Neural predictors and wavelet transformation for forecasting the PM10 pollution

Purpose – The aim of this paper is to develop the accurate computer method of predicting the average PM10 pollution for the next day on the basis of some measured atmospheric parameters, like temperature, humidity, wind, etc. This method should be universal and applicable for any place under consideration.Design/methodology/approach – The paper presents the new approach to the accurate forecasting of the daily average concentration of PM10. It is based on the application of the ensemble of neural networks and wavelet transformation of the time series, representing PM10 pollution.Findings – On the basis of numerical experiments, the paper finds that application of many neural predictors cooperating with each other can significantly improve the quality of results. The paper shows that the developed forecasting system checked on the data of PM10 pollution in Warsaw generated good overall accuracy of prediction in terms of root mean squared error, mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error.Origina...

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