MRI-based radiomics models for the early prediction of radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Objective This study was conducted to develop and validate a radiomics-clinics combined model-based magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics and clinical features for the early prediction of radiation-induced temporal lobe injury (RTLI) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods This retrospective study was conducted using data from 130 patients with NPC (80 patients with and 50 patients without RTLI) who received radiotherapy. Cases were assigned randomly to training (n = 91) and testing (n = 39) datasets. Data on 168 medial temporal lobe texture features were extracted from T1WI, T2WI, and T1WI-CE MRI sequences obtained at the end of radiotherapy courses. Clinics, radiomics, and radiomics–clinics combined models (based on selected radiomics signatures and clinical factors) were constructed using machine learning software. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent clinical factors. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was performed to evaluate the performance of three models. A nomogram, decision curves, and calibration curves were used to assess the performance of the combined model. Results Six texture features and three independent clinical factors associated significantly with RTLI were used to build the combined model. The AUCs for the combined and radiomics models were 0.962 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.9306–0.9939] and 0.904 (95% CI, 0.8431–0.9651), respectively, for the training cohort and 0.947 (95% CI, 0.8841–1.0000) and 0.891 (95% CI, 0.7903–0.9930), respectively, for the testing cohort. All of these values exceeded those for the clinics model (AUC = 0.809 and 0.713 for the training and testing cohorts, respectively). Decision curve analysis showed that the combined model had a good corrective effect. Conclusion The radiomics–clinics combined model developed in this study showed good performance for predicting RTLI in patients with NPC.