Association between glycated haemoglobin and the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A prospective cohort study in UK biobank

AIMS To investigate the association between glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidents in the general population, and the association between HbA1c levels and mortality in patients with COPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS We investigated the association of HbA1c levels with COPD risk in the general population in the UK Biobank, using data from 420 065 participants. Survival analysis was conducted for 18 854 patients with COPD. We used restricted cubic spline analysis to assess the dose-response relationship between HbA1c levels and COPD risk and survival. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS During a median follow-up of 12.3 years, 11 556 COPD cases were recorded. HbA1c had a non-linear relationship with COPD risk (p for non-linearity < .05). Compared with the quintile 2 (32.2-<34.3 mmol/mol), those with HbA1c levels above 38.7 mmol/mol (quintile 5) had a 22% (HR, 1.22, 95% CI: 1.15-1.30) higher risk of COPD. Compared with the HbA1c decile 2 (30.5-<32.2 mmol/mol), the HRs (95% CI) of COPD risk were 1.16 (1.03-1.30) and 1.36 (1.24-1.50) in the lowest HbA1c decile (<30.5 mmol/mol) and highest decile (≥41.0 mmol/mol), respectively. The increased COPD risk associated with HbA1c was more pronounced in younger, current smokers, passive smokers, and participants with a higher Townsend deprivation index (all p for interaction < .05). Among patients with COPD, 4569 COPD cases died (488 because of COPD) during a median follow-up of 5.4 years. Regarding COPD survival, HbA1c had a non-linear relationship with all-cause death (p for non-linearity < .05). Those with HbA1c quintile 5 (≥38.7 mmol/mol) had a 23% (HR, 1.23, 95% CI: 1.10-1.37) higher risk of all-cause death compared with the quintile 2 (32.2-<34.3 mmol/mol). Compared with the HbA1c decile 4 (33.3-<34.3 mmol/mol), those in the lowest HbA1c decile (<30.5 mmol/mol) and highest HbA1c decile (≥41.0 mmol/mol) had 22% (HR, 1.22; 95% CI: 1.01-1.47) and 28% (HR, 1.28; 95% CI: 1.11-1.48) higher risk for overall death. However, no significant association was observed between HbA1c levels and the risk of COPD-specific death. CONCLUSIONS Our findings indicated that lower and higher HbA1c levels were associated with a higher risk of COPD. In COPD cases, lower and higher HbA1c levels were associated with a higher COPD all-cause death risk.