Does broadband Internet affect fertility?

The spread of high-speed (broadband) Internet epitomizes the digital revolution. Using German panel data, we test whether the availability of broadband influences fertility choices in a low-fertility setting well known for the difficulty in combining work and family life. We exploit a strategy devised by Falck and colleagues to obtain causal estimates of the impact of broadband on fertility. We find positive effects of broadband availability on the fertility of highly educated women aged 25–45. We further confirm this result using county-level data on total fertility. We show that broadband access significantly increases the share of women reporting home- or part-time working. Furthermore, we find positive effects on time spent with children and overall life satisfaction. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that access to broadband allows highly educated women, but not the less educated, to reconcile career and motherhood, which may promote a ‘digital divide’ in fertility.

[1]  Andriana Bellou The impact of Internet diffusion on marriage rates: evidence from the broadband market , 2014, Journal of Population Economics.

[2]  F. Billari,et al.  The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s , 2002 .

[3]  Ron Lesthaeghe,et al.  The unfolding story of the second demographic transition. , 2010, Population and development review.

[4]  Judy Wajcman,et al.  Pressed for Time: The Acceleration of Life in Digital Capitalism , 2014 .

[5]  M. Sen,et al.  Explaining Causal Findings Without Bias: Detecting and Assessing Direct Effects , 2016, American Political Science Review.

[6]  Lisa J. Dettling Broadband in the Labor Market , 2013 .

[7]  Francesco C. Billari,et al.  Fertility in Advanced Societies: A Review of Research , 2012, European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie.

[8]  Can Financial Incentives Reduce the Baby Gap? Evidence from a Reform in Maternity Leave Benefits , 2017, Journal of Public Economics.

[9]  Wolfgang Lutz,et al.  The emergence of Sub-Replacement Family Size Ideals in Europe , 2003 .

[10]  Eliana La Ferrara,et al.  Soap Operas and Fertility: Evidence from Brazil , 2008 .

[11]  Oliver Falck,et al.  E-Lections: Voting Behavior and the Internet , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Jennifer M Trudeau The Role of New Media on Teen Sexual Behaviors and Fertility Outcomes - The Case of '16 and Pregnant' , 2014 .

[13]  F. Goldscheider,et al.  The Gender Revolution: A Framework for Understanding Changing Family and Demographic Behavior , 2015 .

[14]  Mélanie Frappier,et al.  The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect , 2018, Science.

[15]  Adam N. Glynn,et al.  Front-Door Versus Back-Door Adjustment With Unmeasured Confounding: Bias Formulas for Front-Door and Hybrid Adjustments With Application to a Job Training Program , 2018, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[16]  Susan Cotts Watkins,et al.  Social interactions and contemporary fertility transitions. , 1996 .

[17]  Susheela Singh,et al.  Adolescent Pregnancy, Birth, and Abortion Rates Across Countries: Levels and Recent Trends , 2015, The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine.

[18]  P. Levine,et al.  Media Influences on Social Outcomes: The Impact of MTV’s 16 and Pregnant on Teen Childbearing. , 2015, The American economic review.

[19]  Nicoletta Balbo,et al.  Does Fertility Behavior Spread among Friends? , 2014 .

[20]  Gert G. Wagner,et al.  The German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) - Scope, Evolution and Enhancements , 2007, Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch.

[21]  E. Hargittai Digital Na(t)ives? Variation in Internet Skills and Uses among Members of the “Net Generation”* , 2010 .

[22]  Barbara Hofmann,et al.  Perceived Economic Uncertainty and Fertility: Evidence From a Labor Market Reform , 2013 .

[23]  Oliver Falck Does broadband infrastructure boost employment , 2017 .

[24]  Michael J. Rosenfeld,et al.  Searching for a Mate , 2012 .

[25]  Jere R. Behrman,et al.  The density of social networks and fertility decisions: evidence from south nyanza district, kenya , 2001, Demography.

[26]  F. Billari,et al.  Patterns of low and lowest-low fertility in Europe , 2004, Population studies.

[27]  T. Eckhardt The Education System in the Federal Republic of Germany 2017/2018 , 2015 .

[28]  Paul Valentine Fertility and Social Interaction: An Economic Perspective , 2003 .

[29]  Isabella Buber‐Ennser,et al.  FERTILITY INTENTIONS OF UNIVERSITY GRADUATES , 2013 .

[30]  P. Lambert,et al.  Fertility progression in Germany: an analysis using flexible nonparametric cure survival models , 2016 .

[31]  P. McDonald Gender Equity in Theories of Fertility Transition , 2000 .

[32]  J. Wajcman,et al.  The Rush Hour: The Character of Leisure Time and Gender Equity , 2000 .

[33]  Claudia Olivetti,et al.  Gender Roles and Medical Progress , 2009, Journal of Political Economy.

[34]  R. Riphahn,et al.  Fertility effects of child benefits , 2017, Journal of Population Economics.

[35]  K. Hank,et al.  A Multilevel Analysis of Child Care and Women's Fertility Decisions in Western Germany , 2003 .

[36]  M. Gangl,et al.  Do Women Respond to Changes in Family Policy? A Quasi-Experimental Study of the Duration of Mothers’ Employment Interruptions in Germany , 2014 .

[37]  Ludger Woessmann,et al.  Surfing Alone? The Internet and Social Capital: Evidence from an Unforeseen Technological Mistake , 2011 .

[38]  Melanie Guldi,et al.  Offline effects of online connecting: the impact of broadband diffusion on teen fertility decisions , 2016, Journal of Population Economics.

[39]  Holger von der Lippe,et al.  Social Influences on Fertility , 2007 .

[40]  S. Morgan,et al.  Low Fertility at the Turn of the Twenty-First Century. , 2006, Annual review of sociology.

[41]  John P. Robinson,et al.  Social Implications of the Internet , 2001 .

[42]  Lisa J. Dettling,et al.  Broadband in the Labor Market: The Impact of Residential High Speed Internet on Married Women's Labor Force Participation , 2013 .

[43]  E. Boserup The Ends of the Earth: Environment, Population, and Technology in Primitive Societies , 1976 .

[44]  David A. Jaeger,et al.  Does Reality TV Induce Real Effects? On the Questionable Association between 16 and Pregnant and Teenage Childbearing , 2016, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[45]  Manuel Castells,et al.  The Internet Galaxy: Reflections on the Internet, Business, and Society , 2001 .

[46]  Adam Glynn,et al.  Front-Door Difference-in-Differences Estimators , 2017 .

[47]  L. Bernardi,et al.  Social Influences on Fertility: A Comparative Mixed Methods Study in Eastern and Western Germany , 2007 .

[48]  Helmut Rainer,et al.  Children of a (Policy) Revolution: The Introduction of Universal Child Care and Its Effect on Fertility , 2014, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[49]  M. Yorukoglu,et al.  Engines of Liberation , 2003 .

[50]  D. Philipov Fertility Intentions and Outcomes: The Role of Policies to Close the Gap , 2009 .

[51]  Karsten Hank,et al.  Regional Social Contexts and Individual Fertility Decisions: A Multilevel Analysis of First and Second Births in Western Germany , 2001 .

[52]  Karl Brenke Home offices: Plenty of untapped potential , 2016 .

[53]  T. Cornelissen,et al.  Who Benefits from Universal Child Care? Estimating Marginal Returns to Early Child Care Attendance , 2018, Journal of Political Economy.

[54]  D. Conley Elsewhere, U.S.A.: How We Got from the Company Man, Family Dinners, and the Affulent Society to the Home Office, BlackBerry Moms, and Economic Anxiety , 2010 .

[55]  H. Kohler Fertility and social interaction , 2001 .