Graph-based Cross Entropy method for solving multi-robot decentralized POMDPs

This paper introduces a probabilistic algorithm for multi-robot decision-making under uncertainty, which can be posed as a Decentralized Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (Dec-POMDP). Dec-POMDPs are inherently synchronous decision-making frameworks which require significant computational resources to be solved, making them infeasible for many real-world robotics applications. The Decentralized Partially Observable Semi-Markov Decision Process (Dec-POSMDP) was recently introduced as an extension of the Dec-POMDP that uses high-level macro-actions to allow large-scale, asynchronous decision-making. However, existing Dec-POSMDP solution methods have limited scalability or perform poorly as the problem size grows. This paper proposes a cross-entropy based Dec-POSMDP algorithm motivated by the combinatorial optimization literature. The algorithm is applied to a constrained package delivery domain, where it significantly outperforms existing Dec-POSMDP solution methods.