Modeling Consumer Purchasing Behavior in Social Shopping Communities with Clickstream Data

Social shopping communities (SSCs) evolve from a linkage of social networking and online shopping. Apart from direct shopping features in shopbots (e.g., search fields), SSCs additionally offer user-generated social shopping features. These include recommendation lists, ratings, styles (i.e., assortments arranged by users), tags, and user profiles. Purchases can be made by following a link to a participating online shop ("click-out"). SSCs are experiencing high growth rates in consumer popularity (e.g., Polyvore attracts more than 6 million unique visitors per month). Thus, this business model has received considerable venture capital in recent years. By analyzing clickstream data, we investigate which factors, especially social shopping features, are significant for predicting purchasing behavior within SSCs. Our logit model includes about 2.73 million visiting sessions and shows that social shopping features exert a significant impact, both positive and negative. Tags and high ratings have a positive impact on a click-out. In contrast, the more lists and styles used, the less likely the user is to make a click-out. Yet, lists and styles seem to enhance site stickiness and browsing. Moreover, the more direct shopping features that are used, the less likely the user is to conduct a click-out. Increasing transaction costs and information overload could be potential reasons. We also found that community members are more likely to make a click-out than ordinary users. This implies that community members are more profitable.

[1]  Catarina Sismeiro,et al.  A Model of Web Site Browsing Behavior Estimated on Clickstream Data , 2003 .

[2]  Dominique M. Hanssens,et al.  The Impact of Marketing-Induced versus Word-of-Mouth Customer Acquisition on Customer Equity Growth , 2008 .

[3]  Matthew K. O. Lee,et al.  A Trust Model for Consumer Internet Shopping , 2001, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[4]  Young-Hoon Park,et al.  Modeling Browsing Behavior at Multiple Websites , 2004 .

[5]  P. Chatterjee,et al.  Modeling the Clickstream: Implications for Web-Based Advertising Efforts , 2003 .

[6]  Wendy W. Moe,et al.  The Influence of Goal‐Directed and Experiential Activities on Online Flow Experiences , 2003 .

[7]  Sylvain Senecal,et al.  Predicting On-Line Task Completion with Clickstream Complexity Measures: A Graph-Based Approach , 2006, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[8]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Consumer Decision-Making at an Internet Shopbot , 2001 .

[9]  R. Bucklin,et al.  Click Here for Internet Insight: Advances in Clickstream Data Analysis in Marketing , 2009 .

[10]  Eric Johnson,et al.  Predicting subscriber dissatisfaction and improving retention in the wireless telecommunications industry , 2000, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks Learn. Syst..

[11]  J. M. Jensen,et al.  Shopping orientation and online clothing purchases: the role of gender and purchase situation , 2009 .

[12]  R. Bucklin,et al.  Modeling Purchase Behavior at an E-Commerce Web Site: A Task-Completion Approach , 2004 .

[13]  Jaideep Srivastava,et al.  Data Preparation for Mining World Wide Web Browsing Patterns , 1999, Knowledge and Information Systems.

[14]  F. Rothaermel,et al.  Virtual internet communities and commercial success: individual and community-level theory grounded in the atypical case of TimeZone.com , 2001 .

[15]  S. G. E. Garrett,et al.  An Introduction to Electronic Commerce , 1999 .

[16]  John G. Lynch,et al.  Interactive Home Shopping: Consumer, Retailer, and Manufacturer Incentives to Participate in Electronic Marketplaces , 1997 .

[17]  Ingoo Han,et al.  The Effect of On-Line Consumer Reviews on Consumer Purchasing Intention: The Moderating Role of Involvement , 2007, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[18]  Jennifer Preece,et al.  A Conceptual Framework for Demographic Groups Resistant to On-line Community Interaction , 2002, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[19]  D. Hensher,et al.  Stated Choice Methods: Analysis and Applications , 2000 .

[20]  JungKun Park,et al.  Consumers’ travel website transferring behaviour: analysis using clickstream data-time, frequency, and spending , 2009 .

[21]  K. Pauwels,et al.  Effects of Word-of-Mouth versus Traditional Marketing: Findings from an Internet Social Networking Site , 2009 .

[22]  A. Parsons Non‐functional motives for online shoppers: why we click , 2002 .

[23]  Wendy W. Moe,et al.  Capturing evolving visit behavior in clickstream data , 2004 .

[24]  J. Bakos Reducing buyer search costs: implications for electronic marketplaces , 1997 .

[25]  Olivier Toubia,et al.  Deriving Value from Social Commerce Networks , 2009 .

[26]  Bo-chiuan Su,et al.  Characteristics of Consumer Search On-Line: How Much Do We Search? , 2008, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[27]  Yong Liu Word-of-Mouth for Movies: Its Dynamics and Impact on Box Office Revenue , 2006 .

[28]  D. Hoffman,et al.  Marketing in Hypermedia Computer-Mediated Environments: Conceptual Foundations , 1996 .

[29]  Daniel R. Fesenmaier,et al.  Assessing Motivation of Contribution in Online Communities: An Empirical Investigation of an Online Travel Community , 1998, Electron. Mark..

[30]  Georgios A. Dafoulas,et al.  Co-evolving E-tail and On-Line Communities: Conceptual Framework , 2007, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[31]  R. Kozinets E-tribalized Marketing?: The Strategic Implications of Virtual Communities of Consumption , 1999 .

[32]  Bernardo A. Huberman,et al.  Usage patterns of collaborative tagging systems , 2006, J. Inf. Sci..

[33]  Rong-An Shang,et al.  The effects of information overload on consumers' subjective state towards buying decision in the internet shopping environment , 2009, Electron. Commer. Res. Appl..

[34]  Kai Wang,et al.  Influence of Web Advertising Strategies, Consumer Goal-Directedness, and Consumer Involvement on Web Advertising Effectiveness , 2009, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[35]  Guy W. Mullarkey,et al.  Factors Affecting Web Site Visit Duration: A Cross-Domain Analysis , 2006 .

[36]  Chrysanthos Dellarocas,et al.  Exploring the value of online product reviews in forecasting sales: The case of motion pictures , 2007 .

[37]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  When Web Pages Influence Choice: Effects of Visual Primes on Experts and Novices , 2002 .

[38]  C. Narasimhan,et al.  Customer Profitability in a Supply Chain , 2001 .

[39]  J. Jacoby,et al.  Consumer Behavior , 2024 .

[40]  Sylvain Sénécal,et al.  Consumers' decision-making process and their online shopping behavior: a clickstream analysis , 2005 .

[41]  Vittorio Loreto,et al.  Semiotic dynamics and collaborative tagging , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[42]  Gerald L. Lohse,et al.  Cognitive Lock-In and the Power Law of Practice , 2003 .

[43]  Vittorio Loreto,et al.  Collaborative Tagging and Semiotic Dynamics , 2006, ArXiv.

[44]  Anteneh Ayanso,et al.  Profiling Retail Web Site Functionalities and Conversion Rates: A Cluster Analysis , 2009, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[45]  Jan B. Heide,et al.  Transaction Cost Analysis: Past, Present, and Future Applications , 1997 .

[46]  Oded Nov,et al.  Why do people tag? , 2010, Commun. ACM.

[47]  ChenYu-Chen,et al.  The effects of information overload on consumers' subjective state towards buying decision in the internet shopping environment , 2009 .

[48]  Leonard N. Stern The EconoMining project at NYU : Studying the economic value of user-generated content on the internet , 2009 .

[49]  O. Williamson,et al.  The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting. , 1986, American Political Science Review.

[50]  C. Flavián,et al.  The influence of virtual communities on distribution strategies in the internet , 2005 .

[51]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Consumer Decision-Making at an Internet Shopbot , 2001 .

[52]  Kannan Srinivasan,et al.  Modeling Online Browsing and Path Analysis Using Clickstream Data , 2004 .

[53]  Peter S. Fader,et al.  On the Depth and Dynamics of Online Search Behavior , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[54]  Sunil Gupta,et al.  Brand Choice, Purchase Incidence, and Segmentation: An Integrated Modeling Approach , 1992 .

[55]  O. Williamson The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting , 1985 .

[56]  Dirk Van den Poel,et al.  Predicting online-purchasing behaviour , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[57]  Bo-chiuan Su,et al.  Consumer E-Tailer Choice Strategies at On-Line Shopping Comparison Sites , 2007, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[58]  David Godes,et al.  Using Online Conversations to Study Word-of-Mouth Communication , 2004 .

[59]  Ting-Peng Liang,et al.  An empirical study on consumer acceptance of products in electronic markets: a transaction cost model , 1998, Decis. Support Syst..

[60]  Peter S. Fader,et al.  Dynamic Conversion Behavior at E-Commerce Sites , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[61]  Wendy W. Moe An Empirical Two-Stage Choice Model with Varying Decision Rules Applied to Internet Clickstream Data , 2006 .

[62]  Nicholas H. Lurie,et al.  Searching for Experience on the Web: An Empirical Examination of Consumer Behavior for Search and Experience Goods , 2009 .

[63]  Chris Janiszewski,et al.  The Influence of Display Characteristics on Visual Exploratory Search Behavior , 1998 .

[64]  V. Dhar,et al.  Does Chatter Matter? The Impact of User-Generated Content on Music Sales , 2007 .

[65]  Matthew K. O. Lee,et al.  The impact of electronic word-of-mouth: The adoption of online opinions in online customer communities , 2008, Internet Res..

[66]  S. Sriram,et al.  The Moderating Role of Consumer and Product Characteristics on the Value of Customized On-Line Recommendations , 2006, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[67]  Paul D. Allison,et al.  Logistic Regression Using the SAS System : Theory and Application , 1999 .

[68]  Efraim Turban,et al.  Effect of personalization on the perceived usefulness of online customer services: a dual-core theory , 2009, ICEC.

[69]  Sunil Gupta,et al.  Choice and the Internet: From Clickstream to Research Stream , 2002 .

[70]  Chris Janiszewski,et al.  The Influence of Avatars on Online Consumer Shopping Behavior , 2006 .

[71]  C. Jayawardhena,et al.  An empirical investigation into e‐shopping excitement: antecedents and effects , 2009 .

[72]  Yubo Chen,et al.  Online Consumer Review: Word-of-Mouth as a New Element of Marketing Communication Mix , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[73]  Zhiqiang Zheng,et al.  Personalization from incomplete data: what you don't know can hurt , 2001, KDD '01.

[74]  Dimple R. Thadani,et al.  The impact of electronic word-of-mouth communication: A literature analysis and integrative model , 2012, Decis. Support Syst..

[75]  Dennis L. Hoffman,et al.  Marketing in Hypermedia Computer-Mediated Environments : Conceptual Foundations 1 ) , 1998 .

[76]  Tim O'Reilly,et al.  Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On , 2009 .