Luck and the Law: Quantifying Chance in Fantasy Sports and Other Contests

Fantasy sports have experienced a surge in popularity in the past decade. One of the consequences of this recent rapid growth is increased scrutiny surrounding the legal aspects of the games, which...

[1]  Donald G. Morrison,et al.  The Best NFL Field Goal Kickers: Are They Lucky or Good? , 1993 .

[2]  E. Fama,et al.  Luck Versus Skill in the Cross Section of Mutual Fund Returns , 2009 .

[3]  Thomas Gilovich,et al.  The Cold Facts about the “Hot Hand” in Basketball , 1989 .

[4]  Paul K. Newton,et al.  Monte Carlo Tennis , 2006, SIAM Rev..

[5]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  Is Texas Hold 'Em A Game Of Chance? A Legal and Economic Analysis , 2013 .

[6]  Frederick Mosteller,et al.  Where Eagles Fly , 1993 .

[7]  Peter Sheridan Dodds,et al.  Game story space of professional sports: Australian rules football. , 2015, Physical review. E.

[8]  S. Redner,et al.  Random Walk Picture of Basketball Scoring , 2011, 1109.2825.

[9]  O. Holmes.  The Path of the Law , 1996 .

[10]  Gur Yaari,et al.  The Hot (Invisible?) Hand: Can Time Sequence Patterns of Success/Failure in Sports Be Modeled as Repeated Random Independent Trials? , 2011, PloS one.

[11]  S Redner,et al.  Safe leads and lead changes in competitive team sports. , 2015, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[12]  William Hurley.  Overtime or Shootout: Deciding Ties in Hockey , 1995 .

[13]  Satyam Mukherjee,et al.  Anomalous diffusion and long-range correlations in the score evolution of the game of cricket. , 2012, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[14]  G. R. Lindsey,et al.  The Progress of the Score during a Baseball Game , 1961 .

[15]  Rachel Croson,et al.  Poker Superstars: Skill or Luck? , 2008 .

[16]  Samuel Arbesman,et al.  Differentiating Skill and Luck in Financial Markets with Streaks , 2011 .

[17]  Andrew D. Martin,et al.  An Introduction to Empirical Legal Research , 2014 .

[18]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  The Role of Skill Versus Luck in Poker Evidence From the World Series of Poker , 2011 .

[19]  Hal S. Stern,et al.  A Brownian Motion Model for the Progress of Sports Scores , 1994 .

[20]  David Jackson,et al.  Heavy Defeats in Tennis: Psychological Momentum or Random Effect? , 1997 .

[21]  R. Wardrop.  Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball , 1995 .

[22]  Aaas News,et al.  Book Reviews , 1893, Buffalo Medical and Surgical Journal.

[23]  Andreas Heuer,et al.  Soccer: Is scoring goals a predictable Poissonian process? , 2010, 1002.0797.