Multicriteria evaluation of simulated logging scenarios in a tropical rain forest.

Forest growth models are useful tools for investigating the long-term impacts of logging. In this paper, the results of the rain forest growth model FORMIND were assessed by a multicriteria decision analysis. The main processes covered by FORMIND include tree growth, mortality, regeneration and competition. Tree growth is calculated based on a carbon balance approach. Trees compete for light and space; dying large trees fall down and create gaps in the forest. Sixty-four different logging scenarios for an initially undisturbed forest stand at Deramakot (Malaysia) were simulated. The scenarios differ regarding the logging cycle, logging method, cutting limit and logging intensity. We characterise the impacts with four criteria describing the yield, canopy opening and changes in species composition. Multicriteria decision analysis was used for the first time to evaluate the scenarios and identify the efficient ones. Our results plainly show that reduced-impact logging scenarios are more 'efficient' than the others, since in these scenarios forest damage is minimised without significantly reducing yield. Nevertheless, there is a trade-off between yield and achieving a desired ecological state of logged forest; the ecological state of the logged forests can only be improved by reducing yields and enlarging the logging cycles. Our study also demonstrates that high cutting limits or low logging intensities cannot compensate for the high level of damage caused by conventional logging techniques.

[1]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Simulating anthropogenic impacts to bird communities in tropical rain forests , 2002 .

[2]  Leighton,et al.  Impact of El Nino and logging on canopy tree recruitment in borneo , 1999, Science.

[3]  C. Tucker,et al.  Tropical Deforestation and Habitat Fragmentation in the Amazon: Satellite Data from 1978 to 1988 , 1993, Science.

[4]  Peter Nijkamp,et al.  Multicriteria analysis for land-use management , 1998 .

[5]  M. Swaine,et al.  On the definition of ecological species groups in tropical rain forests , 1988, Vegetatio.

[6]  Guillermo A. Mendoza,et al.  Multiple criteria decision making approaches to assessing forest sustainability using criteria and indicators: a case study , 2000 .

[7]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Sustainable timber harvesting in Venezuela: a modelling approach , 2001 .

[8]  J. Chave Study of structural, successional and spatial patterns in tropical rain forests using TROLL, a spatially explicit forest model , 1999 .

[9]  D. M. Newbery,et al.  Primary forest dynamics in lowland dipterocarp forest at Danum Valley, Sabah, Malaysia, and the role of the understorey. , 1999, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[10]  Henrik Balslev,et al.  Tropical forests : botanical dynamics, speciation and diversity , 1989 .

[11]  D. Peart,et al.  The structure of lowland rainforest after selective logging in West Kalimantan, Indonesia , 1994 .

[12]  C. Margules,et al.  Indicators of Biodiversity for Ecologically Sustainable Forest Management , 2000 .

[13]  Jianguo Liu,et al.  SIMULATING EFFECTS OF LANDSCAPE CONTEXT AND TIMBER HARVEST ON TREE SPECIES DIVERSITY , 1999 .

[14]  Patrick D. Miles,et al.  Using biological criteria and indicators to address forest inventory data at the state level , 2002 .

[15]  A. Huth,et al.  The process-based stand growth model Formix 3-Q applied in a GIS environment for growth and yield analysis in a tropical rain forest. , 2000, Tree physiology.

[16]  R. Mittermeier,et al.  Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities , 2000, Nature.

[17]  Dennis P. Dykstra,et al.  Why Poor Logging Practices Persist in the Tropics , 2000 .

[18]  M. Swaine,et al.  Population dynamics of trees in dipterocarp forests of Peninsular Malaysia. , 1994 .

[19]  F. Bongers,et al.  Patterns of tree-fall and branch-fall in a tropical rain forest in French Guiana , 1996 .

[20]  P. Burgess Timbers of Sabah. , 1966 .

[21]  J. Healey,et al.  The cost of carbon retention by reduced impact logging , 2000 .

[22]  T. Whitmore,et al.  An Introduction to Tropical Rain Forests , 1990 .

[23]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Concepts for the aggregation of tropical tree species into functional types and the application to Sabah's lowland rain forests , 2000, Journal of Tropical Ecology.

[24]  F. Putz SOME ROLES FOR NORTH AMERICAN ECOLOGISTS IN LAND-USE PLANNING IN THE TROPICS , 2000 .

[25]  F. Putz,et al.  Retaining Forest Biomass By Reducing Logging Damage , 1996 .

[26]  R. Kato,et al.  Plant biomass and growth increment studies in Pasoh Forest , 1978 .

[27]  Kurt H. Riitters,et al.  Global-scale patterns of forest fragmentation , 2000 .

[28]  N. Garwood CHAPTER 9 – Tropical Soil Seed Banks: A Review , 1989 .

[29]  Andrew Grieser Johns,et al.  Timber Production and Biodiversity Conservation in Tropical Rain Forests: Field procedures , 1997 .

[30]  Pamela Hall,et al.  Comparisons of structure among mixed dipterocarp forests of north-western Borneo , 1992 .

[31]  O. Phillips,et al.  Increasing Turnover Through Time in Tropical Forests , 1994, Science.

[32]  F. Putz,et al.  BIOLOGICAL CHALLENGES FOR CERTIFICATION OF TROPICAL TIMBER , 1996 .

[33]  L. Kappen,et al.  Photosynthesis rates of selected tree species in lowland dipterocarp rainforest of Sabah, Malaysia , 1998, Trees.

[34]  P. Sist,et al.  Harvesting intensity versus sustainability in Indonesia , 1998 .

[35]  A. Lugo,et al.  Tree Mortality in Mature Lowland Tropical Moist and Tropical Lower Montane Moist Forests of Venezuela , 1994 .

[36]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Simulating the Long-term Response of Tropical Wet Forests to Fragmentation , 2003, Ecosystems.

[37]  H. Bugmann A Review of Forest Gap Models , 2001 .

[38]  P. Köhler,et al.  Modelling anthropogenic impacts on the growth of tropical rain forests , 2000 .

[39]  R. Boot,et al.  Approaches to developing sustainable extraction systems for tropical forest products , 1995 .

[40]  L. Bruijnzeel Nutrient input–output budgets of tropical forest ecosystems: a review , 1991, Journal of Tropical Ecology.

[41]  Campbell O. Webb,et al.  EXPERIMENTAL TESTS OF THE SPATIOTEMPORAL SCALE OF SEED PREDATION IN MAST‐FRUITING DIPTEROCARPACEAE , 2000 .

[42]  P. B. Tomlinson,et al.  Tropical Trees as Living Systems. , 1980 .

[43]  Joseph Buongiorno,et al.  MANAGING A TROPICAL RAINFOREST FOR TIMBER, CARBON STORAGE AND TREE DIVERSITY , 1997 .

[44]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Simulation of the growth of a lowland Dipterocarp rain forest with FORMIX3 , 2000 .

[45]  Martin Drechsler,et al.  Model-based Conservation Decision Aiding in the Presence of Goal Conflicts and Uncertainty , 2004, Biodiversity & Conservation.

[46]  N. Manokaran,et al.  Recruitment, growth and mortality of tree species in a lowland dipterocarp forest in Peninsular Malaysia , 1987, Journal of Tropical Ecology.

[47]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Simulating growth dynamics in a South-East Asian rainforest threatened by recruitment shortage and tree harvesting , 2004 .

[48]  Joseph Buongiorno,et al.  Simulating options for carbon sequestration through improved management of a lowland tropical rainforest , 1997, Environment and Development Economics.

[49]  R. Dirzo,et al.  Forests as Human-Dominated Ecosystems , 1997 .

[50]  E. J. Comiskey,et al.  Landscape Modeling for Everglades Ecosystem Restoration , 1998, Ecosystems.

[51]  T. Stewart A CRITICAL SURVEY ON THE STATUS OF MULTIPLE CRITERIA DECISION MAKING THEORY AND PRACTICE , 1992 .

[52]  N. Garwood Seed Germination in a Seasonal Tropical Forest in Panama: A Community Study , 1983 .

[53]  C. Potter,et al.  Large-scale impoverishment of Amazonian forests by logging and fire , 1999, Nature.

[54]  A. Huth,et al.  Using multicriteria decision analysis and a forest growth model to assess impacts of tree harvesting in Dipterocarp lowland rain forests , 2005 .

[55]  Comparison of measured and modelled growth on permanent plots in Sabahs rain forests , 2001 .

[56]  D. Stoyan,et al.  Neue Methoden zur Analyse und Charakterisierung von Bestandesstrukturen , 2000, Forstwissenschaftliches Centralblatt vereinigt mit Tharandter forstliches Jahrbuch.

[57]  B. Roy Decision-aid and decision-making , 1990 .

[58]  S. Thomas Asymptotic height as a predictor of growth and allometric characteristics in malaysian rain forest trees , 1996 .

[59]  M. Swaine Population dynamics of tree species in tropical forests , 1989 .

[60]  S. Hubbell,et al.  SHORT-TERM DYNAMICS OF A NEOTROPICAL FOREST : CHANGE WITHIN LIMITS , 1992 .

[61]  F. Putz,et al.  Tropical Forest Management and Conservation of Biodiversity: an Overview , 2001 .

[62]  Hans Pretzsch,et al.  Analysis and modeling of spatial stand structures. Methodological considerations based on mixed beech-larch stands in Lower Saxony , 1997 .

[63]  Jerome K. Vanclay,et al.  GROWTH AND YIELD OF A TROPICAL RAIN FOREST IN THE BRAZILIAN AMAZON 13 YEARS AFTER LOGGING , 1995 .

[64]  Andreas Huth,et al.  The effects of tree species grouping in tropical rainforest modelling: Simulations with the individual-based model Formind , 1998 .

[65]  G. B. Williamson,et al.  Receding Forest Edges and Vanishing Reserves , 2000, Science.

[66]  S. Hubbell,et al.  Mortality Rates of 205 Neotropical Tree and Shrub Species and the Impact of a Severe Drought , 1995 .

[67]  Ryan K. C. Ong,et al.  DIPSIM: DIPTEROCARP FOREST GROWTH SIMULATION MODEL, A TOOL FOR FOREST-LEVEL MANAGEMENT PLANNING , 1996 .

[68]  Paulo Barreto,et al.  Financial and ecological indicators of reduced impact logging performance in the eastern Amazon , 2002 .

[69]  Anthony M. Starfield,et al.  Choosing a Management Strategy: Two Structured Decision‐Making Methods for Evaluating the Predictions of Stochastic Simulation Models , 1995 .

[70]  H. Shugart Terrestrial Ecosystems in Changing Environments , 1998 .

[71]  D. Botkin Forest Dynamics: An Ecological Model , 1993 .

[72]  K. Larsen PROSEA. Plant resources of South-East Asia 5(1–3). 1. 1993. I. Soerianegara & R. H. M. J. Lemmens (eds). Timber trees: Major commercial timbers , 1998 .

[73]  L. Moore,et al.  A study of logging damage in upland rainforest in north Queensland , 1992 .

[74]  Andreas Huth,et al.  Long-term impacts of logging in a tropical rain forest — a simulation study , 2001 .

[75]  V. T. Parker,et al.  Ecology of Soil Seed Banks , 1989 .

[76]  Andrew J. Plumptre,et al.  Changes following 60 years of selective timber harvesting in the Budongo Forest Reserve, Uganda , 1996 .

[77]  William F. Laurance,et al.  Biomass Collapse in Amazonian Forest Fragments , 1997 .

[78]  W. Cropper,et al.  Simulated effects of logging on carbon storage in dipterocarp forest. , 2000 .

[79]  N. Hanley,et al.  Cost–Benefit Analysis and the Environment , 1994 .

[80]  A. Schulte,et al.  Dipterocarp forest ecosystems: towards sustainable management , 1996 .

[81]  A. Newton Dynamics of Tropical Communities , 1999 .