Probabilistic Methods for Damage Assessment in Aviation Technology

In this chapter, there has been presented destruction estimation models of construction elements of aircraft in different cases of the state of readiness. The following cases have been examined: when a diagnostic parameter indicating the state of readiness exceeds critical point; when unexpected failure occurs as a result of overload impulse; when a diagnostic parameter increases and as a result premature failure occurs; when damage can be indicated with a diagnostic parameter and an unexpected failure may occur. Differential calculus of Fokker-Planck type has been used in creating the model. Second part of the chapter includes a method of probability and risk evaluation of technical damage to functional-relief (redundant) systems using the Poisson model. The chapter raised the problem of diagnosis errors and erroneous usability evaluation, and describes the example of a real event of an aircraft landing without the released landing gear as a consequence of an erroneous diagnostics. The rescue process in a situation of an aviation accident hazard was described briefly.