Optimal Integrated Ordering and Production Policy in a Supply Chain With Stochastic Lead-Time, Processing-Time, and Demand

This paper seeks the optimal integrated ordering and production control in a supply chain by minimizing the expected sum of material and product holding costs and demand backordering costs subject to finite capacitated warehouses. With the assumptions of exponential replenishment lead-times, exponential processing-times, Poisson demand arrivals, and at most one outstanding order with its size changeable at any time, it is shown that the optimal integrated policy can be characterized by two monotonic switching curves. The optimal ordering decision follows a set of order-up-to-point policies, while the optimal production decision follows a set of base-stock policies. Based on the monotonic and asymptotic properties of the switching curves, a simple linear switching threshold policy is proposed, which performs extremely well in the experiments. The key assumptions are then relaxed and numerical examples illustrate that the main structural properties of the optimal policy are preserved.

[1]  Hau L. Lee,et al.  Information distortion in a supply chain: the bullwhip effect , 1997 .

[2]  Fangruo Chen,et al.  Evaluating Echelon Stock R, nQ Policies in Serial Production/Inventory Systems with Stochastic Demand , 1994 .

[3]  X. Zhou,et al.  Circulant Preconditioners for Markov-Modulated Poisson Processes and Their Applications to Manufacturing Systems , 1997, SIAM J. Matrix Anal. Appl..

[4]  Marcel F. Neuts,et al.  Matrix-geometric solutions in stochastic models - an algorithmic approach , 1982 .

[5]  Dong-Ping Song,et al.  Optimal Service Control of a Serial Production Line with Unreliable Workstations and Random Demand , 1998, Autom..

[6]  John A. Buzacott,et al.  Stochastic models of manufacturing systems , 1993 .

[7]  Dimitri P. Bertsekas,et al.  Dynamic Programming: Deterministic and Stochastic Models , 1987 .

[8]  Paolo Valigi,et al.  Hedging point policies remain optimal under limited backlog and inventory space , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.

[9]  L. Sennott Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems , 1998 .

[10]  Yves Dallery,et al.  A performance comparison of pull type control mechanisms for multi-stage manufacturing , 2000 .

[11]  Terry P. Harrison,et al.  The Bullwhip Effect—Impact of Stochastic Lead Time, Information Quality, and Information Sharing: A Simulation Study , 2004 .

[12]  Houmin Yan,et al.  Optimal production control in a discrete manufacturing system with unreliable machines and random demands , 2000, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control..

[13]  Stephen C. Graves,et al.  Technical Note - A One-Product Production/Inventory Problem under Continuous Review Policy , 1980, Oper. Res..

[14]  Lawrence M. Wein,et al.  Optimal Control of a Two-Station Tandem Production/Inventory System , 1994, Oper. Res..

[15]  Oded Berman,et al.  Dynamic order replenishment policy in internet-based supply chains , 2001, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[16]  Paul H. Zipkin,et al.  Customer-order information, leadtimes, and inventories , 1995 .

[17]  Lawrence M. Wein,et al.  Monotone control of queueing networks , 1992, Queueing Syst. Theory Appl..

[18]  Baichun Xiao,et al.  Optimal threshold control in discrete failure-prone manufacturing systems , 2002, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control..

[19]  Youxian Sun,et al.  Optimal control structure of an unreliable manufacturing system with random demands , 1996, Proceedings of 35th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control.

[20]  R. Weber,et al.  Optimal control of service rates in networks of queues , 1987, Advances in Applied Probability.

[21]  Awi Federgruen,et al.  An Inventory Model with Limited Production Capacity and Uncertain Demands I. The Average-Cost Criterion , 1986, Math. Oper. Res..

[22]  M. Jaksic,et al.  Bullwhip Effect in a Supply Chain , 2007 .

[23]  Dong-Ping Song,et al.  Quantifying the effectiveness of VMI and integrated inventory management in a supply chain with uncertain lead-times and uncertain demands , 2008 .

[24]  Oded Berman,et al.  Dynamic inventory strategies for profit maximization in a service facility with stochastic service, demand and lead time , 2004, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[25]  Lode Li The role of inventory in delivery-time competition , 1992 .

[26]  Vaidyanathan Ramaswami,et al.  Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling , 1999, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Mathematics.

[27]  Awi Federgruen,et al.  An Inventory Model with Limited Production Capacity and Uncertain Demands II. The Discounted-Cost Criterion , 1986, Math. Oper. Res..

[28]  Jian Yang Production Control in the Face of Storable Raw Material, Random Supply, and an Outside Market , 2004, Oper. Res..

[29]  Eungab Kim Optimal inventory replenishment policy for a queueing system with finite waiting room capacity , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[30]  Jian-Qiang Hu Production rate control for failure-prone production systems with no backlog permitted , 1995 .

[31]  Dong-Ping Song Optimal production and backordering policy in failure-prone manufacturing systems , 2006, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control..

[32]  Stanley B. Gershwin,et al.  Manufacturing Systems Engineering , 1993 .

[33]  Roman Kapuscinski,et al.  Optimal Policies for a Capacitated Two-Echelon Inventory System , 2004, Oper. Res..

[34]  Dong-Ping Song Stability and optimization of a production inventory system under prioritized base-stock control , 2007 .

[35]  John A. Buzacott,et al.  Optimal and near-optimal inventory control policies for a make-to-order inventory-production system , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[36]  Ger Koole,et al.  Structural results for the control of queueing systems using event-based dynamic programming , 1998, Queueing Syst. Theory Appl..

[37]  Elizabeth M. Jewkes,et al.  Performance measures of a make-to-order inventory-production system , 2000 .