Knowledge spillovers from clean and dirty technologies : A patent citation analysis ⇤

How much should governments subsidize the development of new clean technologies? We use patent citation data to investigate the relative intensity of knowledge spillovers in clean and dirty technologies in four technological fields: energy production, automobiles, fuel and lighting. We find that clean patents receive on average 43% more citations than dirty patents. Clean patents are also cited by more prominent patents. These results hold for all four technological areas. Two factors are shown to explain the clean superiority: clean technologies have more general applications, and they are radically new compared to more incremental dirty innovation. Knowledge spillovers from clean technologies are comparable in scale to those observed in the IT sector. Our results mean that stronger public support for clean R&D is warranted. They also suggest that green policies might be able to boost economic growth. ⇤The financial support of the Global Green Growth Institute is gratefully acknowledged. We thank Baran Doda, Jason Eis, Carolyn Fischer, David Hemous, Colin McCormick and Sjak Smulders for many helpful comments. Participants at seminars at UK EnvEcon, AERE, EEA, LSE, Dublin, Geneva, Brussels, and SPRU have all improved the paper. †Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics, a.dechezlepretre@lse.ac.uk ‡Imperial College and London School of Economics, r.martin@imperial.ac.uk §University College London, myra.mohnen.09@ucl.ac.uk

[1]  Green Paradox and Directed Technical Change , 2013 .

[2]  Dominique Guellec,et al.  From R&D to Productivity Growth: Do the Institutional Settings and the Source of Funds of R&D Matter? , 2004 .

[3]  Maryna Lukach,et al.  Ranking USPTO Patent Documents by Importance Using Random Surfer Method (PageRank) , 2007 .

[4]  Frauke G. Braun,et al.  Innovative Activity in Wind and Solar Technology: Empirical Evidence on Knowledge Spillovers Using Patent Data , 2010 .

[5]  Green Growth -- Lessons from Growth Theory , 2012 .

[6]  Stephen H. Schneider,et al.  Induced technological change and the attractiveness of CO2 abatement policies , 1999 .

[7]  Richard G. Newell,et al.  Environmental and Technology Policies for Climate Mitigation , 2008 .

[8]  M. Trajtenberg A Penny for Your Quotes : Patent Citations and the Value of Innovations , 1990 .

[9]  Ashoka Mody,et al.  Innovation and the international diffusion of environmentally responsive technology , 1996 .

[10]  F. Ricci,et al.  Channels of Transmission of Environmental Policy to Economic Growth: A Survey of the Theory , 2004 .

[11]  Z. Griliches The Search for R&D Spillovers , 1991 .

[12]  Elena Verdolini,et al.  At Home and Abroad: An Empirical Analysis of Innovation and Diffusion in Energy-Efficient Technologies , 2011 .

[13]  W. Greene,et al.  Fixed and Random Effects Models for Count Data , 2007 .

[14]  P. Howitt,et al.  Research and development in the growth process , 1996 .

[15]  A. Jaffe,et al.  A tale of two market failures: Technology and environmental policy , 2005 .

[16]  Bart Verspagen,et al.  Knowledge Spillovers in Europe: A Patent Citations Analysis , 2002 .

[17]  Arnold B. Silverman Duty to disclose prior art to the United States patent and trademark office , 2003 .

[18]  V. Veefkind,et al.  A new EPO classification scheme for climate change mitigation technologies , 2012 .

[19]  Rajeev Motwani,et al.  The PageRank Citation Ranking : Bringing Order to the Web , 1999, WWW 1999.

[20]  Silvana Tenreyro,et al.  The Log of Gravity , 2004 .

[21]  J. A. Smulders,et al.  The impact of energy conservation on technology and economic growth , 2003 .

[22]  Robert D. Mohr Technical Change, External Economies, and the Porter Hypothesis , 2002 .

[23]  Mark Setterfield,et al.  What is Endogenous Growth Theory , 2007 .

[24]  M. Porter,et al.  Toward a New Conception of the Environment-Competitiveness Relationship , 1995 .

[25]  P. Thompson,et al.  Patent Citations and the Geography of Knowledge Spillovers: A Reassessment , 2005 .

[26]  T. Bjørner,et al.  Spillover from private energy research , 2013 .

[27]  Tom-Reiel Heggedal,et al.  A Comment on the Environment and Directed Technical Change , 2012 .

[28]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Econometric Models for Count Data with an Application to the Patents-R&D Relationship , 1984 .

[29]  Stephen H. Schneider,et al.  Achieving low-cost emissions targets , 1997, Nature.

[30]  Fb Timothy,et al.  General Purpose Technologies:Engines of Growth? Journal of Econometrics, . , 1995 .

[31]  Giovanni Peri,et al.  Determinants of Knowledge Flows and Their Effect on Innovation , 2005, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[32]  Hariolf Grupp,et al.  Foundations of the economics of innovation : theory, measurement and practice , 1998 .

[33]  Knut Einar Rosendahl,et al.  Climate policies and learning by doing: Impacts and timing of technology subsidies , 2007 .

[34]  M. Trajtenberg,et al.  International Knowledge Flows: Evidence from Patent Citations , 1998 .

[35]  M. Trajtenberg,et al.  University Versus Corporate Patents: A Window On The Basicness Of Invention , 1997 .

[36]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  R&D, Patents, and Market Value Revisited: is There Evidence of a Secondtechnological Opportunity Related Factor? , 1988, Economics of Innovation and New Technology.

[37]  Richard G. Newell,et al.  Where does energy R&D come from? Examining crowding out from energy R&D , 2012 .

[38]  F. Ricci Environmental policy and growth when inputs are differentiated in pollution intensity , 2002 .

[39]  Hélène Dernis,et al.  Triadic Patent Families Methodology , 2004 .

[40]  R. Gerlagh,et al.  Optimal Timing of Climate Change Policy: Interaction Between Carbon Taxes and Innovation Externalities , 2009 .

[41]  P. Allison,et al.  7. Fixed-Effects Negative Binomial Regression Models , 2002 .

[42]  Bruno Van Pottelsberghe,et al.  Using patent counts for cross-country comparisons of technology output , 2001 .

[43]  Sergei Maslov,et al.  Promise and Pitfalls of Extending Google's PageRank Algorithm to Citation Networks , 2008, The Journal of Neuroscience.

[44]  P. Aghion,et al.  The Environment and Directed Technical Change , 2009, The American economic review.

[45]  Jacob Schmookler,et al.  Invention and Economic Growth , 1967 .

[46]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Citations, Family Size, Opposition and the Value of Patent Rights Have Profited from Comments and Suggestions , 2002 .

[47]  David Popp,et al.  Where Does Energy R&D Come from? Examining Crowding Out from Environmentally-Friendly R&D , 2009 .

[48]  Monte J. Shaffer,et al.  Entrepreneurial Innovation: Patent Rank and Marketing Science , 2011 .

[49]  Paul Lanoie,et al.  The Porter Hypothesis at 20: Can Environmental Regulation Enhance Innovation and Competitiveness? , 2010, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy.

[50]  Robert Hart,et al.  Growth, environment and innovation-a model with production vintages and environmentally oriented research , 2004 .

[51]  T. Rutherford,et al.  Climate Policies and Induced Technological Change: Which to Choose, the Carrot or the Stick? , 2004 .

[52]  M. Feldman,et al.  Knowledge spillovers and the geography of innovation , 2004 .

[53]  R. Hart Can Environmental Regulations Boost Growth , 2007 .

[54]  Mark A. Schankerman,et al.  The Quality of Ideas: Measuring Innovation with Multiple Indicators , 1999 .

[55]  Mark A. Schankerman,et al.  Patent Quality and Research Productivity: Measuring Innovation with Multiple Indicators , 2004 .

[56]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  Market value and patent citations , 2005 .

[57]  T. Rutherford,et al.  Climate Policies and Induced Technological Change: Which to Choose the Carrot or the Stick? , 2001 .

[58]  David Popp,et al.  Energy, the Environment, and Technological Change , 2009 .

[59]  C. Fischer,et al.  Environmental and Technology Policy Options in the Electricity Sector: Are We Deploying Too Many? , 2014, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.