Connections between Entropic and Linear Projections in Asset Pricing Estimation

The concept of entropy has a long and distinguished history in the physical sciences and engineering, in fields ranging from thermodynamics to image processing. Each of these applications employs a probability distribution that solves a relative entropy projection problem, i.e. an optimization problem with an entropy objective, subject to linear (e.g. moment) constraints. This paper develops the relationship between relative entropy projection approaches and the better-known linear projection approaches to problems of estimation and performance diagnostics for stochastic discount factor models in asset pricing. Frequentist interpretations of relative entropy, enabled by large deviations theory, are used to unify the interpretation of the seemingly disparate procedures.

[1]  Guido W. Imbens,et al.  One-step estimators for over-identified generalized method of moments models , 1997 .

[2]  Joseph G. Altonji,et al.  Small Sample Bias in GMM Estimation of Covariance Structures , 1994 .

[3]  G. Parmigiani Large Deviation Techniques in Decision, Simulation and Estimation , 1992 .

[4]  I. Csiszár $I$-Divergence Geometry of Probability Distributions and Minimization Problems , 1975 .

[5]  A. Dembo,et al.  Large deviations and strong mixing , 1996 .

[6]  Yuichi Kitamura,et al.  Empirical likelihood methods with weakly dependent processes , 1997 .

[7]  Michael J. Stutzer,et al.  A Bayesian approach to diagnosis of asset pricing models , 1995 .

[8]  J. Lawless,et al.  Empirical Likelihood and General Estimating Equations , 1994 .

[9]  Jan M. Van Campenhout,et al.  Maximum entropy and conditional probability , 1981, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[10]  R. Ellis,et al.  LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR A GENERAL-CLASS OF RANDOM VECTORS , 1984 .

[11]  Ravi Jagannathan,et al.  Assessing Specification Errors in Stochastic Discount Factor Models , 1994 .

[12]  Michael J. Schill,et al.  Conditional Market Timing with Benchmark Investors , 1998 .

[13]  Yuichi Kitamura,et al.  An Information-Theoretic Alternative to Generalized Method of Moments Estimation , 1997 .

[14]  Charles F. Manski,et al.  Analog estimation methods in econometrics , 1988 .

[15]  Wayne E. Ferson,et al.  Seasonality and Consumption-Based Asset Pricing , 1992 .

[16]  I. Csiszár Sanov Property, Generalized $I$-Projection and a Conditional Limit Theorem , 1984 .

[17]  Wayne E. Ferson,et al.  Finite sample properties of the generalized method of moments in tests of conditional asset pricing models , 1994 .

[18]  L. Hansen Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators , 1982 .

[19]  Jonathan D. Cryer,et al.  Time Series Analysis , 1986 .

[20]  G. Imbens,et al.  Information Theoretic Approaches to Inference in Moment Condition Models , 1995 .

[21]  Ravi Jagannathan,et al.  Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.