and the Davies-Bouldin Index in Labelling IDS Clusters , 2006 .

[35]  D. Roy,et al.  Large seasonal swings in leaf area of Amazon rainforests , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[36]  Allison L. Dunn,et al.  Seasonal controls on the exchange of carbon and water in an Amazonian rain forest , 2007 .

[37]  Sergei Vassilvitskii,et al.  k-means++: the advantages of careful seeding , 2007, SODA '07.

[38]  Andy Liaw,et al.  Classification and Regression by randomForest , 2007 .

[39]  Markus Reichstein,et al.  Mean annual GPP of Europe derived from its water balance , 2007 .

[40]  Z. Wan New refinements and validation of the MODIS Land-Surface Temperature/Emissivity products , 2008 .

[41]  Sunny Sun-Mack,et al.  Cloud Detection in Nonpolar Regions for CERES Using TRMM VIRS and Terra and Aqua MODIS Data , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing.

[42]  Michael L. Goulden,et al.  Seasonal patterns of tropical forest leaf area index and CO2 exchange , 2008 .

[43]  Eric Vermote,et al.  Atmospheric correction for the monitoring of land surfaces , 2008 .

[44]  W. Oechel,et al.  A new model of gross primary productivity for North American ecosystems based solely on the enhanced vegetation index and land surface temperature from MODIS , 2008 .

[45]  Brian Cairns,et al.  Characterization of atmospheric aerosols using MFRSR measurements , 2008 .

[46]  L. Remer,et al.  How small is a small cloud , 2008 .

[47]  Scott D. Miller,et al.  Seasonal drought stress in the Amazon: Reconciling models and observations , 2008 .

[48]  Anil K. Jain Data clustering: 50 years beyond K-means , 2008, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[49]  M. Goulden,et al.  An improved estimate of leaf area index based on the histogram analysis of hemispherical photographs , 2009 .

[50]  S. Ganguly,et al.  Amazon forests did not green‐up during the 2005 drought , 2009 .

[51]  Dar A. Roberts,et al.  The influence of epiphylls on remote sensing of humid forests , 2009 .

[52]  Daniel R. Figueiredo,et al.  Seasonal leaf dynamics in an Amazonian tropical forest , 2009 .

[53]  Richard B. Lammers,et al.  Tropical forest backscatter anomaly evident in SeaWinds scatterometer morning overpass data during 2005 drought in Amazonia , 2010 .

[54]  Paola Annoni,et al.  Sixth International Conference on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis , 2010 .

[55]  Boris G. Mirkin,et al.  Intelligent Choice of the Number of Clusters in K-Means Clustering: An Experimental Study with Different Cluster Spreads , 2010, J. Classif..

[56]  Anil K. Jain Data clustering: 50 years beyond K-means , 2010, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[57]  Alan H. Strahler,et al.  Aqua and Terra MODIS Albedo and Reflectance Anisotropy Products , 2010 .

[58]  F. Woodward,et al.  Terrestrial Gross Carbon Dioxide Uptake: Global Distribution and Covariation with Climate , 2010, Science.

[59]  Scott J Goetz,et al.  Seasonal and interannual variability of climate and vegetation indices across the Amazon , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[60]  G. Asner,et al.  Drought impacts on the Amazon forest: the remote sensing perspective. , 2010, The New phytologist.

[61]  Molly E. Brown,et al.  EMD CORRECTION OF ORBITAL DRIFT ARTIFACTS IN SATELLITE DATA STREAM , 2010 .

[62]  Damien Sulla-Menashe,et al.  MODIS Collection 5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets , 2010 .

[63]  A. Arneth,et al.  Separation of net ecosystem exchange into assimilation and respiration using a light response curve approach: critical issues and global evaluation , 2010 .

[64]  D. Roberts,et al.  On intra-annual EVI variability in the dry season of tropical forest A case study with MODIS and hyperspectral data , 2011 .

[65]  Jitendra Kumar,et al.  Parallel k-Means Clustering for Quantitative Ecoregion Delineation Using Large Data Sets , 2011, ICCS.

[66]  R. Dickinson,et al.  Seasonal changes in leaf area of Amazon forests from leaf flushing and abscission , 2011 .

[67]  P. Ciais,et al.  Seasonal patterns of CO2 fluxes in Amazon forests: Fusion of eddy covariance data and the ORCHIDEE model , 2011 .

[68]  W. Salas,et al.  Benchmark map of forest carbon stocks in tropical regions across three continents , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[69]  Christian Frankenberg,et al.  Disentangling chlorophyll fluorescence from atmospheric scattering effects in O2 A‐band spectra of reflected sun‐light , 2011 .

[70]  C. Frankenberg,et al.  New global observations of the terrestrial carbon cycle from GOSAT: Patterns of plant fluorescence with gross primary productivity , 2011, Geophysical Research Letters.

[71]  A. Arneth,et al.  Global patterns of land-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations , 2011 .

[72]  S. Ganguly,et al.  Widespread decline in greenness of Amazonian vegetation due to the 2010 drought , 2011 .

[73]  Robert E. Wolfe,et al.  An Enhanced TIMESAT Algorithm for Estimating Vegetation Phenology Metrics From MODIS Data , 2011, IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing.

[74]  S. Wofsy,et al.  Seasonal carbon dynamics and water fluxes in an Amazon rainforest , 2012 .

[75]  R. Nemani,et al.  Persistent effects of a severe drought on Amazonian forest canopy , 2012, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[76]  C. Frankenberg,et al.  Remote sensing of near-infrared chlorophyll fluorescence from space in scattering atmospheres: implications for its retrieval and interferences with atmospheric CO 2 retrievals , 2012 .

[77]  João Roberto dos Santos,et al.  Use of MISR/Terra data to study intra- and inter-annual EVI variations in the dry season of tropical forest , 2012 .

[78]  Sunny Sun-Mack,et al.  Uncertainty Estimate of Surface Irradiances Computed with MODIS-, CALIPSO-, and CloudSat-Derived Cloud and Aerosol Properties , 2012, Surveys in Geophysics.

[79]  Hirofumi Hashimoto,et al.  Exploring Simple Algorithms for Estimating Gross Primary Production in Forested Areas from Satellite Data , 2012, Remote. Sens..

[80]  R. Fensholt,et al.  Evaluation of Earth Observation based global long term vegetation trends — Comparing GIMMS and MODIS global NDVI time series , 2012 .

[81]  K. Oleson,et al.  Reconciling leaf physiological traits and canopy flux data: Use of the TRY and FLUXNET databases in the Community Land Model version 4 , 2012 .

[82]  Philip Lewis,et al.  Hyperspectral remote sensing of foliar nitrogen content , 2012, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[83]  S. Reed,et al.  Tropical forest carbon balance in a warmer world: a critical review spanning microbial‐ to ecosystem‐scale processes , 2012, Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society.

[84]  C. Potter,et al.  The Regional Carbon Budget , 2013 .

[85]  Yosio Edemir Shimabukuro,et al.  Large-scale heterogeneity of Amazonian phenology revealed from 26-year long AVHRR/NDVI time-series , 2013 .

[86]  Simon L. Lewis,et al.  Changes in Amazonian Forest Biomass, Dynamics, and Composition, 1980–2002 , 2013 .

[87]  Jesse K. Kreye,et al.  Toward a mechanism for eastern North American forest mesophication: differential litter drying across 17 species. , 2013, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[88]  J. Randerson,et al.  Satellite observations of terrestrial water storage provide early warning information about drought and fire season severity in the Amazon , 2013 .

[89]  C. Justice,et al.  High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change , 2013, Science.

[90]  L. Aragão,et al.  The Production, Storage, and Flow of Carbon in Amazonian Forests , 2013 .

[91]  A. Nobre,et al.  Ecosystem Carbon Fluxes and Amazonian Forest Metabolism , 2013 .

[92]  The sensitivity of wood production to seasonal and interannual variations in climate in a lowland Amazonian rainforest , 2013, Oecologia.

[93]  J. Terborgh,et al.  Hyperdominance in the Amazonian Tree Flora , 2013, Science.

[94]  Stephen Sitch,et al.  Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change , 2013 .

[95]  C. Frankenberg,et al.  Forest productivity and water stress in Amazonia: observations from GOSAT chlorophyll fluorescence , 2013, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[96]  R. Dickinson,et al.  Increased dry-season length over southern Amazonia in recent decades and its implication for future climate projection , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[97]  B. Soares-Filho,et al.  Large-scale expansion of agriculture in Amazonia may be a no-win scenario , 2013 .

[98]  S. Wofsy,et al.  What drives the seasonality of photosynthesis across the Amazon basin? A cross-site analysis of eddy flux tower measurements from the Brasil flux network , 2013 .

[99]  Ranga B. Myneni,et al.  Temperature and vegetation seasonality diminishment over northern lands , 2013 .

[100]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Simulating the impacts of reduced rainfall on carbon stocks and net ecosystem exchange in a tropical forest , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[101]  David J. Harding,et al.  Amazon forests maintain consistent canopy structure and greenness during the dry season , 2014, Nature.

[102]  C. Tucker,et al.  Vegetation dynamics and rainfall sensitivity of the Amazon , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[103]  L. Aragão,et al.  The ecosystem dynamics of Amazonian and Andean forests , 2014 .

[104]  Luiz E. O. C. Aragão,et al.  Can MODIS EVI monitor ecosystem productivity in the Amazon rainforest? , 2014 .

[105]  B. Ostendorf,et al.  Monitoring temporal Vegetation changes in Lao tropical forests , 2014 .

[106]  T. Killeen,et al.  The productivity, allocation and cycling of carbon in forests at the dry margin of the Amazon forest in Bolivia , 2014 .

[107]  O. Phillips,et al.  The seasonal cycle of productivity, metabolism and carbon dynamics in a wet aseasonal forest in north-west Amazonia (Iquitos, Peru) , 2014 .

[108]  L. Aragão,et al.  The production, allocation and cycling of carbon in a forest on fertile terra preta soil in eastern Amazonia compared with a forest on adjacent infertile soil , 2014 .

[109]  O. Phillips,et al.  The productivity, metabolism and carbon cycle of two lowland tropical forest plots in south-western Amazonia, Peru , 2014 .

[110]  P. Cox,et al.  Observing terrestrial ecosystems and the carbon cycle from space , 2015, Global change biology.