Using Discrete Choice Experiments within a Cost-Benefit Analysis Framework

A great advantage of the stated preference discrete choice experiment (SPDCE) approach to economic evaluation methodology is its immense flexibility within applied cost-benefit analyses (CBAs). However, while the use of SPDCEs in healthcare has increased markedly in recent years there has been a distinct lack of equivalent CBAs in healthcare using such SPDCE-derived valuations. This article outlines specific issues and some practical suggestions for consideration relevant to the development of CBAs using SPDCE-derived benefits.The article shows that SPDCE-derived CBA can adopt recent developments in cost-effectiveness methodology including the cost-effectiveness plane, appropriate consideration of uncertainty, the net-benefit framework and probabilistic sensitivity analysis methods, while maintaining the theoretical advantage of the SPDCE approach. The concept of a cost-benefit plane is no different in principle to the cost-effectiveness plane and can be a useful tool for reporting and presenting the results of CBAs.However, there are many challenging issues to address for the advancement of CBA methodology using SPCDEs within healthcare. Particular areas for development include the importance of accounting for uncertainty in SPDCE-derived willingness-to-pay values, the methodology of SPDCEs in clinical trial settings and economic models, measurement issues pertinent to using SPDCEs specifically in healthcare, and the importance of issues such as consideration of the dynamic nature of healthcare and the resulting impact this has on the validity of attribute definitions and context.

[1]  S. Wilson Methods for the economic evaluation of health care programmes , 1987 .

[2]  Mandy Ryan,et al.  Using Discrete Choice Experiments in Health Economics , 2012 .

[3]  Dwayne A. Ball,et al.  The ability of ratings and choice conjoint to predict market shares: a Monte Carlo simulation , 2002 .

[4]  Robert Cameron Mitchell,et al.  Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method , 1989 .

[5]  Richard Cookson,et al.  Willingness to pay methods in health care: a sceptical view. , 2003, Health economics.

[6]  Jordan J. Louviere,et al.  Introduction to Attribute-Based Stated Choice Methods , 1998 .

[7]  J. Herriges,et al.  The measurement of environmental and resource values : theory and methods , 2014 .

[8]  B. McPake,et al.  Preferences for hospital quality in Zambia: results from a discrete choice experiment. , 2005, Health economics.

[9]  M. Sculpher,et al.  Probabilistic sensitivity analysis for NICE technology assessment: not an optional extra. , 2005, Health economics.

[10]  David Hinkley,et al.  Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife , 2008 .

[11]  P. Dolan,et al.  Discrete choice experiments in health economics , 2004, The European Journal of Health Economics, formerly: HEPAC.

[12]  E. McIntosh,et al.  Recent Advances in the Methods of Cost-Benefit Analysis in Healthcare , 1999, PharmacoEconomics.

[13]  C. Mitton,et al.  Cost effectiveness analysis in health care: contraindications , 2002, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[14]  K. Small,et al.  Applied Welfare Economics with Discrete Choice Models , 1979 .

[15]  Kristin Magnussen,et al.  Benefit transfer: testing for accuracy and reliability , 2002 .

[16]  Kevin J. Boyle,et al.  A Comparison of Conjoint Analysis Response Formats , 2001 .

[17]  E. McIntosh,et al.  Trade-offs between location and waiting times in the provision of health care: the case of elective surgery on the Isle of Wight. , 2000, Journal of public health medicine.

[18]  Jordan J. Louviere,et al.  An Empirical Comparison of Ratings-Based and Choice-Based Conjoint Models , 1992 .

[19]  M. Buxton,et al.  Magnetic resonance imaging for the investigation of knee injuries: an investigation of preferences. , 1998, Health economics.

[20]  A A Stinnett,et al.  Net Health Benefits , 1998, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[21]  Edward R. Morey,et al.  A Repeated Nested-Logit Model of Atlantic Salmon Fishing , 1993 .

[22]  Peter E. Kennedy A Guide to Econometrics , 1979 .

[23]  D Polsky,et al.  Confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness ratios: a comparison of four methods. , 1997, Health economics.

[24]  M. Ryan Deriving welfare measures in discrete choice experiments: a comment to Lancsar and Savage (1). , 2004, Health economics.

[25]  E. C. Fieller SOME PROBLEMS IN INTERVAL ESTIMATION , 1954 .

[26]  Emily Lancsar,et al.  Deriving welfare measures from discrete choice experiments: inconsistency between current methods and random utility and welfare theory. , 2004, Health economics.

[27]  J. Ratcliffe THE USE OF CONJOINT ANALYSIS TO ELICIT WILLINGNESS-TO-PAY VALUES , 2000, International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care.

[28]  Dorte Gyrd-Hansen,et al.  Conjoint analysis. The cost variable: an Achilles' heel? , 2003, Health economics.

[29]  Paul Kind,et al.  A social tariff for EuroQol: results from a UK general population survey , 1995 .

[30]  C. Donaldson,et al.  Choosing the method to match the perspective: economic assessment and its implications for health-services efficiency , 2002, The Lancet.

[31]  B. Efron Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife , 1979 .

[32]  C. Blackorby,et al.  A review article: The case against the use of the sum of compensating variations in cost-benefit analysis , 1990 .

[33]  P. Clarke,et al.  Cost-benefit analysis and mammographic screening: a travel cost approach. , 1998, Journal of health economics.

[34]  Cost-effectiveness analysis in medicine , 1999 .

[35]  Luc Wathieu,et al.  Consumer Habituation , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[36]  Mandy Ryan,et al.  Discrete choice experiments in health care , 2004, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[37]  C. Blackorby,et al.  The case against the use of the sum of compensating variations in cost-benefit analysis , 1990 .

[38]  A Briggs,et al.  Confidence intervals or surfaces? Uncertainty on the cost-effectiveness plane. , 1998, Health economics.

[39]  Kevin J. Boyle,et al.  Using Conjoint Analysis to Derive Estimates of Compensating Variation , 1996 .

[40]  M. Ryan,et al.  Modelling non-demanders in choice experiments. , 2004, Health economics.

[41]  N. Anderson An exchange on functional and conjoint measurement: Comment. , 1971 .

[42]  E P Kroes,et al.  STATED PREFERENCE TECHNIQUES: A GUIDE TO PRACTICE , 1990 .

[43]  Paul De Civita,et al.  Eliciting Stated Health Preferences , 1998 .

[44]  N. Anderson Functional measurement and psychophysical judgment. , 1970, Psychological review.

[45]  John C. Hershey,et al.  Carrier Screening for Cystic Fibrosis , 1998, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[46]  F. Johnson,et al.  Opt-out alternatives and anglers' stated preferences , 2000 .

[47]  Richard T. Carson,et al.  Experimental analysis of choice , 1991 .

[48]  C Fraser,et al.  Laparoscopic surgery for inguinal hernia repair: systematic review of effectiveness and economic evaluation. , 2005, Health technology assessment.

[49]  E. Lancsar,et al.  Deriving welfare measures from discrete choice experiments: a response to Ryan and Santos Silva , 2004 .

[50]  F. Johnson,et al.  Willingness to pay for improved respiratory and cardiovascular health: a multiple-format, stated-preference approach. , 2000, Health economics.

[51]  A. Tversky,et al.  Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model , 1991 .

[52]  D S Pathak,et al.  Segmenting the antihistamine market: an investigation of consumer preferences. , 1990, Journal of health care marketing.

[53]  J. Cairns,et al.  Establishing Patient Preferences for Blood Transfusion Support: An Application of Conjoint Analysis , 1998, Journal of health services research & policy.

[54]  Russell Blamey,et al.  Choice Modeling and Tests of Benefit Transfer , 2002 .

[55]  M. Ryan Using willingness to pay to assess the benefits of assisted reproductive techniques. , 1996, Health economics.

[56]  William H. Desvousges,et al.  Estimating Stated Preferences with Rated-Pair Data: Environmental, Health, and Employment Effects of Energy Programs , 1997 .

[57]  Joel Huber,et al.  Paired comparison and contingent valuation approaches to morbidity risk valuation , 1988 .

[58]  Paul De Civita,et al.  Eliciting Stated Preferences: An Application to Willingness to Pay for Longevity , 1998, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[59]  Joel Huber,et al.  The Effectiveness of Alternative Preference Elicitation Procedures in Predicting Choice , 1993 .

[60]  I. Bateman Economic valuation with stated preference techniques : a manual : department for transport , 2002 .

[61]  Mandy Ryan,et al.  Using discrete choice experiments to derive welfare estimates for the provision of elective surgery: Implications of discontinuous preferences , 2002 .

[62]  G. de Lissovoy,et al.  Willingness to pay for complete symptom relief of gastroesophageal reflux disease. , 2002, Archives of internal medicine.

[63]  W. Michael Hanemann,et al.  Welfare Evaluations in Contingent Valuation Experiments with Discrete Responses , 1984 .

[64]  M. Weinstein,et al.  Decision and Cost-Utility Analyses of Surgical versus Transcatheter Closure of Patent Ductus Arteriosus , 1998, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[65]  D. Hensher,et al.  Stated Choice Methods: Analysis and Applications , 2000 .