Inter-comparison of daily precipitation products for large-scale hydro-climatic applications over Canada

A number of global and regional gridded climate products based on multiple data sources are available that can potentially provide reliable estimates of precipitation for climate and hydrological studies. However, research into the consistency of these products for various regions has been limited and in many cases non-existent. This study inter-compares several gridded precipitation products over 15 terrestrial ecozones in Canada for different seasons. The spatial and temporal variability of the errors (relative to station observations) was quantified over the period of 1979 to 2012 at a 0.5° and daily spatio-temporal resolution. These datasets were assessed in their ability to represent the daily variability of precipitation amounts by four performance measures: percentage of bias, root mean square error, correlation coefficient, and standard deviation ratio. Results showed that most of the datasets were relatively skilful in central Canada. However, they tended to overestimate precipitation amounts in the west and underestimate in the north and east, with the underestimation being particularly dominant in northern Canada (above 60° N). The global product by WATCH Forcing Data ERA-Interim (WFDEI) augmented by Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) data (WFDEI [GPCC]) performed best with respect to different metrics. The Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) product performed comparably with WFDEI [GPCC]; however, it only provides data starting in 2002. All the datasets performed best in summer, followed by autumn, spring, and winter in order of decreasing quality. Findings from this study can provide guidance to potential users regarding the performance of different precipitation products for a range of geographical regions and time periods.

[1]  J. Shea,et al.  Suitability of North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) output for hydrologic modelling and analysis in mountainous terrain , 2016 .

[2]  Ali Behrangi,et al.  Status of high‐latitude precipitation estimates from observations and reanalyses , 2016, Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres : JGR.

[3]  Alex J. Cannon,et al.  Hydrologic extremes – an intercomparison of multiple gridded statistical downscaling methods , 2016 .

[4]  Vincent Fortin,et al.  Assimilation of radar quantitative precipitation estimations in the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) , 2015 .

[5]  V. Fortin,et al.  Performance Evaluation of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) , 2015 .

[6]  P. Cox,et al.  Impact of model developments on present and future simulations of permafrost in a global land-surface model , 2015 .

[7]  Ross D. Brown,et al.  An Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation Surface-Based and Reanalysis Datasets for the Canadian Arctic, 1950–2010 , 2015 .

[8]  Marco L. Carrera,et al.  The Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS): Description and Synthetic Evaluation Study , 2015 .

[9]  Xiaolan L. Wang,et al.  An algorithm for integrating satellite precipitation estimates with in situ precipitation data on a pentad time scale , 2015 .

[10]  J. Walsh,et al.  Effect of snow cover on pan-Arctic permafrost thermal regimes , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

[11]  Y. Hong,et al.  Global View Of Real-Time Trmm Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis: Implications For Its Successor Global Precipitation Measurement Mission , 2015 .

[12]  V. Fortin,et al.  Predicting Snow Depth in a Forest–Tundra Landscape using a Conceptual Model Allowing for Snow Redistribution and Constrained by Observations from a Digital Camera , 2015 .

[13]  M. Khaliq,et al.  Regionalization of precipitation characteristics in the Canadian Prairie Provinces using large-scale atmospheric covariates and geophysical attributes , 2015, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment.

[14]  Faisal Hossain,et al.  How well can we estimate error variance of satellite precipitation data around the world , 2014 .

[15]  G. Balsamo,et al.  The WFDEI meteorological forcing data set: WATCH Forcing Data methodology applied to ERA‐Interim reanalysis data , 2014 .

[16]  Huilin Gao,et al.  On the Changing Contribution of Snow to the Hydrology of the Fraser River Basin, Canada , 2014 .

[17]  Y. Dibike,et al.  Inter‐comparison of high‐resolution gridded climate data sets and their implication on hydrological model simulation over the Athabasca Watershed, Canada , 2014 .

[18]  Yudong Tian,et al.  An Error Model for Uncertainty Quantification in High-Time-Resolution Precipitation Products , 2014 .

[19]  Alfonso Rivera,et al.  Assessment of water budget for sixteen large drainage basins in Canada , 2014 .

[20]  K. Bennett,et al.  Impacts of climate change in three hydrologic regimes in British Columbia, Canada , 2014 .

[21]  Yi Luo,et al.  Spatial and seasonal variations in evapotranspiration over Canada's landmass , 2013 .

[22]  S. Somot,et al.  Evaluation of the regional climate model ALADIN to simulate the climate over North America in the CORDEX framework , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[23]  P. Gachon,et al.  An assessment of Canadian prairie drought: past, present, and future , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[24]  R. Laprise,et al.  Reanalysis-driven climate simulation over CORDEX North America domain using the Canadian Regional Climate Model, version 5: model performance evaluation , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[25]  Katja Winger,et al.  Present climate and climate change over North America as simulated by the fifth-generation Canadian regional climate model , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[26]  F. Zwiers,et al.  Effect of data coverage on the estimation of mean and variability of precipitation at global and regional scales , 2013 .

[27]  Jan Adamowski,et al.  Using discrete wavelet transforms to analyze trends in streamflow and precipitation in Quebec and Ontario (1954–2008) , 2012 .

[28]  Richard A. L. Jones,et al.  The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results , 2012 .

[29]  R. Shrestha,et al.  Modelling spatial and temporal variability of hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Fraser River basin, British Columbia, Canada , 2012 .

[30]  J. Pomeroy,et al.  Changes in the hydrological character of rainfall on the Canadian prairies , 2012 .

[31]  John Kochendorfer,et al.  How Well Are We Measuring Snow: The NOAA/FAA/NCAR Winter Precipitation Test Bed , 2012 .

[32]  Karl E. Taylor,et al.  An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design , 2012 .

[33]  T. Ouarda,et al.  Evaluation of regional climate model simulations versus gridded observed and regional reanalysis products using a combined weighting scheme , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[34]  Kuolin Hsu,et al.  Intercomparison of High-Resolution Precipitation Products over Northwest Europe , 2012 .

[35]  V. Singh,et al.  Spatial-temporal precipitation changes (1956–2000) and their implications for agriculture in China , 2012 .

[36]  W. Petersen,et al.  Global precipitation measurement: Methods, datasets and applications , 2012 .

[37]  M. Nemeth,et al.  Simulating the hydrological impacts of climate change in the upper North Saskatchewan River basin, Alberta, Canada , 2012 .

[38]  W. J. Shuttleworth,et al.  Creation of the WATCH Forcing Data and Its Use to Assess Global and Regional Reference Crop Evaporation over Land during the Twentieth Century , 2011 .

[39]  M. Hutchinson,et al.  Impact of Aligning Climatological Day on Gridding Daily Maximum–Minimum Temperature and Precipitation over Canada , 2011 .

[40]  K. Calvin,et al.  The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300 , 2011 .

[41]  Éva Mekis,et al.  An Overview of the Second Generation Adjusted Daily Precipitation Dataset for Trend Analysis in Canada , 2011, Data, Models and Analysis.

[42]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  Effects of mid‐twenty‐first century climate and land cover change on the hydrology of the Puget Sound basin, Washington , 2011 .

[43]  C. Coburn,et al.  Simulating the hydrological response to predicted climate change on a watershed in southern Alberta, Canada , 2011 .

[44]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[45]  Hannes Taubenböck,et al.  Flood risks in urbanized areas – multi-sensoral approaches using remotely sensed data for risk assessment , 2011 .

[46]  Yudong Tian,et al.  A global map of uncertainties in satellite‐based precipitation measurements , 2010 .

[47]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Resolution effects on regional climate model simulations of seasonal precipitation over Europe , 2010 .

[48]  Jan Seibert,et al.  Regional Climate Models for Hydrological Impact Studies at the Catchment Scale: A Review of Recent Modeling Strategies , 2010 .

[49]  M. Dettinger,et al.  The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California , 2010 .

[50]  P. Xie,et al.  Performance of high‐resolution satellite precipitation products over China , 2010 .

[51]  F. Turk,et al.  Component analysis of errors in satellite-based precipitation estimates , 2009 .

[52]  David L. Toll,et al.  Statistical Evaluation of Combined Daily Gauge Observations and Rainfall Satellite Estimates over Continental South America , 2009 .

[53]  Anthony J. Jakeman,et al.  Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modeling (LUCHEM) III: scenario analysis , 2009 .

[54]  Phillip A. Arkin,et al.  An Intercomparison and Validation of High-Resolution Satellite Precipitation Estimates with 3-Hourly Gauge Data , 2009 .

[55]  Woonsup Choi,et al.  Use of the North American Regional Reanalysis for Hydrological Modelling in Manitoba , 2009 .

[56]  Anita Asadullah,et al.  Evaluation of five satellite products for estimation of rainfall over Uganda / Evaluation de cinq produits satellitaires pour l'estimation des précipitations en Ouganda , 2008 .

[57]  F. Joseph Turk,et al.  Evaluating High-Resolution Precipitation Products , 2008 .

[58]  C. Ropelewski,et al.  Comparison of global gridded precipitation products over a mountainous region of Africa , 2008 .

[59]  Michael G. Bosilovich,et al.  Evaluation of Global Precipitation in Reanalyses , 2008 .

[60]  M. Hutchinson,et al.  Development and Testing of Canada-Wide Interpolated Spatial Models of Daily Minimum–Maximum Temperature and Precipitation for 1961–2003 , 2008 .

[61]  Hayley J. Fowler,et al.  Changes in European drought characteristics projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models , 2007 .

[62]  E. Maurer,et al.  Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods , 2007 .

[63]  Melissa Bukovsky,et al.  A Brief Evaluation of Precipitation from the North American Regional Reanalysis , 2007 .

[64]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluation of PERSIANN-CCS rainfall measurement using the NAME event rain gauge network , 2007 .

[65]  W. J. Steenburgh,et al.  Spurious Grid-Scale Precipitation in the North American Regional Reanalysis , 2007 .

[66]  M. Rummukainen,et al.  Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project , 2007 .

[67]  J. Mahfouf,et al.  A Canadian precipitation analysis (CaPA) project: Description and preliminary results , 2007 .

[68]  Mei Zhao,et al.  Comparison of ERA40 and NCEP/DOE near‐surface data sets with other ISLSCP‐II data sets , 2006 .

[69]  Chong-Yu Xu,et al.  Daily precipitation‐downscaling techniques in three Chinese regions , 2006 .

[70]  Alain Pietroniro,et al.  Development of the MESH modelling system for hydrological ensemble forecasting of the Laurentian Great Lakes at the regional scale , 2006 .

[71]  E. Wood,et al.  Development of a 50-Year High-Resolution Global Dataset of Meteorological Forcings for Land Surface Modeling , 2006 .

[72]  R. Thorne,et al.  Snowmelt contribution to discharge from a large mountainous catchment in subarctic Canada , 2006 .

[73]  C. Frei,et al.  Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models , 2006 .

[74]  David D. Parrish,et al.  NORTH AMERICAN REGIONAL REANALYSIS , 2006 .

[75]  Deliang Chen,et al.  Using statistical downscaling to quantify the GCM-related uncertainty in regional climate change scenarios: A case study of Swedish precipitation , 2006 .

[76]  Chong-yu Xu,et al.  Modelling hydrological consequences of climate change—Progress and challenges , 2005 .

[77]  A. Sterl,et al.  The ERA‐40 re‐analysis , 2005 .

[78]  M. Dore Climate change and changes in global precipitation patterns: what do we know? , 2005, Environment international.

[79]  Matthew Rodell,et al.  Analysis of Multiple Precipitation Products and Preliminary Assessment of Their Impact on Global Land Data Assimilation System Land Surface States , 2005 .

[80]  T. Steenhuis,et al.  Distributed hydrological modeling of total dissolved phosphorus transport in an agricultural landscape, part II: dissolved phosphorus transport , 2005 .

[81]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  A Detailed Evaluation of GPCP 1° Daily Rainfall Estimates over the Mississippi River Basin , 2005 .

[82]  Ian Strangeways,et al.  Improving precipitation measurement , 2004 .

[83]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  The multi‐institution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): Utilizing multiple GCIP products and partners in a continental distributed hydrological modeling system , 2004 .

[84]  Bart Nijssen,et al.  Effect of precipitation sampling error on simulated hydrological fluxes and states: Anticipating the Global Precipitation Measurement satellites , 2004 .

[85]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model , 2003 .

[86]  K. Taylor,et al.  An overview of results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project , 2003 .

[87]  Jennifer C. Adam,et al.  Adjustment of global gridded precipitation for systematic bias , 2003 .

[88]  Grzegorz J. Ciach,et al.  Local Random Errors in Tipping-Bucket Rain Gauge Measurements , 2003 .

[89]  Emmanouil N. Anagnostou,et al.  Improving Radar-Based Estimation of Rainfall over Complex Terrain , 2002 .

[90]  M. Kanamitsu,et al.  NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2) , 2002 .

[91]  A. R. Jameson,et al.  Spurious power‐law relations among rainfall and radar parameters , 2002 .

[92]  Samuel S. P. Shen,et al.  Interpolation of 1961–97 Daily Temperature and Precipitation Data onto Alberta Polygons of Ecodistrict and Soil Landscapes of Canada , 2001 .

[93]  R. Adler,et al.  Intercomparison of global precipitation products : The third Precipitation Intercomparison Project (PIP-3) , 2001 .

[94]  J. Kwadijk,et al.  Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes and Water Resources Management in the Rhine Basin , 2001 .

[95]  W. Collins,et al.  The NCEP–NCAR 50-Year Reanalysis: Monthly Means CD-ROM and Documentation , 2001 .

[96]  J. Susskind,et al.  Global Precipitation at One-Degree Daily Resolution from Multisatellite Observations , 2001 .

[97]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Wind-Induced Error of Raindrop Size Distribution Measurement Using a Two-Dimensional Video Disdrometer , 2000 .

[98]  P. Jones,et al.  Representing Twentieth-Century Space-Time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901-96 Monthly Grids of Terrestrial Surface Climate , 2000 .

[99]  Anton Kruger,et al.  An evaluation of NEXRAD precipitation estimates in complex terrain , 1999 .

[100]  Gary G. Gibson,et al.  A Climatology of Surface Radiation Budget Derived from Satellite Data , 1999 .

[101]  Éva Mekis,et al.  Rehabilitation and Analysis of Canadian Daily Precipitation Time Series , 1999, Data, Models and Analysis.

[102]  P. Jones,et al.  Representing Twentieth-Century Space–Time Climate Variability. Part I: Development of a 1961–90 Mean Monthly Terrestrial Climatology , 1999 .

[103]  R. E. Livezey,et al.  A Comparison of the NCEP-NCAR Reanalysis Precipitation and the GPCP Rain Gauge-Satellite Combined Dataset with Observational Error Considerations , 1998 .

[104]  A. Staniforth,et al.  The Operational CMC–MRB Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) Model. Part I: Design Considerations and Formulation , 1998 .

[105]  A. Staniforth,et al.  The Operational CMC–MRB Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) Model. Part II: Results , 1998 .

[106]  Daqing Yang,et al.  Accuracy of NWS 8 Standard Nonrecording Precipitation Gauge: Results and Application of WMO Intercomparison , 1998 .

[107]  P. Xie,et al.  Global Precipitation: A 17-Year Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Model Outputs , 1997 .

[108]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[109]  Christopher Grassotti,et al.  Toward an Objective Analysis of Rainfall Rate Combining Observations and Short-Term Forecast Model Estimates , 1995 .

[110]  P. Xie,et al.  An Intercomparison of Gauge Observations and Satellite Estimates of Monthly Precipitation , 1995 .

[111]  M. Danard,et al.  Application of Optimum Interpolation to the Analysis of Precipitation in Complex Terrain , 1994 .

[112]  M. Pedder,et al.  Atmospheric data analysis: by Roger Daley, Cambridge University Press. Cambridge atmospheric and space science series, 2. 457 pages. Published 1991. Price: £55,-/U.S. $79.50 ISBN 0 521 382157. , 1992 .

[113]  Slobodan Nickovic,et al.  The Step-Mountain Coordinate: Model Description and Performance for Cases of Alpine Lee Cyclogenesis and for a Case of an Appalachian Redevelopment , 1988 .

[114]  G. P. Cressman AN OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SYSTEM , 1959 .

[115]  K.,et al.  The Global Precipitation Measurement Mission , 2014 .

[116]  John S. Kimball,et al.  Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group 3-2016 Quantification of Warming Climate-Induced Changes in Terrestrial Arctic River Ice Thickness and Phenology , 2017 .

[117]  E. Gutmann How well are we measuring snow? [presentation] , 2014 .

[118]  Y. Dibike,et al.  Modelling of climate-induced hydrologic changes in the Lake Winnipeg watershed , 2012 .

[119]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Review of the Different Sources of Uncertainty in Single Polarization Radar-Based Estimates of Rainfall , 2010 .

[120]  Yang Hong,et al.  Applications of TRMM-Based Multi-Satellite Precipitation Estimation for Global Runoff Prediction: Prototyping a Global Flood Modeling System , 2010 .

[121]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework , 2009 .

[122]  Kay,et al.  Comparison of uncertainty sources for climate change impacts : flood frequency in England , 2009 .

[123]  J. Janowiak,et al.  COMPARISON OF NEAR-REAL-TIME PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS AND NUMERICAL MODELS , 2007 .

[124]  S. Emori,et al.  Projected Changes in Precipitation Characteristics around Japan under the Global Warming , 2005 .

[125]  Kenneth P. Bowman,et al.  Comparison of TRMM Precipitation Retrievals with Rain Gauge Data from Ocean Buoys , 2005 .

[126]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  Hydrologic Implications of Dynamical and Statistical Approaches to Downscaling Climate Model Outputs , 2004 .

[127]  P. Paul,et al.  BUILDING A CANADIAN DIGITAL DRAINAGE AREA FRAMEWORK , 2002 .

[128]  Erich Franz Stocker,et al.  Analysis of TRMM 3-Hourly Multi-Satellite Precipitation Estimates Computed in Both Real and Post-Real Time , 2002 .

[129]  John S. Woollen,et al.  NCEP-DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society . , 2002 .

[130]  J. Metcalfe,et al.  Rainfall Measurement in Canada: Changing Observational Methodsand Archive Adjustment Procedures , 1997 .

[131]  F. Bertrand,et al.  Currents of change: Final report, Inquiry on Federal Water Policy , 1985 .