Land-Use Planning for Urban Sprawl Based on the CLUE-S Model: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China

In recent years, changes in land use resulting from rapid urbanization or urban sprawl have brought about many negative effects to land ecosystems, and have led to entropy increases. This study introduces the novel ideas of a planning regulation coefficient for sustainable land-use planning in order to decrease entropy, combined with the CLUE-S model to predict land-use change. Three scenarios were designed as the basis for land-use projections for Guangzhou, China, in 2015, and the changes in the land ecological service function for each scenario were predicted. The results show that, although the current land-use plan is quite reasonable, it will be necessary to further strengthen the protection of farmland and important ecological service function areas.

[1]  A. Veldkamp,et al.  CLUE-CR: An integrated multi-scale model to simulate land use change scenarios in Costa Rica , 1996 .

[2]  R. Banai.  Land Resource Sustainability for Urban Development: Spatial Decision Support System Prototype , 2005, Environmental management.

[3]  Seth Appiah-Opoku,et al.  Environmental Land Use and the Ecological Footprint of Higher Learning , 2012 .

[4]  G. Sandhya Kiran,et al.  Estimation of variables explaining urbanization concomitant with land-use change: a spatial approach , 2013 .

[5]  Xiaodong Zhu,et al.  An early warning method of landscape ecological security in rapid urbanizing coastal areas and its application in Xiamen, China , 2010 .

[6]  R. Gil Pontius,et al.  Land-cover change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA , 2001 .

[7]  Peng Wang,et al.  Ecological Risk Assessment of Land Use Change in the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone, China , 2013, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[8]  Luna Bergere Leopold,et al.  The concept of entropy in landscape evolution , 1962 .

[9]  Graeme S. Cumming,et al.  Aldo Leopold’s Land Health from a Resilience Point of View: Self-renewal Capacity of Social–Ecological Systems , 2012, EcoHealth.

[10]  Ehsan S. Soofi,et al.  A Framework for Measuring the Importance of Variables with Applications to Management Research and Decision Models , 2000, Decis. Sci..

[11]  K. Clarke,et al.  Assessing simulated land use/cover maps using similarity and fragmentation indices , 2012 .

[12]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Dynamic sustainability assessment of countries at the macro level: A principal component analysis , 2011 .

[13]  J. Bouma,et al.  A spatial explicit allocation procedure for modelling the pattern of land use change based upon actual land use , 1999 .

[14]  Pedro Cabral,et al.  Urban Sprawl Analysis and Modeling in Asmara, Eritrea , 2011, Remote. Sens..

[15]  Marta M. Jankowska,et al.  Space versus Place in Complex Human-Natural Systems: Spatial and Multi-level Models of Tropical Land Use and Cover Change (LUCC) in Guatemala. , 2012, Ecological modelling.

[16]  Haolin Su,et al.  Optimization of coarse aggregate content based on efficacy coefficient method , 2011 .

[17]  Xiaowei Lin,et al.  The identification and assessment of ecological risks for land consolidation based on the anticipation of ecosystem stabilization: A case study in Hubei Province, China , 2010 .

[18]  Wiktor L. Adamowicz,et al.  Research, part of a Special Feature on Balancing Ecology and Community using Cumulative Effects Models Cumulative Effects Planning: Finding the Balance Using Choice Experiments , 2012 .

[19]  Jordan B. Peterson,et al.  Psychological entropy: a framework for understanding uncertainty-related anxiety. , 2012, Psychological review.

[20]  Kongjian Yu,et al.  Security patterns and surface model in landscape ecological planning , 1996 .

[21]  Anne Vanasse,et al.  Development of agri-environmental indicators to assess dairy farm sustainability in Quebec, Eastern Canada , 2012 .

[22]  Sylvia Herrmann,et al.  A setup for a scenario-driven water balance at landscape scale—assessment with AKWA-M®-Embedded in a model framework for land-use planning’s decision support in mountainous southwest China , 2010 .

[23]  M. Wackernagel,et al.  Urban ecological footprints: Why cities cannot be sustainable—And why they are a key to sustainability , 1996 .

[24]  C. Ikiel,et al.  Remote sensing and GIS-based integrated analysis of land cover change in Duzce plain and its surroundings (north western Turkey) , 2013, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment.

[25]  Linyu Xu,et al.  Evaluation indicators for urban ecological security based on ecological network analysis , 2010 .

[26]  Zhifeng Yang.  Eco-Cities : A Planning Guide , 2012 .