Market Exit Through Divestment - The Effect of Accounting Bias on Competition

We analyze the effect of accounting bias on the competition and market structure of an industry. In our model, firms’ interim accounting reports on investment projects may contain bias introduced by the mandatory accounting system. We find that this bias strictly decreases firms’ profits when investors do not have an abandonment option, but different results emerge when we allow the investors to divest in the interim. Specifically, a conservative accounting regime may increase the likelihood of projects being discontinued, inducing some firms to exit from the product market and leaving rivals to capture their market share. A conservative regime can thus soften market competition and result in ex ante higher investment payoff, higher consumer surplus, and higher total social welfare. Since industries often have common reporting standards, we also identify the degrees of industry-wide accounting bias that maximize the expected investor payoffs. Finally, we allow for investors to coordinate their divestment ...

[1]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  LIMIT PRICING AND ENTRY UNDER INCOMPLETE INFORMATION: AN EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS' , 1982 .

[2]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Reputation and imperfect information , 1982 .

[3]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  Predation, reputation, and entry deterrence☆ , 1982 .

[4]  X. Vives Duopoly information equilibrium: Cournot and bertrand , 1984 .

[5]  J. Harrington,et al.  Limit Pricing When the Potential Entrant Is Uncertain of Its Cost Function [Limit Pricing and Entry under Incomplete Information: An Equilibrium Analysis] , 1986 .

[6]  Drew Fudenberg,et al.  A "Signal-Jamming" Theory of Predation , 1986 .

[7]  Alfred Wagenhofer,et al.  Voluntary disclosure with a strategic opponent , 1990 .

[8]  M. Darrough,et al.  Financial disclosure policy in an entry game , 1990 .

[9]  K. Srinivasan Multiple Market Entry, Cost Signalling and Entry Deterrence , 1991 .

[10]  M. Darrough,et al.  Disclosure policy and competition: Cournot vs. Bertrand , 1993 .

[11]  Carla K. Hayn The information content of losses , 1995 .

[12]  E. Ofek,et al.  Investor Valuation of the Abandonment Option , 1995 .

[13]  Stephen L Taylor,et al.  Auditor brand name reputations and industry specializations , 1995 .

[14]  Y. K. Kwon,et al.  The Demand for Accounting Conservatism for Management Control , 2001 .

[15]  Andrew Ferguson,et al.  Brand Name Audit Pricing, Industry Specialization, and Leadership Premiums post‐Big 8 and Big 6 Mergers* , 2002 .

[16]  Ross L. Watts,et al.  Conservatism in Accounting - Part I: Explanations and Implications , 2003 .

[17]  Mark Bagnoli,et al.  Conservative Accounting Choices , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[18]  Young K. Kwon,et al.  Accounting Conservatism and Managerial Incentives , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[19]  Robert E. Verrecchia,et al.  Discussion of an Economic Framework for Conservative Accounting and Bushman and Piotroski (2006) , 2006 .

[20]  Qi Chen,et al.  On the Relation Between Conservatism in Accounting Standards and Incentives for Earnings Management , 2007 .

[21]  Phillip C. Stocken,et al.  Strategic Consequences of Historical Cost and Fair Value Measurements , 2007 .

[22]  Kyle Bagwell,et al.  Signalling and entry deterrence: a multidimensional analysis , 2008 .

[23]  Alfred Wagenhofer,et al.  Optimal Impairment Rules , 2009 .

[24]  Michael Raith An Agency Theory of Conservative Accrual Accounting , 2009 .

[25]  Haresh Sapra,et al.  Accounting Conservatism and the Efficiency of Debt Contracts , 2009 .

[26]  Michael T. Kirschenheiter,et al.  Prudence Demands Conservatism , 2009 .

[27]  A. Shleifer,et al.  Asset Fire Sales and Credit Easing , 2010 .

[28]  Susan G. Watts,et al.  Oligopoly, Disclosure and Earnings Management , 2007 .

[29]  Tong Lu,et al.  Asset Substitution , Debt Covenants and Conservatism , 2011 .

[30]  John S. Hughes,et al.  Assessing the Impact of Alternative Fair Value Measures on the Efficiency of Project Selection and Continuation , 2012 .

[31]  E. Cheynel,et al.  Asset Measurement , Loanable Funds and the Cost of Capital EDWIGE CHEYNEL , 2012 .

[32]  Conservative Reporting and Product Market Competition , 2012 .

[33]  Anne Beyer,et al.  Conservatism and Aggregation: The Effect on Cost of Equity Capital and the Efficiency of Debt Contracts , 2012 .

[34]  Lin Nan,et al.  Preannouncing Competitive Decisions in Oligopoly Markets , 2013 .

[35]  Jing Li,et al.  Accounting Conservatism and Debt Contracts: Efficient Liquidation and Covenant Renegotiation , 2013 .

[36]  Pingyang Gao A Measurement Approach to Conservatism and Earnings Management , 2012 .

[37]  John S. Hughes,et al.  Implications of biased reporting: conservative and liberal accounting policies in oligopolies , 2015 .