Deterministic electric power infrastructure planning: Mixed-integer programming model and nested decomposition algorithm

Abstract This paper addresses the long-term planning of electric power infrastructures considering high renewable penetration. To capture the intermittency of these sources, we propose a deterministic multi-scale Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) formulation that simultaneously considers annual generation investment decisions and hourly operational decisions. We adopt judicious approximations and aggregations to improve its tractability. Moreover, to overcome the computational challenges of treating hourly operational decisions within a monolithic multi-year planning horizon, we propose a decomposition algorithm based on Nested Benders Decomposition for multi-period MILP problems to allow the solution of larger instances. Our decomposition adapts previous nested Benders methods by handling integer and continuous state variables, although at the expense of losing its finite convergence property due to potential duality gap. We apply the proposed modeling framework to a case study in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region, and demonstrate massive computational savings from our decomposition.

[1]  Mark O'Malley,et al.  Impact of variable generation in generation resource planning models , 2010, IEEE PES General Meeting.

[2]  Ehab F. El-Saadany,et al.  Overview of wind power intermittency impacts on power systems , 2010 .

[3]  Steffen Rebennack,et al.  Optimal power flow: a bibliographic survey I , 2012, Energy Systems.

[4]  Mo-Yuen Chow,et al.  A review of emerging techniques on generation expansion planning , 1997 .

[5]  Antonio J. Conejo,et al.  Multistage Stochastic Investment Planning With Multiscale Representation of Uncertainties and Decisions , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[6]  Marshall L. Fisher,et al.  The Lagrangian Relaxation Method for Solving Integer Programming Problems , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[7]  Steffen Rebennack,et al.  Optimal power flow: a bibliographic survey II , 2012, Energy Systems.

[8]  Steffen Rebennack,et al.  Dynamic convexification within nested Benders decomposition using Lagrangian relaxation: An application to the strategic bidding problem , 2017, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[9]  A. Papavasiliou,et al.  Reserve Requirements for Wind Power Integration: A Scenario-Based Stochastic Programming Framework , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[10]  Antonio Frangioni,et al.  About Lagrangian Methods in Integer Optimization , 2005, Ann. Oper. Res..

[11]  Trieu Mai,et al.  Resource Planning Model: An Integrated Resource Planning and Dispatch Tool for Regional Electric Systems , 2013 .

[12]  G. Latorre,et al.  Classification of publications and models on transmission expansion planning , 2003 .

[13]  Ralf Gollmer,et al.  Stochastic Power Generation Unit Commitment in Electricity Markets: A Novel Formulation and a Comparison of Solution Methods , 2009, Oper. Res..

[14]  William D'haeseleer,et al.  The Importance of Integrating the Variability of Renewables in Long-Term Energy Planning Models , 2014 .

[15]  Shabbir Ahmed,et al.  Stochastic dual dynamic integer programming , 2019, Math. Program..

[16]  Antonio J. Conejo,et al.  Transmission expansion planning: a mixed-integer LP approach , 2003 .

[17]  Joel Sokol,et al.  New approach for optimal electricity planning and dispatching with hourly time-scale air quality and health considerations , 2015, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[18]  Nate Blair,et al.  Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) , 2011 .

[19]  Damian Flynn,et al.  The role of power system flexibility in generation planning , 2011, 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.

[20]  Kai Huang,et al.  The Value of Multistage Stochastic Programming in Capacity Planning Under Uncertainty , 2009, Oper. Res..

[21]  Anthony Papavasiliou,et al.  Wind farm portfolio optimization under network capacity constraints , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[22]  Bryan Palmintier,et al.  Heterogeneous unit clustering for efficient operational flexibility modeling , 2014, 2014 IEEE PES General Meeting | Conference & Exposition.

[23]  Pandelis N. Biskas,et al.  Generation Expansion Planning by MILP considering mid-term scheduling decisions , 2012 .

[24]  Lion Hirth,et al.  Carpe diem: A novel approach to select representative days for long-term power system modeling , 2016 .

[25]  P. Ferrao,et al.  Modeling hourly electricity dynamics for policy making in long-term scenarios , 2011 .

[26]  M. Shahidehpour,et al.  Market-Based Coordination of Transmission and Generation Capacity Planning , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[27]  Shabbir Ahmed,et al.  Multistage Stochastic Unit Commitment Using Stochastic Dual Dynamic Integer Programming , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[28]  J. Contreras,et al.  A Three-Level Static MILP Model for Generation and Transmission Expansion Planning , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[29]  Javier Contreras,et al.  Unit Commitment With Ideal and Generic Energy Storage Units , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[30]  Yuanfu Xie,et al.  Future cost-competitive electricity systems and their impact on US CO2 emissions , 2016 .

[31]  Nikolaos E. Koltsaklis,et al.  A multi-period, multi-regional generation expansion planning model incorporating unit commitment constraints , 2015 .

[32]  Carlos Silva,et al.  High-resolution modeling framework for planning electricity systems with high penetration of renewables , 2013 .

[33]  Rodrigo Palma-Behnke,et al.  A column generation approach for solving generation expansion planning problems with high renewable energy penetration , 2016 .

[34]  I. Grossmann,et al.  Convergence properties of generalized benders decomposition , 1991 .

[35]  Bryan Palmintier,et al.  Impact of unit commitment constraints on generation expansion planning with renewables , 2011, 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.

[36]  R. Baldick,et al.  Transmission Planning Under Uncertainties of Wind and Load: Sequential Approximation Approach , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[37]  Laura Bahiense,et al.  A Mixed Integer Disjunctive Model for Transmission Network Expansion , 2001 .

[38]  N. D. R. Sarma,et al.  ERCOT's experience in identifying parameter and topology errors using State Estimator , 2010, IEEE PES General Meeting.

[39]  F. D. Munoz,et al.  Efficient proactive transmission planning to accommodate renewables , 2012, 2012 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.

[40]  Jesús M. Velásquez Bermúdez GDDP: Generalized Dual Dynamic Programming Theory , 2002 .

[41]  Mohammad Shahidehpour,et al.  Co-optimization of electricity transmission and generation resources for planning and policy analysis: review of concepts and modeling approaches , 2016 .

[42]  F. Galiana,et al.  Stochastic Security for Operations Planning With Significant Wind Power Generation , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[43]  Adam Hawkes,et al.  The future cost of electrical energy storage based on experience rates , 2017, Nature Energy.

[44]  Kory W. Hedman,et al.  A model and approach to the challenge posed by optimal power systems planning , 2013, Math. Program..

[45]  Tsuyoshi Murata,et al.  {m , 1934, ACML.

[46]  Michel Gendreau,et al.  The Benders decomposition algorithm: A literature review , 2017, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[47]  Antonio J. Conejo,et al.  Investment in Electricity Generation and Transmission: Decision Making under Uncertainty , 2016 .

[48]  M. V. F. Pereira,et al.  Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning , 1991, Math. Program..

[49]  F. Bouffard,et al.  Stochastic security for operations planning with significant wind power generation , 2008, 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century.

[50]  Enzo Sauma,et al.  Approximations in power transmission planning: implications for the cost and performance of renewable portfolio standards , 2013 .

[51]  John R. Birge,et al.  Decomposition and Partitioning Methods for Multistage Stochastic Linear Programs , 1985, Oper. Res..

[52]  Arun Somani,et al.  A Long-Term Investment Planning Model for Mixed Energy Infrastructure Integrated with Renewable Energy , 2010, 2010 IEEE Green Technologies Conference.